Solihull’s recent form has been a blur of four straight defeats, leaving them at the back of the table after a 1-3 loss to Scunthorpe, while Fylde, fresh from a 2-0 win over Forest Green, look to carry that momentum into this fixture. The model favours an away win, with the probability of a Solihull victory at 37%, a draw at 24%, and an away win at 39%. The expected total goals hover at 3.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.2% chance. Solihull, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, whereas Fylde, away against a weaker opponent, averages 1.09 scored and 1.55 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.4% with a 4% edge, Under 7.5 at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.9% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.8% with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 93.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 90.4% with a 1% edge, and Away under 3.5 goals at 89.5%.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Fylde secured a 3-1 away victory, extending their two-game winning streak after a strong start to the season. The pre-match favourite, Away win, carried a 39% probability and was correct. The final score of 1-3 matched the model’s expectation of a 3-goal game. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.8%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 93.5%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 90.4%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 89.5%. The model’s selections performed consistently across the match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Solihull winâś— Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.56
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.65
Betano
2.65
Superbet
2.60
William Hil
2.60
Bet365
2.60
Drawâś— Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.55
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.81
Dafabet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Fylde winâś“ Hit
39.1%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.38
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.53
Superbet
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Dafabet
2.43
Betano
2.42
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Solihull
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.80
1.80
2.00
1.47
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
1.50
4.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.57
1.82
1.64
2.07
1.50
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
F
Fylde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.67
1.44
1.56
1.00
1.79
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (8)
1.50
1.50
1.83
1.17
0.50
2.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.10
1.65
1.11
1.78
1.09
1.55
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
@ 1.15+6.5%
Under 1.5
12.7%
@ 4.82-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.07
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.8%
@ 1.54+7.4%
Under 2.5
32.2%
@ 2.35-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Superbet
2.40
10Bet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.2%
@ 2.32+6.2%
Under 3.5
53.8%
@ 1.54-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.36
10Bet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.1%
@ 1.46+5.9%
No
30.9%
@ 2.50-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
No
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.56
BetVictor
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 6.74+3.8%
1-2
8.2%@ 8.58+3.2%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.87+3.1%
2-2
7.1%@ 9.87+2.7%
1-3 âś“
4.9%@ 14.66+1.9%
0-2
4.8%@ 12.97+1.4%
3-1
4.6%@ 16.33+1.9%
2-0
4.5%@ 14.02+1.4%
Solihull goals ↓
Fylde goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
4.5%
4.8%
2.8%
1.3%
1
4.3%
10%
8.2%
4.9%
2.2%
2
4.5%
8.0%
7.1%
4.2%
1.9%
3
2.6%
4.6%
4.0%
2.4%
1.1%
4
1.1%
2.0%
1.7%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Solihull goals (down), columns = Fylde goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Solihull is 0.16 points worse than Fylde in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Solihull is 0.09 goals better than Fylde in terms of goals scored per game (1.54 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Solihull is 0.11 goals worse than Fylde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.46).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Solihull or Drawâś— Miss
60.9%
Avg Implied 61.3% · @ 1.50
Edge
-0.5%
37%
24%
39%
covers Solihull + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Solihull or Fyldeâś“ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.5%
37%
24%
39%
covers Solihull + Fylde
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Fyldeâś“ Hit
63.3%
Avg Implied 64.3% · @ 1.43
Edge
-1.0%
37%
24%
39%
covers Draw + Fylde
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Solihull over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.0%
@ 1.19+4.4%
Under
18.0%
@ 4.12-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.20
Superbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
Solihull over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.2%
@ 2.00+5.1%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.72-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Superbet
1.76
Betfair
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Solihull over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.7%
@ 4.17+2.5%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.19-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Solihull over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 9.34-0.5%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.04+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Betano
8.25
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Fylde over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.1%
@ 1.18+4.4%
Under
16.9%
@ 4.34-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Superbet
4.35
Fylde over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 1.91+4.6%
Under
47.0%
@ 1.79-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
1.94
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Superbet
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.80
Fylde over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.3%
@ 3.89+2.5%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.21-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.14
BetVictor
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.98
Betfair
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Fylde over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 8.53-0.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.06+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.10
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Solihull, so a minus line means Solihull give that many goals of a start and Fylde receive them. At -1, Solihull must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Solihull win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Solihull)Actual: Fylde
Solihull -2
8.0%
@ 9.36-1.4%
Draw -2
11.2%
@ 6.67-2.1%
Fylde +2
80.8%
@ 1.15+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Superbet
9.10
Marathonbet
6.35
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.80
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Solihull)Actual: Fylde
Solihull -1
19.2%
@ 4.67+0.4%
Draw -1
17.5%
@ 4.36-2.7%
Fylde +1
63.3%
@ 1.44+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Away
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Handicap +1 (Solihull)Actual: Fylde
Solihull +1
60.9%
@ 1.49+1.7%
Draw +1
18.1%
@ 4.25-2.6%
Fylde -1
21.0%
@ 4.36+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Unibet
1.43
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Unibet
3.70
Handicap +2 (Solihull)Actual: Draw
Solihull +2
79.0%
@ 1.16+2.7%
Draw +2
12.0%
@ 6.44-1.8%
Fylde -2
9.0%
@ 8.81-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
8.40
Marathonbet
5.85
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Solihull
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.57
1.07
0.73
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.96
0.54
1.00
0.79
0.93
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
F
Fylde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.50
0.62
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.70
0.75
0.56
0.78
0.82
0.73
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.5%
@ 1.25+0.7%
Under 0.5
25.5%
@ 3.53-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.24+0.6%
Under 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.58-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.29
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.26
Bet365
2.25
Under
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Betfair
1.60
BetVictor
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 4.98-3.0%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.14+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
Under
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Solihull over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.2%
@ 1.86+4.7%
Under
45.8%
@ 1.83-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Unibet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Solihull over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 5.50-0.5%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.11+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Solihull over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 13.75-3.2%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Fylde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 1.82-3.2%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.87+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Unibet
1.80
Under
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Fylde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.0%
@ 5.19-4.8%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.12+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
4.90
Superbet
4.85
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Fylde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 12.88-5.2%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Solihull
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.23
0.73
1.27
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.61
1.29
0.64
1.29
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
F
Fylde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.94
0.94
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.88
1.33
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (20)
0.40
0.90
0.56
1.00
0.27
0.82
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Solihull) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.4%
@ 1.13+1.8%
Under 0.5
16.6%
@ 5.02-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Betano
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.3%
@ 1.74-4.8%
Under 1.5
51.7%
@ 1.97+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.78
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Under
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.6%
@ 3.28-2.7%
Under 2.5
74.4%
@ 1.29+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Solihull over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.9%
@ 1.59-0.5%
Under
42.1%
@ 2.23+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Solihull over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.5%
@ 3.84-1.6%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.22+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Solihull over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.38-4.2%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Fylde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.0%
@ 1.57-4.9%
Under
46.0%
@ 2.25+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
Fylde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 3.69-4.1%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.23+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Fylde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 8.85-5.9%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.70
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.2%
âś“ Hit
Under 7.5
97.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.7%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.9%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.2%
âś“ Hit
Under 6.5
93.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+0.3%
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
+0.5%
âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.5%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
+0.5%
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
87.3%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.16
+6.5%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+4.8%
âś— Miss
Under 5.5
85.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
-1.7%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+3.0%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+0.5%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.4%
1.13
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
+1.8%
âś“ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+4.4%
âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.0%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+4.4%
âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap
80.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+3.5%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
+4.1%
âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.0%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+2.7%
âś— Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+1.6%
âś“ Hit
Home or Away
75.8%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+1.5%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
75.3%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-2.5%
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.5%
1.25
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+0.7%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.29
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
+2.7%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
73.7%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
-2.5%
âś— Miss
Under 4.5
72.7%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-4.3%
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →