This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.00
1.33
0.67
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.10
1.20
1.00
1.00
1.17
1.33
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.90
1.45
0.55
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.7%
Under 1.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.3%
@ 2.42-4.4%
Under 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.53+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.6%
Under 3.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.1%
No
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0 ✓
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Girona goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.7%
4.8%
1.4%
0.3%
1
14%
15%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.0%
7.9%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
3
3.6%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.1%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Girona goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Huesca
1.67
Cadiz
1.64
Zaragoza
1.55
Almeria
1.52
Girona
1.50
Elche
1.45
Fuenlabrada
1.43
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Alcorcon
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Mirandes
1.33
Tenerife
1.31
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Lugo
1.24
Albacete
1.24
Deportivo La Coruna
1.21
Ponferradina
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Extremadura UD
1.02
Racing Santander
0.79
Sporting Gijon is 0.21 points worse than Girona in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.48
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Zaragoza
1.40
Huesca
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Alcorcon
1.24
Elche
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Cadiz
1.19
Las Palmas
1.17
Oviedo
1.17
Girona
1.14
Fuenlabrada
1.12
Numancia
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Deportivo La Coruna
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Albacete
0.86
Malaga
0.83
Sporting Gijon is 0.19 goals worse than Girona in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Malaga
0.79
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Cadiz
0.93
Fuenlabrada
0.95
Huesca
1.00
Girona
1.02
Almeria
1.02
Elche
1.05
Tenerife
1.10
Las Palmas
1.10
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Ponferradina
1.19
Numancia
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Lugo
1.29
Racing Santander
1.33
Extremadura UD
1.40
Mirandes
1.40
Deportivo La Coruna
1.43
Sporting Gijon is 0.12 goals better than Girona in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 3.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Girona
For 4.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.4 · Against 17.3 · Total 35.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.3
5.8
6.5
5.1
32.6
33.7
31.6
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
-
9.0
4.0
-
4.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (35)
9.7
9.3
10.1
6.1
6.8
5.4
32.7
33.8
31.7
vs Weaker (14)
8.1
8.9
7.2
5.0
5.6
4.4
33.1
33.3
32.8
% over line
43%
42%
44%
76%
79%
73%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
57%
58%
56%
24%
21%
27%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.9
8.4
7.4
6.0
5.6
6.3
31.2
32.2
30.1
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
1.0
-
1.0
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (24)
8.1
8.8
7.4
6.1
5.4
6.8
30.9
31.1
30.8
vs Weaker (25)
7.7
8.0
7.3
6.1
5.8
6.3
31.9
33.3
30.4
% over line
18%
24%
12%
88%
88%
88%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
82%
76%
88%
12%
12%
12%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
10.5
Extremadura UD
10.0
Cadiz
9.8
Mirandes
9.8
Deportivo La Coruna
9.8
Numancia
9.7
Malaga
9.6
Elche
9.6
Oviedo
9.4
Sporting Gijon
9.3
Zaragoza
9.2
Rayo Vallecano
9.2
Huesca
9.1
Alcorcon
9.1
Las Palmas
9.1
Albacete
9.1
Racing Santander
9.1
Almeria
8.7
Tenerife
8.4
Ponferradina
8.2
Fuenlabrada
7.9
Girona
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Albacete
6.6
Alcorcon
6.6
Las Palmas
6.5
Fuenlabrada
6.4
Racing Santander
6.2
Oviedo
6.1
Elche
6.0
Ponferradina
6.0
Tenerife
6.0
Girona
6.0
Malaga
6.0
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Sporting Gijon
5.9
Numancia
5.8
Cadiz
5.8
Almeria
5.6
Huesca
5.5
Lugo
5.5
Extremadura UD
5.4
Mirandes
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Deportivo La Coruna
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
34.4
Albacete
34.1
Oviedo
33.4
Alcorcon
33.1
Elche
33.1
Fuenlabrada
33.1
Ponferradina
32.9
Sporting Gijon
32.6
Las Palmas
31.8
Almeria
31.8
Rayo Vallecano
31.3
Girona
31.2
Cadiz
31.0
Huesca
30.9
Numancia
30.9
Extremadura UD
30.9
Tenerife
30.3
Malaga
30.2
Lugo
29.6
Mirandes
29.6
Deportivo La Coruna
29.5
Zaragoza
27.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
30.0%
Under 9.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
86.5%
Under 3.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.7%
Under 21.5
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.64
0.43
0.38
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.32
0.88
0.25
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (11)
0.45
0.55
0.33
0.67
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.67
0.13
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.30
0.73
0.09
0.56
0.56
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.86
0.43
0.25
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.53
1.12
0.62
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.45
0.50
0.17
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Girona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.70
0.50
0.75
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (20)
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.45
0.44
0.78
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Girona · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yáser Asprilla67%
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Izan González33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bryan Gil33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Gil67%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Fran Beltrán0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Sporting Gijon's squad is €86m less valuable than Girona's (€28m vs €114m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Sporting Gijon's attack is €49m less valuable than Girona's (€14m vs €64m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
DLC (7)
€13m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Sporting Gijon's midfield is €24m less valuable than Girona's (€5m vs €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Sporting Gijon's defence is €13m less valuable than Girona's (€9m vs €22m).
Spain: Segunda División 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →