This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.67
1.33
1.73
1.67
1.60
vs Stronger (26)
1.58
1.69
1.42
1.83
1.71
1.57
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.84+5.9%
Under 2.5
42.8%
@ 1.94-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
St. Truiden goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
6.5%
5.8%
2.9%
1.1%
1
6.4%
12%
8.5%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.5%
8.3%
6.3%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.7%
4.1%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St. Truiden goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
St. Truiden is 0.56 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
St. Truiden is 0.15 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
St. Truiden is 0.62 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
St. Truiden
For 5.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 4.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.7 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.4
8.6
4.3
4.2
4.3
25.5
24.3
26.8
vs Stronger (13)
9.5
9.9
9.0
3.5
4.2
2.2
24.3
24.0
24.8
vs Similar (30)
9.1
10.5
7.9
4.7
4.1
5.2
26.6
25.4
27.6
vs Weaker (7)
11.1
11.7
10.8
3.9
4.7
3.2
23.4
20.3
25.8
% over line
48%
52%
44%
60%
56%
64%
72%
76%
68%
% under line
52%
48%
56%
40%
44%
36%
28%
24%
32%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.9
11.2
4.5
4.2
4.7
22.8
22.7
22.9
vs Stronger (44)
10.7
10.1
11.3
4.5
4.3
4.7
23.1
23.2
23.0
vs Similar (6)
9.7
8.7
10.7
4.2
3.7
4.7
20.8
19.0
22.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
52%
64%
64%
60%
68%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
36%
40%
32%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Antwerp
11.0
Beerschot VA
10.9
Eupen
10.6
OH Leuven
10.6
Oostende
10.5
Charleroi
10.5
KV Mechelen
10.5
Union St. Gilloise
10.4
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Gent
10.2
Cercle Brugge
9.8
Genk
9.8
St. Truiden
9.5
Standard Liege
9.3
Seraing
9.3
Anderlecht
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
5.2
Standard Liege
4.8
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Antwerp
4.8
Seraing
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Beerschot VA
4.5
Kortrijk
4.5
Eupen
4.5
St. Truiden
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.2
Oostende
4.1
Gent
4.0
Genk
3.9
Anderlecht
3.8
Charleroi
3.8
KV Mechelen
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.9
Kortrijk
26.4
Cercle Brugge
25.7
St. Truiden
25.5
Beerschot VA
24.9
Gent
24.9
Union St. Gilloise
24.7
KV Mechelen
24.5
Seraing
24.4
Anderlecht
24.3
Genk
24.1
OH Leuven
24.1
Zulte Waregem
23.9
Club Brugge KV
23.8
Oostende
23.3
Eupen
22.8
Charleroi
22.6
Antwerp
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.3%
Under 9.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.0%
Under 3.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.4%
Under 21.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.53
0.33
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.78
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.19
0.71
0.14
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.80
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (26)
0.77
0.85
0.75
1.00
0.79
0.71
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.07
0.67
1.27
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.22
0.67
1.17
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.94
0.71
1.43
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.67
0.93
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.81
0.85
0.67
0.83
0.93
0.86
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
St. Truiden · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Matsuzawa33%
Ryan Merlen25%
I. Sebaoui25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Ishiwatari75%
J. Pupe33%
A. Sissako25%
L. Kokubo25%
Ryan Merlen25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
V. Musliu0%
T. Hata0%
I. Sebaoui0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
Beerschot VA