The match between Sochaux and Guingamp is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Guingamp's recent form suggesting a turnaround in fortunes. The visitors have been defeated in their last five matches, but their away scoring and conceding statistics against similar opponents are respectable, averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.64 conceded.
Guingamp is the favourite to win, with a 47% chance of success, according to the model, which predicts an away win. The model also suggests that the most likely score is 1-1, with a 13% probability. The expected total number of goals in the match is 2.7, with the most likely total being 2 goals.
Sochaux's home form is concerning, having conceded 1 goal on average at home against similar opponents, while their own scoring average is 1.6 goals per match. Guingamp's away scoring average is slightly lower, but their away form has been improving.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (86.1%), Over 1.5 goals (76.8%), and Under 3.5 goals (70.8%). The home win percentage is 26%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 47%.
Results analysis
The upset came as Sochaux edged Guingamp 1-0, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite of an away win, which had a 47 % probability. The home side’s recent form, a win after a streak of defeats, proved decisive. The model’s call was wrong, but many of its suggested picks hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0 %), Under 6.5 (97.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.8 %), Over 19.5 fouls (94.2 %), Under 5.5 (93.4 %), and Home under 1.5 HT goals (92.9 %). All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and the final score of 1-0 confirms the home victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sochaux win✓ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.74
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.85
10Bet
2.85
Betano
2.80
Betfair
2.80
SBO
2.78
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.21
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.27
Guingamp win✗ Miss
46.9%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.51
Edge
+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.69
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sochaux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.23
1.17
1.33
1.78
1.17
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.00
0.25
2.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.33
1.05
1.62
1.00
1.15
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
4.33
1.00
-
-
4.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.17
0.86
0.93
1.38
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.15
1.11
0.92
0.75
1.33
1.40
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.3%
@ 1.30+6.6%
Under 1.5
21.7%
@ 3.30-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.99+5.9%
Under 2.5
46.6%
@ 1.79-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
Unibet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.1%
@ 3.44+4.0%
Under 3.5
68.9%
@ 1.28-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.85
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Unibet
3.55
888Sport
3.50
Under
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
@ 1.74+3.6%
No
43.1%
@ 1.99-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
888Sport
1.75
No
1xBet
2.06
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 5.86+5.1%
1-2
9.5%@ 8.97+4.5%
0-1
8.6%@ 7.62+2.8%
0-2
8.0%@ 11.33+4.1%
0-0
7.1%@ 8.62+2.0%
2-1
6.8%@ 9.67+2.2%
1-0 ✓
5.9%@ 8.15+0.4%
2-2
5.6%@ 12.94+2.1%
Sochaux goals ↓
Guingamp goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
8.6%
8.0%
4.4%
1.8%
1
5.9%
13%
9.5%
5.2%
2.1%
2
4.2%
6.8%
5.6%
3.0%
1.2%
3
1.6%
2.7%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sochaux goals (down), columns = Guingamp goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.93
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Metz
1.66
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.13
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.04
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Sochaux is 0.01 points better than Guingamp in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.82
Saint Etienne
1.72
Metz
1.56
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.06
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.98
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Sochaux is 0.17 goals worse than Guingamp in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.22).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
0.99
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.45
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.57
PAU
1.81
Sochaux is 0.10 goals better than Guingamp in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sochaux
For 3.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 15.4 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guingamp
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 14.4 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sochaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
6.7
9.3
0.4
0.3
0.5
28.5
29.3
27.7
vs Stronger (10)
8.0
8.0
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
28.0
28.0
-
vs Similar (37)
8.3
4.0
10.5
0.4
0.3
0.4
29.0
32.0
27.5
vs Weaker (3)
7.0
-
7.0
1.7
-
1.7
28.0
-
28.0
% over line
17%
0%
33%
6%
4%
7%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
83%
100%
67%
94%
96%
93%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.8
8.4
4.2
4.6
3.8
27.3
26.8
27.9
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
10.0
8.0
4.6
4.7
4.5
24.4
25.7
22.5
vs Similar (43)
9.1
9.8
8.4
4.3
4.7
3.9
27.6
26.9
28.4
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
9.0
-
1.5
3.0
0.0
28.0
28.0
-
% over line
32%
42%
22%
60%
71%
50%
85%
83%
87%
% under line
68%
58%
78%
40%
29%
50%
15%
17%
13%
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.4
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.7
Montpellier
9.6
Nancy
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
PAU
9.4
Metz
9.4
Nantes
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.1
Sochaux
9.1
Guingamp
9.0
Reims
8.7
Boulogne
8.7
Dunkerque
8.5
Annecy
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.3
Annecy
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Reims
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Laval
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Dijon
3.8
Metz
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.3
Nancy
28.9
Annecy
28.7
Boulogne
28.2
Laval
28.1
Guingamp
27.8
Dijon
27.5
Clermont Foot
26.8
Nantes
26.6
RED Star FC 93
26.5
Saint Etienne
26.2
Sochaux
26.0
Dunkerque
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.7
Grenoble
25.6
Reims
24.8
Metz
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.3%
@ 2.40-2.0%
Under 9.5
63.7%
@ 1.49+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.45
Unibet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.39
Superbet
2.32
Under
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.7%
@ 1.59-5.4%
Under 3.5
48.3%
@ 2.12+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Under
Superbet
2.12
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.4%
Under 21.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sochaux or Draw✓ Hit
53.1%
Avg Implied 62.5% · @ 1.50
Edge
-9.4%
26%
27%
47%
covers Sochaux + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Sochaux or Guingamp✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.32
Edge
+2.1%
26%
27%
47%
covers Sochaux + Guingamp
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Draw or Guingamp✗ Miss
73.6%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.41
Edge
+7.3%
26%
27%
47%
covers Draw + Guingamp
