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Slovan Bratislava II vs Žilina II Result & Analysis

Date: 11/11/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 3-0
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Vs
28%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 44% chance for Žilina II, 28% each for a home win and a draw. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderately high-scoring encounter, yet the most likely total is two goals, with a 26% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. Slovan Bratislava II, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Žilina II, on the road, averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against similar teams. Suggested selections include Over 1.5 goals at 75.2% and Under 3.5 goals at 72.8%. The home win probability is 28%, the draw probability 28%, and the away win probability 44%. All figures are taken directly from the model’s output.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Slovan Bratislava II snatched a 3-0 victory, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite, an away win at 44%. The model’s call was wrong, but its other selections held. Over 1.5 goals, with a 75.2% probability, hit as the match produced three goals, while Under 3.5, at 72.8%, also hit, keeping the total below the expected 2.6. Slovan’s form, noted as coming off a draw, proved resilient, whereas Žilina II, after a defeat, could not convert. The final score of 3-0 sealed a home win, confirming the unexpected outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovan Bratislava II win✓ Hit
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žilina II win✗ Miss
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L21W03L22D11D21W01L42W02LA·SPA26/08H·RAČ04/09A·POV10/09H·TAT17/09A·POH01/10H·KOM07/10A·FK 15/10H·HUM23/10A·ŠAM29/10A·PET05/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.311.690.881.751.751.62
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (14)1.501.641.171.671.751.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D42W14L01L30W30W10W31W00D22DA·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09H·HUM18/09H·PET08/10A·DOL16/10A·SLA23/10H·DUB29/10A·ŠAM02/11H·PÚC05/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.941.752.621.881.251.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.102.103.002.170.752.00
vs Weaker (6)1.671.171.501.001.751.25
Clean sheet %25% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
Slovan Bratislava II goals ↓
Žilina II goals →
01234
08.4%9.5%8.0%4.0%1.5%
16.9%13%9.1%4.6%1.7%
24.7%7.0%5.2%2.6%1.0%
31.8%2.6%2.0%1.0%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Bratislava II goals (down), columns = Žilina II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Košice
2.20
Tatran Prešov
2.07
Komárno
1.77
Žilina II
1.67
Spartak Myjava
1.43
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.33
Šamorín
1.33
Púchov
1.27
Slavoj Trebišov
1.20
Petržalka
1.13
Dolný Kubín
1.13
Humenné
1.07
Rača
0.87
Dubnica
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.23 points worse than Žilina II in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Žilina II
2.23
FK Košice
2.03
Považská Bystrica
1.73
Tatran Prešov
1.63
Púchov
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.53
Šamorín
1.47
Slovan Bratislava II
1.43
Pohronie
1.40
Komárno
1.37
Petržalka
1.33
Dubnica
1.27
Dolný Kubín
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.07
Rača
0.83
Humenné
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.80 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Košice
0.70
Tatran Prešov
0.80
Komárno
0.87
Humenné
1.17
Spartak Myjava
1.37
Petržalka
1.43
Púchov
1.47
Slavoj Trebišov
1.47
Pohronie
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Šamorín
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Rača
1.73
Dubnica
1.97
Dolný Kubín
2.00
Slovan Bratislava II is 0.17 goals better than Žilina II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W02L02L01L00D00D21W02LA·SPA26/08H·RAČ04/09A·POV10/09H·TAT17/09A·POH01/10H·KOM07/10A·FK 15/10H·HUM23/10A·ŠAM29/10A·PET05/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.381.000.251.000.501.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (14)0.431.000.331.000.501.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W10W01L30W20W00D01L00D11DA·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09H·HUM18/09H·PET08/10A·DOL16/10A·SLA23/10H·DUB29/10A·ŠAM02/11H·PÚC05/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.811.121.250.750.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.101.001.501.330.500.50
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.001.001.000.25
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L11D01L20W10W21W01L21W00DA·SPA26/08H·RAČ04/09A·POV10/09H·TAT17/09A·POH01/10H·KOM07/10A·FK 15/10H·HUM23/10A·ŠAM29/10A·PET05/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.690.620.751.250.62
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (14)1.070.640.830.671.250.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %31% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L04L00D00D10W10W30W00D11DA·POH27/08H·KOM03/09A·FK 10/09H·HUM18/09H·PET08/10A·DOL16/10A·SLA23/10H·DUB29/10A·ŠAM02/11H·PÚC05/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.941.500.620.501.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.001.101.500.830.251.50
vs Weaker (6)1.000.671.500.000.751.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (25)
€6m
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (5)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (9)
€2m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FK (11)
€2m
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Slovan Bratislava II and Žilina II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SBI wins
0
Draws
0
ŽI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slovan Bratislava II vs Žilina II · H/A from SBI
DateH/AGameScore
24/07/22AŽilina II Vs SBI1-2

Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22APetržalka Vs SBI2-0
29/10/22AŠamorín Vs SBI2-4
23/10/22HSBI Vs Humenné0-1
15/10/22AFK Košice Vs SBI1-2
07/10/22HSBI Vs Komárno1-1
01/10/22APohronie Vs SBI2-2
17/09/22HSBI Vs Tatran Prešov0-3
10/09/22APovažská Bystrica Vs SBI1-2
04/09/22HSBI Vs Rača0-1
26/08/22ASpartak Myjava Vs SBI1-2

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22HŽI Vs Púchov2-2
02/11/22AŠamorín Vs ŽI0-0
29/10/22HŽI Vs Dubnica3-1
23/10/22ASlavoj Trebišov Vs ŽI0-1
16/10/22ADolný Kubín Vs ŽI0-3
08/10/22HŽI Vs Petržalka3-0
18/09/22HŽI Vs Humenné0-1
10/09/22AFK Košice Vs ŽI4-1
03/09/22HŽI Vs Komárno4-2
27/08/22APohronie Vs ŽI2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.44
HomeLLLDL0.88
AwayWDWWL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%25%62%
AVG goals3.002.623.38
Over 1.5 %88%75%100%
Over 2.5 %75%62%88%
Over 3.5 %19%12%25%
Scored1.310.881.75
Conceded1.691.751.62
BTTS69%62%75%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.31
HomeWLWWD1.62
AwayDLWWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%25%
AVG goals3.694.502.88
Over 1.5 %81%88%75%
Over 2.5 %75%88%62%
Over 3.5 %50%62%38%
Scored1.942.621.25
Conceded1.751.881.62
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet25%12%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK KošiceFK Košice3066
67%
2.2
6121+40
2.7
77%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1222.00.7
-
2Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3062
67%
2.1
4924+25
2.4
77%
60%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
3KomárnoKomárno3053
47%
1.8
4126+15
2.2
67%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II3050
50%
1.7
6750+17
3.9
80%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.7
-
5Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3043
40%
1.4
4641+5
2.9
80%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3043
40%
1.4
4345-2
2.9
87%
70%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
7PohroniePohronie3041
33%
1.4
4245-3
2.9
83%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.5
-
8Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3040
33%
1.3
5248+4
3.3
80%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
9ŠamorínŠamorín3040
40%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
77%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.7
-
10PúchovPúchov3038
37%
1.3
4744+3
3.0
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
11Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3036
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
67%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12PetržalkaPetržalka3034
27%
1.1
4043-3
2.8
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
13Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3034
33%
1.1
3660-24
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
14HumennéHumenné3032
23%
1.1
2435-11
2.0
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15RačaRača3026
20%
0.9
2552-27
2.6
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
16DubnicaDubnica3025
20%
0.8
3859-21
3.2
83%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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