This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.70
1.29
0.50
1.25
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.20
0.60
1.25
0.38
1.17
0.75
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.43
1.60
0.40
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.0%
1-1 ✓
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.6%
Sporting CP goals ↓
Santa Clara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
3.5%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
11%
10%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
8.7%
6.7%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.6%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting CP goals (down), columns = Santa Clara goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Alverca
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Anadia
2.33
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
Amarante
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Moura
2.00
Varzim
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Operário
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vila Real
1.75
Brito
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Academica
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Vieira
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Amora
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Caldas
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
União de Coimbra
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Coimbrões
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Velense
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Portel
0.00
Monção
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Vizela
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Feirense
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Trofense
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
Sporting CP is 0.10 points better than Santa Clara in terms of average points per game (2.43 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Amarante
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Alcains
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Vilaverdense
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
AVS
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Moura
1.67
Varzim
1.67
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Machico
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Moreirense
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Ovarense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Velense
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Monção
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Operário
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Academica
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Vieira
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Amora
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Sacavenense
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Portel
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Joane
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Trofense
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Sporting CP is 1.14 goals better than Santa Clara in terms of goals scored per game (2.14 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Marinhense
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Fátima
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Atlético CP
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Brito
0.50
Academica
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Moura
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Portel
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Torreense
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Louletano
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Machico
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Velense
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Monção
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
Leça
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Farense
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Amora
2.50
Vilaverdense
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Coimbrões
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Trofense
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vizela
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
Sporting CP is 0.24 goals worse than Santa Clara in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 0.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting CP
For 6.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Santa Clara
For 4.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 14.6 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting CP
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
10.0
8.1
4.3
4.5
4.0
24.5
24.4
24.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
8.7
11.0
5.2
5.9
6.7
4.8
25.4
25.5
25.2
vs Weaker (40)
9.1
9.6
8.7
3.9
3.8
3.9
24.3
24.0
24.6
% over line
46%
50%
42%
58%
64%
52%
73%
71%
75%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
42%
36%
48%
27%
29%
25%
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.0
8.5
6.0
6.5
5.6
28.7
29.9
27.5
vs Stronger (3)
6.7
4.0
8.0
7.0
7.0
7.0
26.3
31.0
24.0
vs Similar (30)
8.8
9.0
8.6
6.1
7.1
5.2
28.5
30.0
26.9
vs Weaker (17)
7.6
6.9
8.4
5.7
5.6
5.9
29.6
29.6
29.7
% over line
30%
38%
23%
76%
83%
69%
84%
86%
82%
% under line
70%
62%
77%
24%
17%
31%
16%
14%
18%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.5
Nacional
11.5
Guimaraes
11.3
Oliveirense
11.3
Feirense
11.2
Tondela
11.1
Estrela
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Portimonense
10.7
Torreense
10.7
AVS
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Benfica
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Estoril
10.5
União de Leiria
10.3
Penafiel
10.3
Chaves
10.2
FC Porto
10.2
Rio Ave
10.2
SC Braga
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.1
Mafra
10.1
Casa Pia
10.0
Vizela
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Famalicao
9.9
Pacos Ferreira
9.8
Leixoes
9.8
Boavista
9.6
Maritimo
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Moreirense
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.0
Sporting CP
9.0
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
Santa Clara
8.4
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Felgueiras 1932
6.6
Santa Clara
6.4
Famalicao
5.9
FC Porto
5.8
Maritimo
5.8
Guimaraes
5.8
Boavista
5.8
Chaves
5.8
Arouca
5.7
Penafiel
5.5
SC Covilha
5.4
Estoril
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
Oliveirense
5.3
Pacos Ferreira
5.3
AVS
5.3
Leixoes
5.3
Rio Ave
5.3
União de Leiria
5.2
Nacional
5.2
Vizela
5.1
Torreense
5.1
Tondela
5.0
SC Braga
5.0
Estrela
4.9
Benfica
4.8
Moreirense
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
Farense
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
Feirense
4.7
Sporting CP
4.7
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
Academico Viseu
4.5
Casa Pia
4.4
Mafra
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Alverca
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
31.0
Rio Ave
29.1
Santa Clara
28.9
Moreirense
28.5
Vilaverdense
28.5
Pacos Ferreira
28.3
SC Covilha
28.2
Boavista
27.9
FC Porto
27.9
Leixoes
27.7
Nacional
27.6
Estoril
26.9
Farense
26.9
Guimaraes
26.8
Casa Pia
26.8
Estrela
26.7
Arouca
26.7
AVS
26.6
GIL Vicente
26.5
Maritimo
