This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.27
1.31
0.94
0.79
1.64
vs Stronger (15)
0.80
1.47
0.88
1.25
0.71
1.71
vs Similar (15)
1.33
1.07
1.75
0.62
0.86
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
@ 2.39+10.1%
Under 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.56-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0 ✓
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Ponferradina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
7.1%
4.9%
1.9%
0.6%
1
9.1%
13%
7.2%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.6%
9.0%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.8%
4.4%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Ponferradina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Huesca
1.67
Cadiz
1.64
Zaragoza
1.55
Almeria
1.52
Girona
1.50
Elche
1.45
Fuenlabrada
1.43
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Alcorcon
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Mirandes
1.33
Tenerife
1.31
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Lugo
1.24
Albacete
1.24
Deportivo La Coruna
1.21
Ponferradina
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Extremadura UD
1.02
Racing Santander
0.79
Sporting Gijon is 0.07 points better than Ponferradina in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.48
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Zaragoza
1.40
Huesca
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Alcorcon
1.24
Elche
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Cadiz
1.19
Las Palmas
1.17
Oviedo
1.17
Girona
1.14
Fuenlabrada
1.12
Numancia
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Deportivo La Coruna
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Albacete
0.86
Malaga
0.83
Sporting Gijon is 0.12 goals worse than Ponferradina in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Malaga
0.79
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Cadiz
0.93
Fuenlabrada
0.95
Huesca
1.00
Girona
1.02
Almeria
1.02
Elche
1.05
Tenerife
1.10
Las Palmas
1.10
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Ponferradina
1.19
Numancia
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Lugo
1.29
Racing Santander
1.33
Extremadura UD
1.40
Mirandes
1.40
Deportivo La Coruna
1.43
Sporting Gijon is 0.29 goals better than Ponferradina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 4.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.3 · Against 15.7 · Total 34.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ponferradina
For 3.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
10.0
6.4
6.7
6.2
33.1
33.9
32.3
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
-
9.0
4.0
-
4.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (38)
10.1
9.6
10.8
6.7
6.7
6.6
33.3
34.0
32.6
vs Weaker (11)
8.7
10.2
7.2
5.9
6.6
5.3
33.3
33.4
33.2
% over line
49%
48%
50%
84%
84%
84%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
16%
16%
16%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
7.9
9.8
2.0
1.9
2.1
32.1
31.3
33.0
vs Stronger (24)
8.1
6.4
11.0
1.9
1.9
1.8
32.6
31.4
34.7
vs Similar (26)
9.2
9.4
9.0
2.1
1.9
2.3
31.6
31.2
32.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
30%
50%
30%
27%
33%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
61%
70%
50%
70%
73%
67%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
10.9
Numancia
10.1
Huesca
10.0
Extremadura UD
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Mirandes
9.8
Rayo Vallecano
9.8
Oviedo
9.7
Zaragoza
9.7
Las Palmas
9.6
Cadiz
9.5
Elche
9.5
Almeria
9.4
Alcorcon
9.4
Deportivo La Coruna
9.4
Albacete
9.3
Tenerife
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Racing Santander
9.2
Girona
8.8
Fuenlabrada
8.7
Ponferradina
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Las Palmas
6.9
Sporting Gijon
6.5
Fuenlabrada
6.4
Tenerife
6.3
Racing Santander
6.3
Alcorcon
6.2
Elche
6.2
Albacete
5.9
Almeria
5.9
Malaga
5.9
Extremadura UD
5.9
Oviedo
5.7
Numancia
5.7
Girona
5.7
Cadiz
5.7
Huesca
5.7
Lugo
5.6
Ponferradina
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.5
Deportivo La Coruna
5.2
Mirandes
4.9
Zaragoza
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
34.1
Elche
33.9
Albacete
33.1
Sporting Gijon
32.9
Almeria
32.9
Oviedo
32.8
Alcorcon
32.6
Las Palmas
32.4
Ponferradina
32.1
Fuenlabrada
31.7
Tenerife
30.8
Deportivo La Coruna
30.7
Lugo
30.1
Extremadura UD
30.0
Numancia
29.7
Malaga
29.5
Mirandes
29.2
Rayo Vallecano
29.1
Cadiz
29.1
Huesca
29.0
Girona
28.7
Zaragoza
27.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.3%
Under 9.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
88.4%
Under 3.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.5%
Under 21.5
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.33
0.87
0.40
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.25
1.08
0.17
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.50
0.31
0.25
0.21
0.79
vs Stronger (15)
0.07
0.60
0.00
0.38
0.14
0.86
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.40
0.62
0.12
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.67
0.33
0.53
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.29
0.71
0.33
0.67
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.40
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ponferradina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
1.00
0.69
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
0.87
0.88
0.88
0.57
0.86
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.67
1.12
0.50
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Ponferradina · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri19%
Eduardo Espiau12%
Daniel Ojeda11%
Hugo Vallejo10%
José Naranjo8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Naim García6%
Adrián Castellano6%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
José Amo6%
Alexandru Paşcanu6%
Agus Medina3%
Kelechi Nwakali3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Erik Morán0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Amo38%
Kelechi Nwakali31%
Agus Medina30%
Adrián Diéguez30%
Adrián Castellano29%
Jordan Lukaku29%
Paris Barandiaran28%
Alexandru Paşcanu28%
Erik Morán24%
Daniel Ojeda22%
Heriberto Tavares21%
Derik Lacerda21%
Sabit Abdulai21%
José Naranjo19%
Naim García19%
Eduardo Espiau18%
Amir Abedzadeh17%
Moises Delgado15%
Giorgi Makaridze14%
Hugo Vallejo14%
Aldair12%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
Yuri3%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ojeda14%
Naim García12%
Kelechi Nwakali8%
Alexandru Paşcanu8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Moises Delgado6%
José Naranjo6%
Paris Barandiaran6%
Heriberto Tavares5%
Sabit Abdulai5%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Adrián Diéguez3%
Agus Medina3%
Yuri3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
José Amo0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Eduardo Espiau0%
Aldair0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naim García19%
José Naranjo14%
Daniel Ojeda14%
Kelechi Nwakali6%
Yuri5%
Derik Lacerda5%
Eduardo Espiau5%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
José Amo0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Agus Medina0%
Miguel San Román0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Huesca
Cadiz
Zaragoza
Almeria
Girona
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Mirandes
Tenerife
Malaga
Oviedo
Albacete
Lugo
Deportivo La Coruna
Numancia
Racing Santander