Slonim vs Orsha Result & Analysis

Slonim are favoured to win, with a 46 % chance of triumph, a 25 % chance of a draw and a 28 % chance of an Orsha win. The match is expected to produce an average of 3.1 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at a 23 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7 % chance. Slonim, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Orsha, on the road, average 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1 %), Under 6.5 (96.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.2 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.5 %) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (90.9 %).

The upset came early as Slonim, the pre-match favourite with a 46% chance of victory, fell short, losing 1-2 to Orsha. The model’s call was wrong, but the match still lived up to its low-scoring prediction: the final tally of three goals matched the expected total of 3.1. The home side’s recent form - LWLWL and a defeat to Orsha - did not translate into a win, while Orsha’s WLLDL record and a 2-1 win over Slonim set the tone. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (98.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.8%), Under 6.5 (96.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.0%) and Under 5.5 (90.6%).