26.3
Chaves
26.3
Vizela
25.9
Oliveirense
25.6
Portimonense
25.3
Feirense
25.1
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Tondela
24.9
Torreense
24.7
SC Braga
24.5
Sporting CP
24.4
Penafiel
24.4
União de Leiria
23.6
Mafra
23.3
Academico Viseu
23.0
Benfica
21.8
Alverca
11.8
Felgueiras 1932
10.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.4%
Under 9.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.0%
Under 21.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sporting CP or Draw✓ Hit
88.3%
Avg Implied -
67%
21%
12%
covers Sporting CP + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP or Santa Clara✗ Miss
78.9%
Avg Implied -
67%
21%
12%
covers Sporting CP + Santa Clara
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Santa Clara✓ Hit
32.8%
Avg Implied -
67%
21%
12%
covers Draw + Santa Clara
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.7%
Under
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
62.0%
Under
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
53.8%
Under
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
18.1%
Under
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sporting CP, so a minus line means Sporting CP give that many goals of a start and Santa Clara receive them. At -1, Sporting CP must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sporting CP win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sporting CP)Actual: Santa Clara
Sporting CP -2
22.8%
Draw -2
20.7%
Santa Clara +2
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sporting CP)Actual: Santa Clara
Sporting CP -1
43.6%
Draw -1
23.6%
Santa Clara +1
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sporting CP)Actual: Sporting CP
Sporting CP +1
88.3%
Draw +1
8.1%
Santa Clara -1
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sporting CP)Actual: Sporting CP
Sporting CP +2
96.4%
Draw +2
2.8%
Santa Clara -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting CP
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.57
1.40
0.53
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.29
0.50
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.48
0.35
1.73
0.27
1.25
0.42
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.71
0.43
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.38
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
1.20
0.20
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting CP
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.20
1.40
0.27
1.53
0.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.43
0.43
1.75
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.48
0.13
1.27
0.18
1.67
0.08
Clean sheet %
83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Santa Clara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.23
0.57
0.07
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.20
0.75
0.00
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.14
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting CP
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres67%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Geny Catamo16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Francisco Trincão14%
Gonçalo Inácio13%
Marcus Edwards12%
Conrad Harder11%
Nuno Santos11%
Iván Fresneda11%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Morten Hjulmand7%
João Simões6%
Hidemasa Morita6%
Ousmane Diomande5%
Zeno Debast4%
Geovany Quenda4%
Eduardo Quaresma3%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandre Brito50%
Morten Hjulmand35%
Maximiliano Araújo24%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Jeremiah St. Juste19%
Ousmane Diomande16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Gonçalo Inácio15%
Eduardo Felicíssimo14%
Zeno Debast13%
Viktor Gyökeres12%
João Simões12%
Matheus Reis11%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Rui Silva9%
Geovany Quenda8%
Iván Fresneda7%
Eduardo Quaresma7%
Geny Catamo7%
Franco Israel5%
Conrad Harder5%
Francisco Trincão4%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Gonçalves26%
Francisco Trincão24%
Daniel Bragança23%
Viktor Gyökeres21%
Conrad Harder11%
Geovany Quenda10%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Zeno Debast7%
João Simões6%
Gonçalo Inácio5%
Morten Hjulmand5%
Matheus Reis5%
Geny Catamo4%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Ousmane Diomande0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres60%
Francisco Trincão28%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Conrad Harder14%
Ousmane Diomande11%
Geny Catamo11%
Geovany Quenda4%
Daniel Bragança4%
Hidemasa Morita3%
Morten Hjulmand2%
Maximiliano Araújo2%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Gonçalo Inácio0%
Zeno Debast0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
João Simões0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Santa Clara
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vinícius Lopes24%
Ricardinho21%
Gabriel Silva18%
Wendel Silva17%
João Costa12%
Allison Safira12%
Sidney Lima9%
Serginho7%
Diogo Calila3%
Matheus Araújo3%
Matheusinho0%
Gabriel Batista0%
Frederico Venâncio0%
Luís Rocha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Pedro Ferreira0%
Lucas Soares0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Adriano Firmino0%
Matheus Pereira0%
Daniel Borges0%
Gustavo Klismahn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Allison Safira47%
Matheus Pereira41%
Luís Rocha34%
Sidney Lima31%
Diogo Calila29%
Guilherme Ramos29%
Lucas Soares26%
Pedro Ferreira24%
Adriano Firmino24%
Vinícius Lopes24%
Frederico Venâncio19%
Ricardinho17%
Wendel Silva17%
Serginho17%
Matheus Araújo15%
Bruno Almeida12%
Gabriel Batista11%
Matheusinho11%
Gustavo Klismahn11%
Daniel Borges6%
Gabriel Silva6%
João Costa4%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustavo Klismahn17%
Matheus Pereira14%
Pedro Ferreira12%
Allison Safira12%
Diogo Calila6%
Adriano Firmino6%
Gabriel Silva6%
Serginho3%
Lucas Soares3%
Sidney Lima3%
Vinícius Lopes3%
Matheus Araújo3%
Matheusinho0%
Gabriel Batista0%
Frederico Venâncio0%
Luís Rocha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Wendel Silva0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Ricardinho0%
Daniel Borges0%
João Costa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Silva26%
Wendel Silva17%
Vinícius Lopes12%
João Costa8%
Allison Safira6%
Ricardinho3%
Serginho3%
Sidney Lima3%
Pedro Ferreira3%
Adriano Firmino3%
Matheusinho0%
Gabriel Batista0%
Frederico Venâncio0%
Diogo Calila0%
Luís Rocha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Lucas Soares0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Matheus Pereira0%
Daniel Borges0%
Matheus Araújo0%
Gustavo Klismahn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
Sporting CP's squad is €387m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€414m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Sporting CP's attack is €137m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€146m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Sporting CP's midfield is €86m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€91m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Sporting CP's defence is €164m more valuable than Santa Clara's (€176m vs €12m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Arouca
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Nacional
AVS
Estrela
Farense
Boavista
Vizela