This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.13
1.58
1.08
1.00
1.18
vs Stronger (15)
1.07
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.11
1.22
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.38
2.17
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.9%
@ 2.39-3.5%
Under 2.5
64.1%
@ 1.55+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2 ✓
5.8%
0-2
4.7%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Racing Ferrol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.3%
4.7%
1.4%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.1%
8.1%
3.6%
1.1%
0.2%
3
3.8%
3.4%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Racing Ferrol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Sporting Gijon is 0.10 points better than Racing Ferrol in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Sporting Gijon is 0.01 goals worse than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Sporting Gijon is 0.26 goals better than Racing Ferrol in terms of goals conceded per game (0.98 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Sporting Gijon is 1.5 percentage points better than Racing Ferrol in terms of average possession (54% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 5.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Ferrol
For 4.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.2
2.4
2.4
2.5
23.6
23.5
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
10.3
10.4
10.1
2.8
2.5
3.1
23.6
23.8
23.4
vs Weaker (12)
9.8
7.0
10.5
1.3
1.5
1.2
23.6
20.0
24.5
% over line
48%
45%
50%
34%
32%
36%
65%
64%
67%
% under line
52%
55%
50%
66%
68%
64%
35%
36%
33%
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
8.7
9.5
7.7
4.0
4.1
3.8
24.9
25.9
23.8
vs Stronger (15)
8.7
9.3
8.2
4.0
4.3
3.8
25.4
27.2
24.2
vs Similar (8)
8.6
9.7
5.5
3.9
3.8
4.0
24.0
24.7
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
42%
18%
70%
67%
73%
65%
75%
55%
% under line
70%
58%
82%
30%
33%
27%
35%
25%
45%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
10.5
Huesca
10.1
Valladolid
10.0
Espanyol
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.8
Burgos
9.7
Racing Santander
9.6
Levante
9.6
Villarreal II
9.5
Amorebieta
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Eldense
9.3
Elche
9.2
Zaragoza
9.2
Oviedo
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
FC Cartagena
8.9
Leganes
8.9
Alcorcon
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.7
Albacete
8.2
FC Andorra
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
6.0
Racing Santander
5.8
Levante
5.5
Oviedo
5.4
Elche
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Tenerife
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.2
Huesca
5.2
Leganes
5.1
Valladolid
5.1
Mirandes
5.0
Zaragoza
5.0
FC Andorra
4.9
Eibar
4.8
Albacete
4.8
Villarreal II
4.8
Alcorcon
4.6
Amorebieta
4.4
Burgos
4.4
Eldense
4.1
Racing Ferrol
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.1
Leganes
28.4
Oviedo
28.0
Elche
27.4
FC Cartagena
27.3
Espanyol
27.3
Albacete
27.1
Valladolid
27.1
Tenerife
27.0
Eldense
26.5
Huesca
26.5
Levante
26.2
Zaragoza
26.2
Alcorcon
25.9
Villarreal II
25.5
FC Andorra
25.4
Amorebieta
25.3
Mirandes
24.9
Racing Ferrol
24.9
Eibar
24.2
Burgos
23.5
Sporting Gijon
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.7%
Under 9.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.2%
Under 3.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.2%
Under 21.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.37
0.73
0.33
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.33
0.56
0.33
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.39
0.33
0.25
0.73
0.55
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
0.33
0.17
0.00
0.89
0.56
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
65% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.73
0.47
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.43
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Racing Ferrol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.74
1.25
0.83
0.27
0.64
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.22
0.67
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.88
1.67
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
48% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Víctor Campuzano29%
Juan Otero22%
Gaspar Campos21%
Dani Queipo12%
Uroš Đurđević11%
Ignacio Méndez10%
José Ángel10%
Mario González10%
Pablo Insua6%
Carlos Izquierdoz4%
Alexandru Paşcanu4%
Guille Rosas3%
Roque Mesa3%
Haissem Hassan2%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Francisco Villalba0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Róber Pier0%
Cristian Rivera0%
Pablo García0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Diego Sanchez0%
Alejandro Lozano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carlos Izquierdoz35%
Cristian Rivera30%
Uroš Đurđević26%
Pablo Insua25%
Ignacio Martín24%
Ignacio Méndez22%
Roque Mesa22%
José Ángel20%
Alexandru Paşcanu19%
Gaspar Campos19%
Jonathan Varane17%
Róber Pier17%
Diego Sanchez17%
Alejandro Lozano17%
Francisco Villalba15%
Haissem Hassan12%
Juan Otero12%
Dani Queipo12%
Mario González10%
Guille Rosas10%
Pablo García5%
Víctor Campuzano5%
Rubén Yáñez2%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Francisco Villalba15%
José Ángel15%
Ignacio Martín12%
Haissem Hassan10%
Guille Rosas10%
Juan Otero8%
Róber Pier7%
Cristian Rivera7%
Uroš Đurđević5%
Pablo García5%
Mario González5%
Víctor Campuzano5%
Gaspar Campos5%
Alexandru Paşcanu4%
Roque Mesa3%
Pablo Insua3%
Carlos Izquierdoz0%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Dani Queipo0%
Diego Sanchez0%
Alejandro Lozano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero35%
Mario González15%
Gaspar Campos12%
Uroš Đurđević11%
Haissem Hassan5%
José Ángel2%
Roque Mesa0%
Carlos Izquierdoz0%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Christian Sanchez0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Giovanni Zarfino0%
Francisco Villalba0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Víctor Campuzano0%
Róber Pier0%
Cristian Rivera0%
Pablo Insua0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Esteban Lozano0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Dani Queipo0%
Diego Sanchez0%
Alejandro Lozano0%
Racing Ferrol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nico Serrano29%
Álvaro Giménez24%
Iker Losada21%
Carlos Vicente19%
Josep Señé17%
Álvaro Vadillo12%
Heber Pena Picos11%
Óscar Pinchi9%
Sabin Merino8%
Jon Garcia5%
Manu Justo5%
Alex López3%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Nacho Sánchez0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Álex Martín0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Enrique Clemente0%
David Castro0%
Sergio Cubero0%
Brais Martínez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moises Delgado27%
Álvaro Vadillo25%
Jon Garcia24%
David Castro24%
Óscar Pinchi18%
Jesús Bernal17%
Brais Martínez17%
Sergio Cubero15%
Alex López12%
Álex Martín12%
Heber Pena Picos11%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Josep Señé10%
Enrique Clemente10%
Carlos Vicente10%
Nacho Sánchez8%
Nico Serrano7%
Francisco De La Manzanara7%
Sabin Merino6%
Julián Delmás5%
Manu Justo5%
Ander Cantero2%
Chuca0%
Iker Losada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Heber Pena Picos22%
Carlos Vicente19%
Iker Losada14%
Nico Serrano14%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Óscar Pinchi9%
Nacho Sánchez8%
Jon Garcia5%
Jesús Bernal5%
Josep Señé3%
Sergio Cubero3%
David Castro3%
Alex López0%
Álvaro Vadillo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Sabin Merino0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Álex Martín0%
Manu Justo0%
Enrique Clemente0%
Brais Martínez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Serrano29%
Carlos Vicente19%
Iker Losada17%
Álvaro Giménez13%
Heber Pena Picos8%
Alex López6%
Sabin Merino6%
Nacho Sánchez4%
Sergio Cubero3%
Jon Garcia3%
Álvaro Vadillo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Josep Señé0%
Óscar Pinchi0%
Álex Martín0%
Manu Justo0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Enrique Clemente0%
David Castro0%
Brais Martínez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →