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Slonim vs Osipovichy Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Slonim
Slonim
Vs
38%
26%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Slonim and Osipovichy face off in the Belarus 1. Division on August 1st. Recent form has been a storyline, with Slonim suffering two consecutive defeats, while Osipovichy comes off a win. However, Slonim's attacking prowess is evident, with a high expected total of 3.2 goals. This project is high-scoring, driven by both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.

Slonim's home win probability stands at 38%, with a 26% chance of a draw and 36% for Osipovichy to win. The model's selection is a home win. The average number of goals expected is 3.2, with the most likely total being 3 goals.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.6%. Osipovichy's away form shows they average 2 goals scored and 3 conceded against similar opponents. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, which is the model's selection with a probability of 83.6%. The home win percentage stands at 38%, the draw percentage at 26%, and the away win percentage at 36%.

Results analysis

The upset of the day came as Osipovichy stunned Slonim at home with a 0-2 victory, extending their win streak and handing Slonim their third consecutive loss. The model's selection, a Home win, was incorrect, as it had predicted Slonim to emerge victorious with a 38% probability. The model's call was wrong. Meanwhile, the suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 83.6%. The model's selection of Home win had a 38% probability of occurring, while the actual result was an Away win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slonim win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy win✓ Hit
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L12L12L04L02L03L42W12L31WA·BEL27/09H·DIN05/10A·BUM11/10H·FC 18/10A·BAT26/10H·NIV01/11A·OSI07/11A·UNI16/11A·ABF23/11A·LID26/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.370.932.140.942.56
vs Stronger (28)1.002.390.932.141.072.64
vs Similar (2)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D02L23L32W03L30W31W04L31WH·GOM27/09A·VOL04/10H·OST11/10A·MIN17/10H·LID25/10A·LOK01/11H·SLO07/11A·BEL15/11A·DIN26/11H·BAT24/07
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.301.182.241.232.38
vs Stronger (27)1.112.371.072.401.172.33
vs Similar (3)2.001.672.001.002.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.5%
Under 2.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.3%
No
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
Slonim goals ↓
Osipovichy goals →
01234
05.2%5.5%5.2%2.7%1.1%
15.6%12%8.3%4.3%1.7%
25.4%8.4%6.6%3.5%1.4%
32.9%4.5%3.5%1.9%0.7%
41.2%1.8%1.4%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slonim goals (down), columns = Osipovichy goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Niva
3.00
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.60
Minsk II
2.40
Osipovichy
2.00
Smorgon
1.80
Lida
1.80
Orsha
1.40
Bumprom
1.33
Volna
1.33
Ostrovets FC
1.20
Uni Minsk
1.20
Slonim
1.20
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.17
FC Slutsk
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.80
Gomel II
0.67
BATE II
0.60
Dinamo Minsk II
0.20
Slonim is 0.80 points worse than Osipovichy in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
2.80
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.40
Volna
2.33
Minsk II
2.20
Lida
2.00
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.83
Slonim
1.60
Bumprom
1.50
FC Slutsk
1.40
BATE II
1.40
Osipovichy
1.40
Ostrovets FC
1.20
Smorgon
1.20
Orsha
1.20
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.80
Uni Minsk
0.80
Dinamo Minsk II
0.60
Slonim is 0.20 goals better than Osipovichy in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.40
Uni Minsk
0.60
Osipovichy
0.80
Minsk II
1.00
Smorgon
1.00
Niva
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.20
Bumprom
1.33
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.60
Orsha
1.60
Lida
1.80
Slonim
1.80
Ostrovets FC
2.00
Dinamo Minsk II
2.00
Gomel II
2.17
Volna
2.17
BATE II
2.20
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.67
Slonim is 1.00 goals worse than Osipovichy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (32)
€2m
FS (25)
€2m
NIV (24)
€2m
SMO (28)
€2m
BUM (23)
€2m
DMI (36)
€1m
M4 (27)
€1m
VOL (22)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (31)
€1m
LID (24)
€1m
SLO (30)
€1m
BI (28)
€1m
ORS (25)
€1m
OSI (24)
€1m
GI (26)
€1m
Slonim and Osipovichy have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
BUM (0)
€0m
DMI (0)
€0m
FS (0)
€0m
GI (0)
€0m
LID (0)
€0m
MI (0)
€0m
M4 (0)
€0m
NIV (0)
€0m
ORS (0)
€0m
OSI (0)
€0m
OF (0)
€0m
SLO (0)
€0m
SMO (0)
€0m
UM (0)
€0m
VOL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
BUM (0)
€0m
DMI (0)
€0m
FS (0)
€0m
GI (0)
€0m
LID (0)
€0m
MI (0)
€0m
M4 (0)
€0m
NIV (0)
€0m
ORS (0)
€0m
OSI (0)
€0m
OF (0)
€0m
SLO (0)
€0m
SMO (0)
€0m
UM (0)
€0m
VOL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
BUM (0)
€0m
DMI (0)
€0m
FS (0)
€0m
GI (0)
€0m
LID (0)
€0m
MI (0)
€0m
M4 (0)
€0m
NIV (0)
€0m
ORS (0)
€0m
OSI (0)
€0m
OF (0)
€0m
SLO (0)
€0m
SMO (0)
€0m
UM (0)
€0m
VOL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Slonim vs Osipovichy · H/A from SLO
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/25AOsipovichy Vs SLO3-0
02/09/23AOsipovichy Vs SLO0-0
30/04/23HSLO Vs Osipovichy4-1
06/11/22HSLO Vs Osipovichy0-2
16/07/22AOsipovichy Vs SLO0-2

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26ALida Vs SLO1-3
23/11/25AABFF U19 Vs SLO2-1
16/11/25AUni Minsk Vs SLO2-4
07/11/25AOsipovichy Vs SLO3-0
01/11/25HSLO Vs Niva0-2
26/10/25ABATE II Vs SLO4-0
18/10/25HSLO Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev1-2
11/10/25ABumprom Vs SLO2-1
05/10/25HSLO Vs Dinamo Minsk II0-2
27/09/25ABelshina Vs SLO2-0

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/26HOSI Vs BATE II3-1
26/11/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs OSI4-0
15/11/25ABelshina Vs OSI1-3
07/11/25HOSI Vs Slonim3-0
01/11/25ALokomotiv Gomel Vs OSI3-0
25/10/25HOSI Vs Lida3-2
17/10/25AMinsk II Vs OSI3-2
11/10/25HOSI Vs Ostrovets FC0-2
04/10/25AVolna Vs OSI1-1
27/09/25HOSI Vs Gomel II1-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Slonim
Slonim
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW0.76
HomeWWLLL0.96
AwayLLWLW0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%19%
AVG goals3.022.503.50
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %62%46%77%
Over 3.5 %34%21%46%
Scored0.840.880.81
Conceded2.181.622.69
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW0.50
HomeLLWWW0.67
AwayDLLWL0.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%19%4%
AVG goals3.183.043.35
Over 1.5 %90%89%91%
Over 2.5 %64%59%70%
Over 3.5 %38%33%43%
Scored0.920.851.00
Conceded2.262.192.35
BTTS52%44%61%
Clean Sheet4%7%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NivaNiva515
100%
3.0
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.81.0
-
2Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4513
80%
2.6
122+10
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.40.4
-
3Minsk IIMinsk II512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.0
-
4OsipovichyOsipovichy510
60%
2.0
74+3
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.40.8
-
5LidaLida59
60%
1.8
109+1
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6SmorgonSmorgon59
60%
1.8
65+1
2.2
100%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.21.0
-
7VolnaVolna68
33%
1.3
1413+1
4.5
83%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.32.2
-
8BumpromBumprom68
33%
1.3
98+1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.51.3
-
9OrshaOrsha57
40%
1.4
68-2
2.8
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
10Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk67
33%
1.2
1116-5
4.5
83%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.7
-
11Uni MinskUni Minsk56
20%
1.2
43+1
1.4
60%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.80.6
-
12SlonimSlonim56
40%
1.2
89-1
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
13Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC56
40%
1.2
610-4
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
14FC SlutskFC Slutsk55
20%
1.0
76+1
2.6
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.41.2
-
15FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk54
20%
0.8
48-4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
16Gomel IIGomel II64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
17BATE IIBATE II53
20%
0.6
711-4
3.6
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
18Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II51
0%
0.2
310-7
2.6
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.62.0
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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