PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar Result & Analysis

Date: 20/01/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 3-2
St Joseph S Fc
St Joseph S Fc
Vs
74%
16%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

St Joseph S Fc win✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar win✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W10W30W20W42W40W01L40W21W11DA·LIO23/09H·LIN28/09A·COL03/10H·LYN27/10A·MAG03/11H·GLA25/11A·EUR03/12H·MAN10/12A·LIN21/12A·MON16/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.071.931.212.060.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.551.002.000.831.001.20
vs Weaker (19)2.261.111.881.502.550.82
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-715L12L02L13L13L07L00D02L05L11DH·ST 23/09A·COL27/09H·MAG05/10A·GLA22/10H·EUR28/10A·MAN05/11H·MON24/11A·LIN01/12H·EUR16/12H·COL08/01
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.451.062.381.082.54
vs Stronger (10)0.604.000.833.830.254.25
vs Similar (8)0.881.750.601.601.332.00
vs Weaker (11)1.641.551.801.401.501.67
Clean sheet %21% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.6%
Under 1.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.6%
Under 2.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.5%
Under 3.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.5%
St Joseph S Fc goals ↓
Lions Gibraltar goals →
01234
03.3%1.8%1.2%0.4%0.1%
16.4%7.3%3.1%1.0%0.2%
29.5%9.0%4.3%1.3%0.3%
38.6%8.1%3.8%1.2%0.3%
45.8%5.5%2.6%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St Joseph S Fc goals (down), columns = Lions Gibraltar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
St Joseph S Fc
2.52
Magpies
1.84
Europa Point
1.40
Lynx
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.32
Manchester 62
1.16
Europa
1.00
Glacis United
0.80
Lions Gibraltar
0.65
College 1975
0.55
St Joseph S Fc is 1.87 points better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of average points per game (2.52 vs 0.65).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.44
St Joseph S Fc
2.48
Magpies
2.20
Manchester 62
1.76
Mons Calpe
1.48
Lynx
1.45
Europa Point
1.28
Europa
1.25
Glacis United
1.05
College 1975
1.05
Lions Gibraltar
0.80
St Joseph S Fc is 1.68 goals better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals scored per game (2.48 vs 0.80).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.60
St Joseph S Fc
0.64
Europa Point
1.24
Magpies
1.44
Lynx
1.55
Mons Calpe
1.56
Europa
1.70
Glacis United
2.35
Lions Gibraltar
2.50
Manchester 62
2.56
College 1975
3.25
St Joseph S Fc is 1.86 goals better than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.64 vs 2.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D10W10W22D10W00D00D11D11DA·LIO23/09H·LIN28/09A·COL03/10H·LYN27/10A·MAG03/11H·GLA25/11A·EUR03/12H·MAN10/12A·LIN21/12A·MON16/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.400.640.431.250.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.180.330.170.800.20
vs Weaker (19)1.210.530.880.621.450.45
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L12L01L10W01L05L00D01L01L10WH·ST 23/09A·COL27/09H·MAG05/10A·GLA22/10H·EUR28/10A·MAN05/11H·MON24/11A·LIN01/12H·EUR16/12H·COL08/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.521.030.500.880.541.23
vs Stronger (10)0.202.200.331.670.003.00
vs Similar (8)0.500.620.400.600.670.67
vs Weaker (11)0.820.270.800.200.830.33
Clean sheet %48% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W20W10W20W30W01L40W10W00DA·LIO23/09H·LIN28/09A·COL03/10H·LYN27/10A·MAG03/11H·GLA25/11A·EUR03/12H·MAN10/12A·LIN21/12A·MON16/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.671.290.790.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.000.821.670.670.201.00
vs Weaker (19)1.050.581.000.881.090.36
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D01L03L12L02L00D01L04L01LH·ST 23/09A·COL27/09H·MAG05/10A·GLA22/10H·EUR28/10A·MAN05/11H·MON24/11A·LIN01/12H·EUR16/12H·COL08/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.551.410.561.500.541.31
vs Stronger (10)0.401.800.502.170.251.25
vs Similar (8)0.381.120.201.000.671.33
vs Weaker (11)0.821.271.001.200.671.33
Clean sheet %31% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (St Joseph S Fc) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Joseph S Fc over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.6%-------✓ Hit
Home win73.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
St Joseph S Fc and Lions Gibraltar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
St Joseph S Fc and Lions Gibraltar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
St Joseph S Fc and Lions Gibraltar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
St Joseph S Fc and Lions Gibraltar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
SJS wins
0
Draws
0
LG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

St Joseph S Fc vs Lions Gibraltar · H/A from SJS
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23ALions Gibraltar Vs SJS1-5
02/10/22ALions Gibraltar Vs SJS1-4

St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/01/24AMons Calpe Vs SJS1-1
21/12/23ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs SJS1-2
10/12/23HSJS Vs Manchester 624-0
03/12/23AEuropa Point Vs SJS1-0
25/11/23HSJS Vs Glacis United4-0
03/11/23AMagpies Vs SJS2-4
27/10/23HSJS Vs Lynx2-0
03/10/23ACollege 1975 Vs SJS0-3
28/09/23HSJS Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-0
23/09/23ALions Gibraltar Vs SJS1-5

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/01/24HLG Vs College 19751-1
16/12/23HLG Vs Europa0-5
01/12/23ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs LG2-0
24/11/23HLG Vs Mons Calpe0-0
05/11/23AManchester 62 Vs LG7-0
28/10/23HLG Vs Europa Point1-3
22/10/23AGlacis United Vs LG3-1
05/10/23HLG Vs Magpies0-2
27/09/23ACollege 1975 Vs LG2-1
23/09/23HLG Vs St Joseph S Fc1-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

St Joseph S Fc
St Joseph S Fc
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.77
HomeWWWWW1.69
AwayWWLWD1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%50%58%
AVG goals3.113.003.21
Over 1.5 %80%88%74%
Over 2.5 %63%69%58%
Over 3.5 %37%44%32%
Scored1.861.692.00
Conceded1.261.311.21
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet37%44%32%
Corners10.5012.009.00
Cards3.505.002.00
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD0.72
HomeLLDLD0.75
AwayLLLLL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%12%23%
AVG goals3.523.443.62
Over 1.5 %83%81%85%
Over 2.5 %66%62%69%
Over 3.5 %52%56%46%
Scored1.071.061.08
Conceded2.452.382.54
BTTS48%56%38%
Clean Sheet21%19%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2565
84%
2.6
8615+71
4.0
88%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.6
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2563
80%
2.5
6216+46
3.1
84%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.50.6
-
3MagpiesMagpies2546
56%
1.8
5536+19
3.6
84%
68%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.4
-
4Europa PointEuropa Point2535
40%
1.4
3231+1
2.5
64%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
5Mons CalpeMons Calpe2533
36%
1.3
3739-2
3.0
88%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
6Manchester 62Manchester 622529
36%
1.2
4464-20
4.3
92%
76%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.6
-
7LynxLynx2027
40%
1.4
2931-2
3.0
85%
60%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8EuropaEuropa2020
30%
1.0
2534-9
3.0
65%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.21.7
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2016
25%
0.8
2147-26
3.4
80%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.4
-
10Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2013
15%
0.7
1650-34
3.3
85%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.5
-
11College 1975College 19752011
15%
0.6
2165-44
4.3
90%
75%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.2
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

← all matches