This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.19
1.12
1.14
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.30
1.36
1.18
1.00
1.44
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
1.30
0.80
1.00
1.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.6%
Under 1.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.0%
@ 2.57+5.5%
Under 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.48-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1 ✓
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Oviedo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.9%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.5%
8.9%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Oviedo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Huesca
1.67
Cadiz
1.64
Zaragoza
1.55
Almeria
1.52
Girona
1.50
Elche
1.45
Fuenlabrada
1.43
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Alcorcon
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Mirandes
1.33
Tenerife
1.31
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Lugo
1.24
Albacete
1.24
Deportivo La Coruna
1.21
Ponferradina
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Extremadura UD
1.02
Racing Santander
0.79
Sporting Gijon is 0.02 points better than Oviedo in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.48
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Zaragoza
1.40
Huesca
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Alcorcon
1.24
Elche
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Cadiz
1.19
Las Palmas
1.17
Oviedo
1.17
Girona
1.14
Fuenlabrada
1.12
Numancia
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Deportivo La Coruna
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Albacete
0.86
Malaga
0.83
Sporting Gijon is 0.21 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Malaga
0.79
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Cadiz
0.93
Fuenlabrada
0.95
Huesca
1.00
Girona
1.02
Almeria
1.02
Elche
1.05
Tenerife
1.10
Las Palmas
1.10
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Ponferradina
1.19
Numancia
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Lugo
1.29
Racing Santander
1.33
Extremadura UD
1.40
Mirandes
1.40
Deportivo La Coruna
1.43
Sporting Gijon is 0.36 goals better than Oviedo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 5.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 14.8 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
For 4.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 18.5 · Total 35.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.7
6.0
6.7
5.3
32.8
33.6
32.1
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
-
9.0
4.0
-
4.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (34)
10.2
9.7
10.7
6.3
6.9
5.7
33.0
33.6
32.4
vs Weaker (15)
8.4
9.6
7.3
5.4
6.1
4.8
33.1
33.6
32.6
% over line
49%
50%
48%
80%
83%
77%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
51%
50%
52%
20%
17%
23%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.6
5.9
6.1
5.7
33.8
34.3
33.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
9.4
8.9
9.7
6.3
6.3
6.4
34.5
35.8
33.4
vs Weaker (19)
9.7
9.8
9.3
5.2
5.8
4.0
32.6
32.6
32.7
% over line
49%
50%
48%
84%
88%
79%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
51%
50%
52%
16%
12%
21%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
10.8
Extremadura UD
10.3
Cadiz
10.0
Mirandes
9.8
Numancia
9.8
Zaragoza
9.7
Malaga
9.6
Sporting Gijon
9.6
Elche
9.6
Deportivo La Coruna
9.6
Oviedo
9.5
Huesca
9.5
Las Palmas
9.4
Racing Santander
9.2
Rayo Vallecano
9.2
Alcorcon
9.1
Almeria
8.9
Albacete
8.9
Tenerife
8.3
Ponferradina
8.3
Fuenlabrada
8.1
Girona
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.6
Las Palmas
6.4
Albacete
6.4
Alcorcon
6.4
Elche
6.1
Tenerife
6.1
Racing Santander
6.1
Sporting Gijon
6.0
Oviedo
6.0
Ponferradina
5.9
Girona
5.9
Malaga
5.9
Numancia
5.9
Cadiz
5.8
Rayo Vallecano
5.7
Huesca
5.6
Extremadura UD
5.6
Almeria
5.5
Lugo
5.4
Mirandes
5.3
Deportivo La Coruna
5.0
Zaragoza
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
34.1
Racing Santander
33.9
Oviedo
33.7
Fuenlabrada
33.6
Alcorcon
33.4
Ponferradina
33.0
Elche
33.0
Sporting Gijon
32.8
Almeria
32.3
Las Palmas
32.0
Rayo Vallecano
30.9
Girona
30.9
Huesca
30.7
Cadiz
30.7
Numancia
30.6
Tenerife
30.6
Extremadura UD
30.2
Deportivo La Coruna
30.0
Malaga
29.9
Lugo
29.9
Mirandes
29.2
Zaragoza
27.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.7%
Under 3.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.0%
Under 21.5
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.71
0.43
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.30
1.00
0.22
0.18
0.36
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.60
0.20
0.80
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.64
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.60
0.20
0.40
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.79
0.50
0.25
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.55
1.00
0.67
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (10)
0.30
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.62
0.56
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.70
0.64
0.55
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Oviedo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Sporting Gijon's squad is €2m less valuable than Oviedo's (€28m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Sporting Gijon and Oviedo have a similar attack value (both €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
DLC (7)
€13m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Sporting Gijon and Oviedo have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Sporting Gijon's defence is €1m less valuable than Oviedo's (€9m vs €10m).
Spain: Segunda División 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →