Slonim vs Volna Result & Analysis

Slonim host Volna in the Belarus 1. Division, with the visitors looking to capitalise on their stronger recent form. Volna have been coming off a draw, while Slonim are coming off a win, having beaten Bumprom 3-1 in their last outing. However, it's the away side that are the model's favourite to win, with a 57% probability of success. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.5 goals and the most likely outcome being 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.6% probability. Slonim have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 2.27, while Volna have excelled on the road, scoring 2.33 goals and conceding 1.33 against weaker opponents. The model's selection is the away win, with a 57% chance of success. The model also suggests the Over 1.5 selection, with an 87.2% probability. The home win percentage is 21%, the draw percentage is 22%, and the away win percentage is 57%.

The upset came as Slonim stunned Volna with a 3-0 victory, extending their recent win streak. The model had tipped an away win with a 57 % probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 3-0 gave Slonim a home win. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 %, Under 7.5 at 96.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 93.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0 %, Under 6.5 at 91.8 %. Only the Away +2 handicap missed, coming in at 90.3 %. The prediction model’s favourite was therefore incorrect, while most of its other picks were correct.