This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.23
1.47
0.87
0.87
1.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
-
-
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (23)
1.22
1.26
1.50
0.92
0.91
1.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.33
0.67
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.6%
No
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.9%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
Tenerife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
5.5%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
1
14%
12%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.3%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.0%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.9%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = Tenerife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Osasuna
2.07
Granada CF
1.88
Malaga
1.76
Albacete
1.69
Mallorca
1.64
Deportivo La Coruna
1.62
Cadiz
1.52
Oviedo
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.45
Almeria
1.43
Elche
1.31
Las Palmas
1.29
Extremadura UD
1.26
Alcorcon
1.24
Zaragoza
1.21
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.17
Lugo
1.12
Rayo Majadahonda
1.07
Gimnastic
0.86
Cordoba
0.81
Reus Deportiu
0.50
Sporting Gijon is 0.26 points better than Tenerife in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osasuna
1.40
Albacete
1.29
Cadiz
1.26
Mallorca
1.26
Granada CF
1.24
Malaga
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Deportivo La Coruna
1.19
Elche
1.17
Zaragoza
1.17
Cordoba
1.14
Las Palmas
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.10
Numancia
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Tenerife
0.95
Alcorcon
0.86
Gimnastic
0.71
Reus Deportiu
0.38
Sporting Gijon is 0.07 goals better than Tenerife in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 0.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Granada CF
0.67
Malaga
0.74
Deportivo La Coruna
0.76
Osasuna
0.83
Cadiz
0.86
Mallorca
0.88
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Albacete
0.90
Almeria
0.93
Alcorcon
1.00
Extremadura UD
1.12
Reus Deportiu
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.19
Las Palmas
1.19
Lugo
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Elche
1.24
Rayo Majadahonda
1.45
Gimnastic
1.50
Cordoba
1.88
Sporting Gijon is 0.29 goals better than Tenerife in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 5.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 14.4 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
For 6.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
10.0
4.9
5.2
4.6
29.0
29.6
28.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
10.1
9.7
10.5
4.8
4.7
4.8
28.2
28.9
27.6
vs Weaker (16)
10.5
11.8
8.3
5.1
5.8
4.0
30.7
30.7
30.7
% over line
46%
52%
40%
66%
68%
64%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
34%
32%
36%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
9.9
5.9
6.1
5.7
30.0
29.6
30.4
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
10.5
10.0
5.6
8.5
3.7
28.8
29.0
28.7
vs Similar (38)
9.5
9.3
9.8
6.0
6.1
6.0
30.6
29.3
31.7
vs Weaker (7)
11.6
11.6
11.5
5.6
5.4
6.0
27.9
30.8
20.5
% over line
54%
60%
48%
78%
76%
80%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
22%
24%
20%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Majadahonda
11.5
Numancia
10.7
Deportivo La Coruna
10.7
Lugo
10.6
Almeria
10.5
Zaragoza
10.3
Mallorca
10.3
Sporting Gijon
10.3
Granada CF
10.1
Alcorcon
10.0
Tenerife
9.9
Elche
9.9
Extremadura UD
9.7
Cadiz
9.7
Cordoba
9.5
Las Palmas
9.5
Gimnastic
9.4
Osasuna
9.3
Albacete
9.2
Oviedo
9.0
Malaga
8.7
Reus Deportiu
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Extremadura UD
7.5
Gimnastic
6.2
Osasuna
6.0
Lugo
5.9
Rayo Majadahonda
5.9
Oviedo
5.9
Cordoba
5.9
Tenerife
5.9
Almeria
5.4
Las Palmas
5.4
Elche
5.4
Alcorcon
5.3
Albacete
5.2
Cadiz
5.2
Mallorca
5.1
Numancia
5.1
Malaga
5.0
Granada CF
5.0
Sporting Gijon
4.9
Deportivo La Coruna
4.8
Zaragoza
4.7
Reus Deportiu
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Extremadura UD
34.3
Alcorcon
32.0
Osasuna
31.8
Cordoba
31.8
Elche
31.3
Gimnastic
31.3
Oviedo
31.1
Lugo
31.0
Las Palmas
31.0
Almeria
30.3
Albacete
30.0
Tenerife
30.0
Rayo Majadahonda
29.7
Malaga
29.5
Sporting Gijon
29.0
Mallorca
29.0
Granada CF
28.6
Cadiz
28.1
Numancia
27.6
Zaragoza
27.6
Reus Deportiu
27.3
Deportivo La Coruna
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.8%
Under 9.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.7%
Under 3.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.1%
Under 21.5
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.71
0.29
0.38
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.38
0.62
0.12
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.44
0.83
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
-
-
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.65
0.67
0.50
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
1.00
0.43
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.48
1.12
0.38
0.46
0.54
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.56
0.83
0.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.87
0.47
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
-
-
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.61
0.83
0.42
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Tenerife · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego67%
Jesús Álvarez33%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Álvarez67%
David Rodríguez Ramos67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Gil67%
Anes Krdzalic33%
Dani Martín0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
Sporting Gijon's squad is €16m more valuable than Tenerife's (€28m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
Sporting Gijon's attack is €10m more valuable than Tenerife's (€14m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
Sporting Gijon and Tenerife have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
DLC (13)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Sporting Gijon's defence is €5m more valuable than Tenerife's (€9m vs €3m).
Spain: Segunda División 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Osasuna
Granada CF
Malaga
Albacete
Mallorca
Deportivo La Coruna
Cadiz
Oviedo
Almeria
Elche
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Zaragoza
Numancia
Lugo
Rayo Majadahonda
Gimnastic
Cordoba