This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.40
0.93
0.64
1.00
2.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
1.93
0.86
1.00
0.71
2.86
vs Similar (16)
1.12
0.94
1.00
0.29
1.22
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.5%
@ 2.32-5.1%
Under 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.58+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.6%
No
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
ST Mirren goals ↓
ST Johnstone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
8.4%
3.9%
1.0%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
5.1%
1.4%
0.3%
2
10%
8.3%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
3
4.6%
3.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ST Mirren goals (down), columns = ST Johnstone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
ST Mirren is 0.08 points better than ST Johnstone in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
ST Mirren is 0.05 goals better than ST Johnstone in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
ST Mirren is 0.05 goals worse than ST Johnstone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
ST Mirren
For 5.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Johnstone
For 3.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.2
10.6
2.6
3.0
2.2
23.2
23.3
23.2
vs Stronger (22)
11.2
10.7
11.9
2.9
3.5
2.3
21.9
22.0
21.9
vs Similar (28)
10.6
11.7
9.5
2.4
2.7
2.2
24.4
24.4
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
58%
56%
32%
42%
21%
68%
68%
67%
% under line
43%
42%
44%
68%
58%
79%
32%
32%
33%
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
9.9
2.9
3.2
2.7
23.4
23.6
23.2
vs Stronger (24)
10.2
10.4
10.1
3.1
3.0
3.2
21.7
22.4
21.1
vs Similar (26)
10.1
10.4
9.8
2.8
3.4
2.2
24.9
24.6
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
61%
72%
44%
52%
36%
61%
61%
61%
% under line
33%
39%
28%
56%
48%
64%
39%
39%
39%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Rangers
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.7
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.2
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
21.4
Celtic
20.7
Partick
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.0%
Under 9.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.7%
Under 3.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.2%
Under 21.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.50
0.38
0.25
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.39
0.40
0.20
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.50
0.29
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
0.79
0.43
0.43
0.29
1.14
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.44
0.57
0.14
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.56
0.62
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.83
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.67
0.70
0.50
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Johnstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Johnstone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.43
0.36
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.14
0.43
0.57
0.43
1.71
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.50
0.43
0.14
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Johnstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mark O'Hara23%
Curtis Main16%
Jonah Ayunga16%
Alex Greive14%
Ryan Strain11%
Tony Watt10%
Richard Tait8%
Declan Gallagher7%
Alexander Gogić7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Thierry Small0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus27%
Charles Dunne27%
Jonah Ayunga26%
Declan Gallagher26%
Marcus Fraser21%
Mark O'Hara20%
Alexander Gogić20%
Ethan Erhahon15%
Thierry Small14%
Curtis Main14%
Scott Tanser13%
Greg Kiltie11%
Ryan Strain11%
Kieran Offord11%
Richard Taylor9%
Richard Tait8%
Alex Greive7%
Ryan Flynn5%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Trevor Carson3%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Tony Watt0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eamonn Brophy17%
Ryan Strain14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Thierry Small7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Mark O'Hara6%
Curtis Main5%
Ethan Erhahon5%
Ryan Flynn5%
Alexander Gogić3%
Greg Kiltie3%
Scott Tanser0%
Tony Watt0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonah Ayunga32%
Curtis Main30%
Mark O'Hara11%
Tony Watt10%
Ryan Strain8%
Eamonn Brophy8%
Thierry Small7%
Greg Kiltie6%
Alex Greive4%
Alexander Gogić3%
Keanu Baccus3%
Joe Shaughnessy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
ST Johnstone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicky Clark20%
Stevie May19%
Drey Wright18%
Jamie Murphy12%
Graham Carey10%
Zak Rudden8%
Melker Hallberg7%
Ali Crawford6%
Liam Gordon6%
James Brown4%
Connor McLennan4%
Thelonius Bair4%
Ryan McGowan4%
Alex Mitchell3%
Andy Considine3%
Remi Matthews0%
Murray Davidson0%
David Wotherspoon0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Cameron MacPherson0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Cameron Ballantyne0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Phillips39%
Cameron Ballantyne33%
Ryan McGowan29%
Graham Carey27%
Maksym Kucheriavyi25%
Alex Mitchell24%
Melker Hallberg23%
Liam Gordon22%
James Brown19%
Adam Montgomery18%
Cameron MacPherson17%
Zak Rudden17%
Connor McLennan15%
Andy Considine12%
Stevie May11%
Drey Wright11%
Ali Crawford6%
Remi Matthews6%
Nicky Clark5%
David Wotherspoon5%
Jamie Murphy4%
Thelonius Bair4%
Murray Davidson0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stevie May16%
Ali Crawford12%
Nicky Clark10%
Ryan McGowan7%
Melker Hallberg7%
Graham Carey7%
David Wotherspoon5%
Cameron MacPherson4%
Connor McLennan4%
Thelonius Bair4%
Adam Montgomery4%
Andy Considine3%
Liam Gordon3%
Drey Wright3%
Jamie Murphy0%
James Brown0%
Remi Matthews0%
Murray Davidson0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Zak Rudden0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Cameron Ballantyne0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Alex Mitchell0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stevie May30%
Nicky Clark20%
Cameron MacPherson4%
Jamie Murphy4%
Melker Hallberg3%
Graham Carey3%
Liam Gordon3%
Drey Wright3%
James Brown0%
Remi Matthews0%
Ali Crawford0%
Andy Considine0%
Connor McLennan0%
Murray Davidson0%
David Wotherspoon0%
Michael O'Halloran0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Zak Rudden0%
Thelonius Bair0%
Tony Gallacher0%
Cameron Ballantyne0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Alex Mitchell0%
Maksym Kucheriavyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
ST Mirren's squad is €2m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€8m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
ST Mirren and ST Johnstone have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
ST Mirren's midfield is €2m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
ST Mirren's defence is €1m more valuable than ST Johnstone's (€3m vs €2m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Rangers
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Motherwell
Livingston
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Dundee Utd
Partick
Queen's Park
Ayr Utd