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sochaux over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.2%
@ 1.31-1.1%
Under
30.8%
@ 3.12+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
Superbet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Sochaux over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 2.56-3.4%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.47+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.66
Unibet
2.63
Superbet
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Sochaux over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 5.96-4.0%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
888Sport
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Sochaux over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 15.31-3.1%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Guingamp over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.5%
@ 1.29+8.5%
Under
19.5%
@ 3.32-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.51
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Guingamp over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.7%
@ 2.41+10.1%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.52-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
10Bet
2.45
888Sport
2.45
Unibet
2.43
BetVictor
2.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.55
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Guingamp over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.6%
@ 5.54+5.8%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.12-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Guingamp over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 14.50+1.8%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.02-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sochaux, so a minus line means Sochaux give that many goals of a start and Guingamp receive them. At -1, Sochaux must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sochaux win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sochaux)Actual: Guingamp
Sochaux -2
3.5%
@ 11.64-4.1%
Draw -2
7.6%
@ 7.33-4.5%
Guingamp +2
88.9%
@ 1.11+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Sochaux)Actual: Draw
Sochaux -1
11.1%
@ 5.55-5.1%
Draw -1
15.3%
@ 4.31-5.5%
Guingamp +1
73.6%
@ 1.42+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Sochaux)Actual: Sochaux
Sochaux +1
53.1%
@ 1.50-6.3%
Draw +1
21.7%
@ 4.05-0.3%
Guingamp -1
25.2%
@ 4.78+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.48
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Handicap +2 (Sochaux)Actual: Sochaux
Sochaux +2
74.8%
@ 1.13-3.3%
Draw +2
14.6%
@ 6.60+1.2%
Guingamp -2
10.6%
@ 10.44+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sochaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.83
0.83
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.00
1.25
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.62
0.69
0.54
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
-
-
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.50
0.43
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.56
0.58
0.25
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.40+5.6%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 2.80-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.73
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.80+8.7%
Under 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.39-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 6.83+0.1%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.07-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.80
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.45
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sochaux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.4%
@ 2.15-8.6%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.63+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Unibet
2.18
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.62
Sochaux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 6.78-6.5%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.07+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Superbet
6.80
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Sochaux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 17.75-4.4%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Guingamp over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.8%
@ 2.08+12.2%
Under
43.2%
@ 1.67-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Unibet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Guingamp over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 6.44+4.1%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.08-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Superbet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Guingamp over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 19.83+0.3%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sochaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.67
0.50
0.94
0.72
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.25
0.75
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.48
0.88
0.38
0.46
0.54
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.67
-
-
3.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.36
0.50
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.56
0.33
0.50
0.73
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sochaux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sochaux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sochaux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.6%
1.02
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.9%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.07
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.8%
1.15
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.6%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.5%
1.29
Pinnacle
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.3%
1.30
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
77.4%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
-5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.9%
1.28
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
74.8%
1.13
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
73.6%
1.41
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
73.6%
1.42
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.2%
1.32
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.4%
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-
-
-
-
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.40
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
+5.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sochaux
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Boubacar Fofana25%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Élie N'Gatta25%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
Guingamp
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donatien Gomis25%
Albin Demouchy25%
Stanislas Kielt25%
Samir Ben Brahim25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Donatien Gomis50%
Albin Demouchy50%
Tom Ducrocq25%
Dylan Louiserre25%
Adrián Ortolá25%
Jasser Chamakh25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amine Hemia33%
Jérémie Matumona33%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislas Kielt50%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Sochaux's squad is €4m less valuable than Guingamp's (€7m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Sochaux and Guingamp have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Sochaux's midfield is €4m less valuable than Guingamp's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Sochaux and Guingamp have a similar defence value (both €3m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Dunkerque
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes