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Southend vs Yeovil Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 11:30
Southend
Southend
Vs
51%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Yeovil
Yeovil
England: National League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Southend are the clear favourites to win this National League clash, with a 51% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and only a 21% chance of Yeovil taking the win. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, and the model predicts a 1-1 draw as the single most likely scoreline, with a 13.2% probability. Southend’s home form shows they average 2.0 goals scored and only 0.85 conceded against similar opposition, while Yeovil, playing away, averages 0.85 scored and 1.46 conceded to comparable teams.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.9% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (95.8% with a 6% edge) and Away under 2.5 goals (93.1% with a 3% edge). Southend’s recent form, after a defeat to Kidderminster, and Yeovil’s two-game winning streak give the home side a slight edge, but the low-scoring nature of the game is expected to keep the total goals under 3.5.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southend win
50.9%
Avg Implied 58.3% · @ 1.56
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Dafabet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.57
Draw
27.8%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.85
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.00
Betano
3.95
Bet365
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
Yeovil win
21.3%
Avg Implied 18.0% · @ 5.07
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.34
BetVictor
5.25
Betano
5.20
Dafabet
5.20
1xBet
5.16

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SouthendSouthend

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W62W34L21W01L31W10W31W13L11DA·ALD14/04A·HAL18/04A·HAR21/04H·WEA25/04A·SCU28/04A·ALT08/08H·SCU15/08A·SOL22/08H·KID28/08A·WOK31/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.201.801.072.071.33
vs Stronger (2)0.502.500.502.50--
vs Similar (26)2.001.192.000.852.001.54
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeovil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

YeovilYeovil

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L00D03L14L11D11D30W21W32WH·TRU03/04A·EAS06/04H·HAL11/04A·YOR18/04H·SOL25/04A·SCU08/08H·CAR15/08H·GAT22/08A·BAR28/08H·TAM31/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.471.531.401.001.53
vs Stronger (2)2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.211.431.531.400.851.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Southend) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.5%
@ 1.22-3.2%
Under 1.5
27.5%
@ 3.80+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
BetVictor
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.85
Betano
3.70
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.74-7.8%
Under 2.5
54.3%
@ 2.00+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.08
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.3%
@ 2.79-8.7%
Under 3.5
75.7%
@ 1.37+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
Betano
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
49.3%
@ 1.76-3.1%
No
50.7%
@ 1.94+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Unibet
1.76
No
William Hil
2.05
Betfair
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.94

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.91+6.9%
1-0
11.6%@ 6.67+5.1%
2-0
10.1%@ 7.24+4.1%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.27+3.4%
0-0
9.4%@ 10.95+5.4%
0-1
6.5%@ 13.08+3.2%
1-2
5.6%@ 14.26+2.6%
3-0
5.3%@ 10.87+1.3%
Southend goals ↓
Yeovil goals →
01234
09.4%6.5%3.6%1.1%0.3%
112%13%5.6%1.7%0.4%
210%9.4%4.4%1.4%0.3%
35.3%4.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.1%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southend goals (down), columns = Yeovil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Southend is 0.61 points better than Yeovil in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Southend is 0.72 goals better than Yeovil in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 1.04).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Southend is 0.46 goals better than Yeovil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.02 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Southend is 5.6 percentage points better than Yeovil in terms of average possession (52% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Southend or Draw
78.7%
Avg Implied 81.9% · @ 1.13
Edge
-3.2%
51%
28%
21%
covers Southend + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.18
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Southend or Yeovil
72.2%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.20
Edge
-4.6%
51%
28%
21%
covers Southend + Yeovil
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Draw or Yeovil
49.1%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.23
Edge
+7.8%
51%
28%
21%
covers Draw + Yeovil
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.37
BetVictor
2.30
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.25

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Southend over/under 0.5
Over
79.1%
@ 1.12-4.3%
Under
20.9%
@ 5.64+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.45
Betano
5.10
Southend over/under 1.5
Over
46.4%
@ 1.64-10.1%
Under
53.6%
@ 2.13+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Under
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Southend over/under 2.5
Over
20.8%
@ 2.95-10.4%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.34+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.92
1xBet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Southend over/under 3.5
Over
7.4%
@ 6.28-7.5%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.10+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Yeovil over/under 0.5
Over
60.8%
@ 1.55+1.2%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.28-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Betfair
2.25
Yeovil over/under 1.5
Over
24.0%
@ 3.69-1.1%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.24+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.82
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Yeovil over/under 2.5
Over
6.9%
@ 9.62-2.9%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.04+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
Betano
8.50
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Yeovil over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
@ 23.25-2.6%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Southend, so a minus line means Southend give that many goals of a start and Yeovil receive them. At -1, Southend must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Southend win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Southend)
Southend -2
11.3%
@ 4.72-7.2%
Draw -2
16.0%
@ 4.40-3.9%
Yeovil +2
72.7%
@ 1.42+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Unibet
4.30
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.80
Away
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.43
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Southend)
Southend -1
27.3%
@ 2.46-7.9%
Draw -1
23.6%
@ 3.38-2.0%
Yeovil +1
49.1%
@ 2.21+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
Unibet
2.40
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
2.95
Away
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.18
Unibet
2.00
Handicap +1 (Southend)
Southend +1
78.7%
@ 1.13+0.7%
Draw +1
13.6%
@ 6.20-0.6%
Yeovil -1
7.7%
@ 11.30-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Southend)
Southend +2
92.3%
@ 1.03-0.0%
Draw +2
5.7%
@ 17.50+0.3%
Yeovil -2
2.0%
@ 42.50-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.02
Draw
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
17.00
Away
Betfair
51.00
Bet365
34.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SouthendSouthend

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W11D21W01L11D10W21W10W10WA·ALD14/04A·HAL18/04A·HAR21/04H·WEA25/04A·SCU28/04A·ALT08/08H·SCU15/08A·SOL22/08H·KID28/08A·WOK31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.571.070.400.870.73
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (26)1.000.621.150.380.850.85
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeovil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

YeovilYeovil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L00D02L14L00D10W10W00D11DH·TRU03/04A·EAS06/04H·HAL11/04A·YOR18/04H·SOL25/04A·SCU08/08H·CAR15/08H·GAT22/08A·BAR28/08H·TAM31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.670.730.330.87
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (28)0.500.820.670.730.310.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Southend) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.8%
@ 1.33+0.9%
Under 0.5
29.2%
@ 3.08-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
William Hil
3.20
Betano
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 2.54-0.9%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.45+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.62
Betfair
2.60
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
BetVictor
1.46
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 6.24-1.6%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.09+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southend over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.9%
@ 1.63-4.6%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.12+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.63
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.10
Unibet
2.00
Southend over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.5%
@ 4.07-3.2%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.19+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
4.05
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Southend over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.8%
@ 9.25-5.3%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Yeovil over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.2%
@ 2.68-3.2%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.40+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.90
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Yeovil over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
@ 9.67-2.7%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Yeovil over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SouthendSouthend

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W23L00D00D20W00D10W03L01LA·ALD14/04A·HAL18/04A·HAR21/04H·WEA25/04A·SCU28/04A·ALT08/08H·SCU15/08A·SOL22/08H·KID28/08A·WOK31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.630.730.671.200.60
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (26)1.000.580.850.461.150.69
vs Weaker (2)1.500.00--1.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Yeovil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

YeovilYeovil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D01L00D11D01L20W21W21WH·TRU03/04A·EAS06/04H·HAL11/04A·YOR18/04H·SOL25/04A·SCU08/08H·CAR15/08H·GAT22/08A·BAR28/08H·TAM31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.870.670.670.67
vs Stronger (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
vs Similar (28)0.710.610.870.670.540.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Southend) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.4%
@ 1.19+1.8%
Under 0.5
20.6%
@ 4.14-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.3%
@ 1.95-2.2%
Under 1.5
54.7%
@ 1.76+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.9%
@ 3.91-1.8%
Under 2.5
78.1%
@ 1.21+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
1xBet
3.78
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southend over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.8%
@ 1.44-3.9%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.63+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.60
Southend over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.1%
@ 2.95-5.2%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.34+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.92
Under
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Southend over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.5%
@ 7.30-5.2%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.06+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.03
Yeovil over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.0%
@ 2.20-4.1%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.60+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
Yeovil over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.1%
@ 7.13-2.8%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.06+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Yeovil over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.6%
@ 12.50-5.8%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.6%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+3.6%
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.5%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+2.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.4%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+5.8%
Under 5.595.8%1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+5.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.2%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+5.3%
Away under 2.5 goals93.1%1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
--+2.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.1%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
---+2.7%
Home under 3.5 goals92.6%1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.06
-+7.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.5%1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.03
---+5.2%
Home +2 handicap92.3%1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.02
----0.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.9%1.06
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
--+2.8%
Under 4.589.1%1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
+6.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals86.8%1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+1.6%
Under 5.5 cards84.2%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals80.5%1.19
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
--+3.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals79.4%1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+1.8%
Home under 2.5 goals79.2%1.34
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
+10.4%
Home over 0.5 goals79.1%1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
--4.3%
Home or Draw78.7%1.13
Betano
1.18
BetVictor
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-3.2%
Home +1 handicap78.7%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
--+0.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals78.1%1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+1.8%
Away under 1.5 goals76.0%1.24
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
+1.1%
Under 3.575.7%1.37
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
+8.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals73.9%1.34
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
--+5.2%
Away +2 handicap72.7%1.42
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.43
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.33
-+11.1%
Over 1.572.5%1.22
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-3.2%
Home or Away72.2%1.20
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.19
-4.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals70.8%1.33
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+0.9%
Under 4.5 cards70.3%-------
Over 2.5 cards70.0%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Southend and Yeovil have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Southend and Yeovil have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Southend and Yeovil have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Southend and Yeovil have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
SOU wins
1
Draws
2
YEO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Southend vs Yeovil · H/A from SOU
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/26HSOU Vs Yeovil2-1
15/11/25AYeovil Vs SOU0-1
01/03/25AYeovil Vs SOU2-2
09/11/24HSOU Vs Yeovil0-1
01/04/23AYeovil Vs SOU0-2
01/10/22HSOU Vs Yeovil1-0
26/03/22AYeovil Vs SOU2-0
11/01/22HSOU Vs Yeovil2-1

SouthendSouthend

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AWoking Vs SOU1-1
28/08/26HSOU Vs Kidderminster1-3
22/08/26ASolihull Vs SOU1-3
15/08/26HSOU Vs Scunthorpe1-0
08/08/26AAltrincham Vs SOU1-3
28/04/26AScunthorpe Vs SOU1-0
25/04/26HSOU Vs Wealdstone2-1
21/04/26AHartlepool Vs SOU4-3
18/04/26AHalifax Vs SOU2-6
14/04/26AAldershot Vs SOU0-2

YeovilYeovil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HYEO Vs Tamworth3-2
28/08/26ABarrow Vs YEO1-2
22/08/26HYEO Vs Gateshead3-0
15/08/26HYEO Vs Carlisle1-1
08/08/26AScunthorpe Vs YEO1-1
25/04/26HYEO Vs Solihull1-4
18/04/26AYork Vs YEO3-0
11/04/26HYEO Vs Halifax0-0
06/04/26AEastleigh Vs YEO2-1
03/04/26HYEO Vs Truro1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Southend
Southend
England: National League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.68
HomeWDWWL2.00
AwayLLWWD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%58%38%
AVG goals2.922.833.00
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.801.881.73
Conceded1.120.961.27
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards3.743.294.19
Yeovil
Yeovil
England: National League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.22
HomeDLDWW1.52
AwayLLLDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.642.842.44
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %20%28%12%
Scored1.181.361.00
Conceded1.461.481.44
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards4.024.273.77

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde		510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster		48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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