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Spaeri vs Rustavi Result & Analysis

Date: 26/09/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 3-1
Spaeri
Spaeri
Vs
38%
32%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rustavi
Rustavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Spaeri win✓ Hit
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rustavi win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W13L10W05L15L02L20W40W11D20WH·SIO01/06A·RUS01/08H·KOL05/08H·LOK10/08A·GAR17/08H·ARA23/08H·WIT27/08A·DIN31/08H·SHT14/09A·SIO22/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.300.881.001.861.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.331.300.881.001.861.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RustaviRustavi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W11D20W10W01L11D42W14L21WA·GAR01/06H·SPA01/08A·WIT05/08A·DIN10/08H·SHT17/08A·SIO23/08A·ARA27/08H·KOL31/08A·LOK15/09H·GAR22/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.132.201.070.871.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.531.132.201.070.871.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.7%
Under 1.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.6%
Under 2.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.0%
Under 3.5
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
Spaeri goals ↓
Rustavi goals →
01234
012%10%5.8%2.0%0.5%
112%15%6.8%2.3%0.6%
27.7%7.8%4.0%1.4%0.3%
33.0%3.1%1.6%0.5%0.1%
40.9%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spaeri goals (down), columns = Rustavi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo II
2.00
Gareji
1.86
Rustavi
1.81
Sioni
1.69
Merani Martvili
1.50
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.42
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.42
Spaeri
1.42
Aragvi Dusheti
1.32
Shturmi
1.26
WIT Georgia
1.14
Kolkheti Khobi
0.56
Spaeri is 0.39 points worse than Rustavi in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gareji
2.14
Sioni
1.83
Rustavi
1.72
Saburtalo II
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.42
Aragvi Dusheti
1.39
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.39
Spaeri
1.39
WIT Georgia
1.36
Shturmi
1.13
Kolkheti Khobi
0.83
Merani Martvili
0.50
Spaeri is 0.33 goals worse than Rustavi in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.72).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Merani Martvili
0.50
Saburtalo II
1.00
Rustavi
1.14
Sioni
1.17
Gareji
1.22
Spaeri
1.31
Shturmi
1.32
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.36
Aragvi Dusheti
1.39
WIT Georgia
1.64
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.72
Kolkheti Khobi
2.36
Spaeri is 0.17 goals worse than Rustavi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SpaeriSpaeri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L00D02L04L00D00D30W01L20WH·SIO01/06A·RUS01/08H·KOL05/08H·LOK10/08A·GAR17/08H·ARA23/08H·WIT27/08A·DIN31/08H·SHT14/09A·SIO22/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.120.380.861.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.730.120.380.861.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RustaviRustavi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W00D20W00D01L11D20W01L20WA·GAR01/06H·SPA01/08A·WIT05/08A·DIN10/08H·SHT17/08A·SIO23/08A·ARA27/08H·KOL31/08A·LOK15/09H·GAR22/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.431.130.330.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.900.431.130.330.670.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SpaeriSpaeri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W03L11D02L20W10W10W00DH·SIO01/06A·RUS01/08H·KOL05/08H·LOK10/08A·GAR17/08H·ARA23/08H·WIT27/08A·DIN31/08H·SHT14/09A·SIO22/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.750.621.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.870.570.750.621.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rustavi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RustaviRustavi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D00D10W00D00D22D13L01LA·GAR01/06H·SPA01/08A·WIT05/08A·DIN10/08H·SHT17/08A·SIO23/08A·ARA27/08H·KOL31/08A·LOK15/09H·GAR22/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.701.070.730.200.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.701.070.730.200.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rustavi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
Spaeri and Rustavi have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
Spaeri and Rustavi have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
Spaeri and Rustavi have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
Spaeri and Rustavi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
SPA wins
0
Draws
2
RUS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spaeri vs Rustavi · H/A from SPA
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/24ARustavi Vs SPA3-1
22/04/24HSPA Vs Rustavi0-1
01/11/22ARustavi Vs SPA1-5
04/09/22HSPA Vs Rustavi2-0
15/06/22HSPA Vs Rustavi2-1
11/04/22ARustavi Vs SPA0-2

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24ASioni Vs SPA0-2
14/09/24HSPA Vs Shturmi1-1
31/08/24ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SPA0-4
27/08/24HSPA Vs WIT Georgia2-0
23/08/24HSPA Vs Aragvi Dusheti0-2
17/08/24AGareji Vs SPA5-1
10/08/24HSPA Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi0-5
05/08/24HSPA Vs Kolkheti Khobi1-0
01/08/24ARustavi Vs SPA3-1
01/06/24HSPA Vs Sioni1-0

RustaviRustavi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24HRUS Vs Gareji2-1
15/09/24ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs RUS4-1
31/08/24HRUS Vs Kolkheti Khobi4-2
27/08/24AAragvi Dusheti Vs RUS1-1
23/08/24ASioni Vs RUS1-0
17/08/24HRUS Vs Shturmi1-0
10/08/24ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs RUS0-2
05/08/24AWIT Georgia Vs RUS1-1
01/08/24HRUS Vs Spaeri3-1
01/06/24AGareji Vs RUS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.62
HomeWLLWD1.69
AwayWLLWW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%46%46%
AVG goals2.942.693.21
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %34%27%42%
Scored1.581.461.71
Conceded1.361.231.50
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Rustavi
Rustavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.38
HomeDWWWW1.96
AwayDWLDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%60%20%
AVG goals2.783.202.36
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %54%68%40%
Over 3.5 %30%48%12%
Scored1.381.960.80
Conceded1.401.241.56
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GarejiGareji3667
53%
1.9
7744+33
3.4
86%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.2
-
2RustaviRustavi3665
56%
1.8
6241+21
2.9
72%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
3SioniSioni3661
53%
1.7
6642+24
3.0
72%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
4SpaeriSpaeri3651
39%
1.4
5047+3
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
5Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3651
36%
1.4
5049+1
2.8
78%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
6Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3651
42%
1.4
5162-11
3.1
81%
67%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti3850
37%
1.3
5353+0
2.8
76%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ShturmiShturmi3848
34%
1.3
4350-7
2.4
66%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3641
31%
1.1
4959-10
3.0
83%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi3620
11%
0.6
3085-55
3.2
72%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
11Saburtalo IISaburtalo II24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
12Merani MartviliMerani Martvili23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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