This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.77
1.31
0.69
1.14
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.33
2.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
0.65
1.09
0.45
1.25
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.5%
Under 1.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.2%
Under 2.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.2%
Under 3.5
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2 ✓
5.3%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Albacete goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
10%
5.3%
1.7%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.2%
1.9%
0.5%
2
8.3%
7.8%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
3
3.3%
3.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.0%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Albacete goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Osasuna
2.07
Granada CF
1.88
Malaga
1.76
Albacete
1.69
Mallorca
1.64
Deportivo La Coruna
1.62
Cadiz
1.52
Oviedo
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.45
Almeria
1.43
Elche
1.31
Las Palmas
1.29
Extremadura UD
1.26
Alcorcon
1.24
Zaragoza
1.21
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.17
Lugo
1.12
Rayo Majadahonda
1.07
Gimnastic
0.86
Cordoba
0.81
Reus Deportiu
0.50
Sporting Gijon is 0.24 points worse than Albacete in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osasuna
1.40
Albacete
1.29
Cadiz
1.26
Mallorca
1.26
Granada CF
1.24
Malaga
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Deportivo La Coruna
1.19
Elche
1.17
Zaragoza
1.17
Cordoba
1.14
Las Palmas
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.10
Numancia
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Tenerife
0.95
Alcorcon
0.86
Gimnastic
0.71
Reus Deportiu
0.38
Sporting Gijon is 0.26 goals worse than Albacete in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Granada CF
0.67
Malaga
0.74
Deportivo La Coruna
0.76
Osasuna
0.83
Cadiz
0.86
Mallorca
0.88
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Albacete
0.90
Almeria
0.93
Alcorcon
1.00
Extremadura UD
1.12
Reus Deportiu
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.19
Las Palmas
1.19
Lugo
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Elche
1.24
Rayo Majadahonda
1.45
Gimnastic
1.50
Cordoba
1.88
Sporting Gijon and Albacete are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 5.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.2 · Against 17.0 · Total 35.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Albacete
For 4.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 17.6 · Total 34.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.6
10.4
6.0
6.1
6.0
31.0
31.5
30.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
10.8
10.1
11.3
5.9
5.7
6.1
30.7
31.9
29.8
vs Weaker (15)
9.8
11.4
7.3
6.3
6.7
5.7
31.9
31.0
33.2
% over line
50%
58%
42%
84%
83%
85%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
16%
17%
15%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.4
5.3
5.5
5.1
30.1
31.1
29.1
vs Stronger (9)
9.9
9.0
11.0
5.9
6.8
4.8
31.7
34.2
28.5
vs Similar (38)
9.6
9.8
9.4
5.4
5.6
5.2
29.8
30.4
29.3
vs Weaker (3)
5.5
8.0
3.0
2.7
2.0
4.0
28.0
28.0
28.0
% over line
47%
38%
56%
80%
88%
72%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
53%
62%
44%
20%
12%
28%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
11.2
Sporting Gijon
10.5
Numancia
10.4
Zaragoza
10.1
Deportivo La Coruna
10.0
Alcorcon
10.0
Mallorca
10.0
Osasuna
10.0
Extremadura UD
9.9
Almeria
9.9
Cadiz
9.7
Tenerife
9.5
Las Palmas
9.5
Albacete
9.4
Cordoba
9.4
Rayo Majadahonda
9.4
Oviedo
9.3
Elche
9.1
Gimnastic
9.0
Granada CF
8.9
Malaga
8.8
Reus Deportiu
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Extremadura UD
6.5
Cordoba
6.2
Tenerife
6.2
Osasuna
6.1
Sporting Gijon
6.0
Elche
6.0
Gimnastic
6.0
Las Palmas
6.0
Oviedo
5.9
Alcorcon
5.9
Lugo
5.7
Rayo Majadahonda
5.7
Numancia
5.7
Almeria
5.7
Cadiz
5.6
Mallorca
5.5
Malaga
5.4
Albacete
5.4
Granada CF
5.3
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Zaragoza
4.8
Reus Deportiu
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Elche
32.9
Cordoba
32.8
Oviedo
32.0
Osasuna
32.0
Alcorcon
31.9
Las Palmas
31.8
Sporting Gijon
31.0
Almeria
30.9
Extremadura UD
30.8
Tenerife
30.8
Gimnastic
30.7
Lugo
30.4
Rayo Majadahonda
30.3
Malaga
30.3
Albacete
30.1
Granada CF
29.8
Mallorca
29.3
Numancia
29.0
Deportivo La Coruna
28.2
Cadiz
28.1
Reus Deportiu
27.8
Zaragoza
27.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.6%
Under 3.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.9%
Under 21.5
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.43
0.43
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.52
0.45
0.45
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.29
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.27
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.75
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.25
0.45
0.18
0.62
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.64
0.50
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.57
0.55
0.45
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.67
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Albacete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Albacete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.46
0.64
0.27
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albacete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Albacete · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Bernabeu33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Rubio67%
Lluís López33%
Mario Soberón33%
Sergio Ortuño33%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
José Corpas0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Corpas67%
Carlos Neva0%
Fran Gámez0%
Diego Mariño0%
Lluís López0%
Mario Soberón0%
Sergio Ortuño0%
Pepe Sánchez0%
Tomás Inglés0%
Alex Rubio0%
Daniel Bernabeu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
Sporting Gijon's squad is €10m more valuable than Albacete's (€28m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
Sporting Gijon's attack is €6m more valuable than Albacete's (€14m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
Sporting Gijon and Albacete have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
DLC (13)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Sporting Gijon's defence is €3m more valuable than Albacete's (€9m vs €5m).
Spain: Segunda División 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Osasuna
Granada CF
Malaga
Mallorca
Deportivo La Coruna
Cadiz
Oviedo
Almeria
Elche
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Zaragoza
Tenerife
Numancia
Lugo
Rayo Majadahonda
Gimnastic
Cordoba