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Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Vs
34%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ilirija
Ilirija
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Slovan Ljubljana and Ilirija is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home victory sits at 34%, a draw at 26%, and the away side’s 40% edge is the most likely outcome. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a moderately high-scoring game, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 23% chance. The single score the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 11.8% probability, reflecting the teams’ similar offensive output.

Slovan Ljubljana, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. Ilirija, on the road, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against comparable opposition. Recent form shows Slovan on a two-game winning streak after a 3-2 win over Krka, while Ilirija rides a three-game winning run following a 2-0 triumph over Rudar.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), Under 6.5 (96.0%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.7%), and Away under 3.5 goals (91.6%).

Results analysis

The upset came as Slovan Ljubljana, riding a three-game winning streak, edged Ilirija 2-1 to claim the home win. The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 40% probability, proved wrong. The model’s selection of an away victory was therefore incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.2%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.3%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93.7%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 91.6%. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home side’s victory, leaving the model’s prediction on the losing side.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovan Ljubljana win✓ Hit
33.7%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 2.97
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.30
Betano
3.15
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.02
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.30
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
1xBet
3.38
Ilirija win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.12
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.43
Dafabet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Betfair
2.15
William Hil
2.15

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L03L11D10W15L51W01L03L31W32WA·DRA19/04H·GOR25/04A·KRŠ30/04H·JES07/05A·DEK10/05H·TAB17/05A·BIS23/05A·DEK08/08H·BEL15/08A·KRK21/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.831.331.601.072.07
vs Stronger (9)1.002.441.002.501.002.33
vs Similar (19)1.211.631.621.120.912.00
vs Weaker (2)2.001.001.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W41W02L12L10W01L13L10W60W20WH·BIS17/04A·KRK24/04H·NAF30/04A·DRA06/05H·BIL09/05A·GOR15/05H·BEL22/05H·DRA09/08A·BIS15/08H·RUD22/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.531.311.501.571.57
vs Stronger (7)0.711.710.331.671.001.75
vs Similar (22)1.641.551.501.581.801.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
@ 1.22+8.7%
Under 1.5
17.2%
@ 3.48-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Superbet
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.74+7.7%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 1.92-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Bet365
2.08
Superbet
1.97
Betfair
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
@ 2.81+5.7%
Under 3.5
62.2%
@ 1.33-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.60+6.6%
No
36.8%
@ 2.09-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 6.25+5.1%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.08+3.6%
2-1 ✓
7.9%@ 9.92+3.7%
2-2
6.5%@ 11.17+2.7%
0-1
6.2%@ 8.25+1.1%
0-2
5.9%@ 10.42+1.9%
0-0
5.5%@ 9.79+1.2%
1-0
5.5%@ 9.92+1.3%
Slovan Ljubljana goals ↓
Ilirija goals →
01234
05.5%6.2%5.9%3.2%1.3%
15.5%12%8.8%4.8%2.0%
24.9%7.9%6.5%3.5%1.4%
32.4%3.9%3.2%1.7%0.7%
40.9%1.4%1.2%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovan Ljubljana goals (down), columns = Ilirija goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Primorje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Brežice
1.38
Dren Vrhnika
1.38
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Jesenice
0.60
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.17 points better than Ilirija in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 0.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Beltinci
1.83
Primorje
1.73
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Slovan Ljubljana is 0.20 goals worse than Ilirija in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.83
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Primorje
1.15
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dravinja
1.47
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Ilirija
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Slovan Ljubljana and Ilirija are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slovan Ljubljana or Draw✓ Hit
59.6%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.59
Edge
+2.2%
34%
26%
40%
covers Slovan Ljubljana + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Slovan Ljubljana or Ilirija✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.7%
34%
26%
40%
covers Slovan Ljubljana + Ilirija
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Ilirija✗ Miss
66.3%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.32
Edge
-2.9%
34%
26%
40%
covers Draw + Ilirija
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.37
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.2%
@ 1.29+7.1%
Under
22.8%
@ 3.03-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.04
10Bet
2.95
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 2.54+7.4%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.44-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.54
1xBet
2.54
Betano
2.52
Under
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 5.78+2.8%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.08-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
5.15
Under
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.5%
@ 1.18+3.6%
Under
19.5%
@ 3.92-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.05
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.75
Ilirija over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.6%
@ 1.99+2.4%
Under
51.4%
@ 1.71-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Pinnacle
2.01
Marathonbet
1.99
10Bet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Ilirija over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.5%
@ 4.00-0.2%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.18+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
Ilirija over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 9.50-1.3%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Under
1xBet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Slovan Ljubljana, so a minus line means Slovan Ljubljana give that many goals of a start and Ilirija receive them. At -1, Slovan Ljubljana must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slovan Ljubljana win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slovan Ljubljana)Actual: Ilirija
Slovan Ljubljana -2
6.2%
Draw -2
10.2%
Ilirija +2
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Slovan Ljubljana)Actual: Draw
Slovan Ljubljana -1
16.3%
@ 6.45+2.6%
Draw -1
17.4%
@ 4.72-1.3%
Ilirija +1
66.3%
@ 1.30-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap +1 (Slovan Ljubljana)Actual: Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana +1
59.6%
@ 1.58+4.0%
Draw +1
19.3%
@ 3.77-4.1%
Ilirija -1
21.1%
@ 4.20+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Draw
Marathonbet
3.78
Betfair
3.75
Away
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
3.90
Handicap +2 (Slovan Ljubljana)Actual: Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana +2
78.9%
@ 1.23+7.1%
Draw +2
12.4%
@ 5.60-3.3%
Ilirija -2
8.7%
@ 7.10-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Away
Marathonbet
7.10

