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Slonim vs Minsk II Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 2-3
Slonim
Slonim
Vs
22%
26%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Minsk II
Minsk II
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Minsk II's recent five-game winning streak makes them strong favourites to take all three points against Slonim. The model predicts an away win, which is the most likely outcome, with a 52% probability. Slonim's recent form, however, has been inconsistent, with two straight defeats, including a 2-3 loss to Minsk II.

The expected total goals in this match are 2.8, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability. Slonim struggles at home, scoring an average of 0.93 goals against stronger opponents and conceding 2.14 goals, while Minsk II has a strong away record, scoring 1.5 goals against weaker opponents and conceding just 0.62 goals.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 77.7% probability of hitting. The model also suggests a Draw, with a 26% probability, and another Away win, with a 22% probability. Slonim has a 22% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 52% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The win extends Slonim's recent run of inconsistency, but it was Minsk II who ultimately celebrated a victory on the road. The final score was 2-3 in favour of the visitors, confirming the actual result was indeed an away win. The model correctly predicted this outcome, backing Minsk II to win from the outset with a 52% pre-match probability. The model's selection was correct. The model also suggested taking Over 1.5 goals, which hit with a probability of 77.7%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slonim win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Minsk II win✓ Hit
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L12L04L02L03L42W12L31W02LH·DIN05/10A·BUM11/10H·FC 18/10A·BAT26/10H·NIV01/11A·OSI07/11A·UNI16/11A·ABF23/11A·LID26/07H·OSI01/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.430.872.130.872.73
vs Stronger (25)0.882.520.692.231.082.83
vs Similar (5)0.802.002.001.500.002.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Minsk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Minsk IIMinsk II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W22D32W32W12L21W70W32W21W10WH·BAT04/10A·NIV12/10H·OSI17/10A·UNI25/10H·ABF31/10A·BAR07/11H·GOM15/11A·VOL22/11H·UNI26/07A·BAT02/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.101.531.131.601.07
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (23)1.301.221.001.251.641.18
vs Weaker (6)2.670.835.001.001.500.75
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
Slonim goals ↓
Minsk II goals →
01234
07.3%9.6%9.3%5.4%2.3%
15.4%12%9.8%5.6%2.4%
23.4%5.9%5.1%3.0%1.3%
31.2%2.1%1.8%1.0%0.4%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slonim goals (down), columns = Minsk II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Slonim is 0.57 points worse than Minsk II in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Slonim and Minsk II are level in goals scored per game (both 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Slonim is 0.57 goals worse than Minsk II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SlonimSlonim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L02L01L01L12L01L10W00DH·DIN05/10A·BUM11/10H·FC 18/10A·BAT26/10H·NIV01/11A·OSI07/11A·UNI16/11A·ABF23/11A·LID26/07H·OSI01/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.930.530.930.330.93
vs Stronger (25)0.401.040.381.080.421.00
vs Similar (5)0.600.401.500.000.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Minsk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Minsk IIMinsk II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D22D00D11D21W30W21W00D10WH·BAT04/10A·NIV12/10H·OSI17/10A·UNI25/10H·ABF31/10A·BAR07/11H·GOM15/11A·VOL22/11H·UNI26/07A·BAT02/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.670.470.670.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.610.480.420.420.820.55
vs Weaker (6)1.000.832.501.000.250.75
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slonim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minsk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minsk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minsk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SlonimSlonim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L10W02L01L02L30W11D21W02LH·DIN05/10A·BUM11/10H·FC 18/10A·BAT26/10H·NIV01/11A·OSI07/11A·UNI16/11A·ABF23/11A·LID26/07H·OSI01/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.500.331.200.531.80
vs Stronger (25)0.481.480.311.150.671.83
vs Similar (5)0.201.600.501.500.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Minsk II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Minsk IIMinsk II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D10W32W01L00D40W11D21W00DH·BAT04/10A·NIV12/10H·OSI17/10A·UNI25/10H·ABF31/10A·BAR07/11H·GOM15/11A·VOL22/11H·UNI26/07A·BAT02/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.570.870.670.930.47
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.700.740.580.830.820.64
vs Weaker (6)1.670.002.500.001.250.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slonim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minsk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minsk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minsk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Slonim and Minsk II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Slonim and Minsk II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Slonim and Minsk II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Slonim and Minsk II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SLO wins
0
Draws
1
MI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slonim vs Minsk II · H/A from SLO
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HSLO Vs Minsk II1-2
26/04/25AMinsk II Vs SLO0-2

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HSLO Vs Osipovichy0-2
26/07/26ALida Vs SLO1-3
23/11/25AABFF U19 Vs SLO2-1
16/11/25AUni Minsk Vs SLO2-4
07/11/25AOsipovichy Vs SLO3-0
01/11/25HSLO Vs Niva0-2
26/10/25ABATE II Vs SLO4-0
18/10/25HSLO Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev1-2
11/10/25ABumprom Vs SLO2-1
05/10/25HSLO Vs Dinamo Minsk II0-2

Minsk IIMinsk II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26ABATE II Vs MI0-1
26/07/26HMI Vs Uni Minsk2-1
22/11/25AVolna Vs MI2-3
15/11/25HMI Vs Gomel II7-0
07/11/25ABaranovichi Vs MI1-2
31/10/25HMI Vs ABFF U191-2
25/10/25AUni Minsk Vs MI2-3
17/10/25HMI Vs Osipovichy3-2
12/10/25ANiva Vs MI2-2
04/10/25HMI Vs BATE II1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slonim
Slonim
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL0.76
HomeWLLLL0.96
AwayLLWLW0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%19%
AVG goals3.042.543.50
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %62%46%77%
Over 3.5 %34%21%46%
Scored0.840.880.81
Conceded2.201.672.69
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Minsk II
Minsk II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.58
HomeWWLWW1.33
AwayDWWWW1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%39%56%
AVG goals2.782.672.89
Over 1.5 %67%67%67%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %31%22%39%
Scored1.441.391.50
Conceded1.331.281.39
BTTS56%50%61%
Clean Sheet28%22%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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