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L00D10W14L10W00D02L30W11DA·DRA19/04H·GOR25/04A·KRŠ30/04H·JES07/05A·DEK10/05H·TAB17/05A·BIS23/05A·DEK08/08H·BEL15/08A·KRK21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.600.730.401.07
vs Stronger (9)0.561.330.501.170.671.67
vs Similar (19)0.470.740.620.500.360.91
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W02L10W00D01L13L00D20W10WH·BIS17/04A·KRK24/04H·NAF30/04A·DRA06/05H·BIL09/05A·GOR15/05H·BEL22/05H·DRA09/08A·BIS15/08H·RUD22/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.380.810.860.93
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.331.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.640.860.330.831.000.90
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.5%
@ 1.31+4.4%
Under 0.5
26.5%
@ 2.93-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.92
1xBet
2.92
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.4%
@ 2.47-0.2%
Under 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.43+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Pinnacle
2.52
Superbet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 5.64-2.5%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.08+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Superbet
5.40
BetVictor
4.00
Under
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.4%
@ 2.16+3.7%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.61-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.4%
@ 7.30+0.8%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.05-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.05
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.7%
@ 1.86-1.0%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.84+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Ilirija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 5.20-4.7%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.11+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.11
Ilirija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L11D00D01L41W01L01L01L21WA·DRA19/04H·GOR25/04A·KRŠ30/04H·JES07/05A·DEK10/05H·TAB17/05A·BIS23/05A·DEK08/08H·BEL15/08A·KRK21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.930.730.870.671.00
vs Stronger (9)0.441.110.501.330.330.67
vs Similar (19)0.740.891.000.620.551.09
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W00D02L10W00D00D10W40W10WH·BIS17/04A·KRK24/04H·NAF30/04A·DRA06/05H·BIL09/05A·GOR15/05H·BEL22/05H·DRA09/08A·BIS15/08H·RUD22/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.940.690.710.64
vs Stronger (7)0.290.710.000.670.500.75
vs Similar (22)1.000.681.170.750.800.60
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Ljubljana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.3%
@ 1.19+3.3%
Under 0.5
19.7%
@ 3.98-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.3%
@ 1.97+1.6%
Under 1.5
51.7%
@ 1.73-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 3.85-2.0%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.19+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.1%
@ 1.82+2.3%
Under
46.9%
@ 1.88-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.78
Under
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.84
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 5.30+1.4%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.11-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Under
1xBet
1.11
Slovan Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.9%
@ 1.61+0.8%
Under
42.1%
@ 2.15-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.10
Ilirija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 3.80-5.1%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.21+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Ilirija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 9.10-5.3%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.3%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+5.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals91.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+1.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.590.4%1.02
1xBet
1.03
BetVictor
1.02
Betfair
1.01
--+0.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.1%1.11
1xBet
1.11
----+4.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.6%1.05
1xBet
1.05
-----0.8%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals86.5%1.08
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+2.5%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap83.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.8%1.22
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
+8.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals81.4%1.08
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
----2.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals81.3%1.11
1xBet
1.11
-----1.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals81.0%1.21
1xBet
1.21
----+5.1%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals80.5%1.18
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
--+3.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.3%1.19
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
---+3.3%✗ Miss
Under 4.579.6%1.10
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
-2.0%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap78.9%1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
----+7.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.4%1.19
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
---+2.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals77.5%1.18
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
---+0.2%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.2%1.29
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
--+7.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.1%1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
+0.7%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals73.5%1.31
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
+4.4%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Slovan Ljubljana and Ilirija have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Ilirija have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Ilirija have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Slovan Ljubljana and Ilirija have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
SL wins
2
Draws
0
ILI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slovan Ljubljana vs Ilirija · H/A from SL
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/26HSL Vs Ilirija2-1
14/09/25AIlirija Vs SL1-2
03/05/25HSL Vs Ilirija1-1
19/10/24AIlirija Vs SL0-0

Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AKrka Vs SL2-3
15/08/26HSL Vs Beltinci3-1
08/08/26ADekani Vs SL3-0
23/05/26ABistrica Vs SL1-0
17/05/26HSL Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
10/05/26ADekani Vs SL5-1
07/05/26HSL Vs Jesenice1-0
30/04/26AKrško Vs SL1-1
25/04/26HSL Vs Gorica0-3
19/04/26ADravinja Vs SL2-1

IlirijaIlirija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HILI Vs Rudar2-0
15/08/26ABistrica Vs ILI0-6
09/08/26HILI Vs Dravinja1-0
22/05/26HILI Vs Beltinci1-3
15/05/26AGorica Vs ILI1-0
09/05/26HILI Vs Bilje1-0
06/05/26ADravinja Vs ILI2-1
30/04/26HILI Vs Nafta0-2
24/04/26AKrka Vs ILI1-4
17/04/26HILI Vs Bistrica2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slovan Ljubljana
Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.26
HomeDLWWW1.60
AwayDLLLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.762.762.76
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.201.401.00
Conceded1.561.361.76
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Ilirija
Ilirija
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW0.98
HomeLWLWW1.04
AwayDWLLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.842.962.72
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.241.161.32
Conceded1.601.801.40
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana412
100%
3.0
110+11
2.8
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.80.0
-
2IlirijaIlirija49
75%
2.2
102+8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.50.5
-
3Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana49
75%
2.2
87+1
3.8
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
4JeseniceJesenice47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.2
-
5BistricaBistrica47
50%
1.8
67-1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
6TriglavTriglav36
67%
2.0
52+3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.7
-
7BeltinciBeltinci46
50%
1.5
86+2
3.5
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.5
-
8RudarRudar46
50%
1.5
75+2
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.81.2
-
9Dren VrhnikaDren Vrhnika46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10BiljeBilje46
50%
1.5
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.82.5
-
11PrimorjePrimorje46
50%
1.5
58-3
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
12KrškoKrško45
25%
1.2
38-5
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
13DekaniDekani44
25%
1.0
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.80.8
-
14KrkaKrka41
0%
0.2
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.02.2
-
15BrežiceBrežice30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
16DravinjaDravinja40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.52.5
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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