This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.90
0.81
1.69
0.64
2.14
vs Stronger (25)
0.80
1.96
0.86
1.57
0.73
2.45
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.60
0.50
2.50
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.97+3.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.82-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1 ✓
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
St. Truiden goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.1%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.4%
13%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.5%
5.3%
2.0%
0.5%
3
4.6%
5.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St. Truiden goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
St. Truiden is 0.52 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 0.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
St. Truiden is 0.04 goals worse than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
St. Truiden is 1.07 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 2.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
St. Truiden
For 4.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.4
8.3
3.5
3.2
3.7
23.9
22.3
25.4
vs Stronger (16)
8.8
8.7
8.8
2.9
2.8
3.0
23.4
21.8
25.0
vs Similar (26)
9.5
11.7
7.7
4.0
3.3
4.5
24.3
23.0
25.4
vs Weaker (8)
9.7
9.8
9.7
3.0
3.8
2.2
23.4
21.2
26.3
% over line
41%
50%
33%
50%
46%
54%
61%
60%
62%
% under line
59%
50%
67%
50%
54%
46%
39%
40%
38%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.1
4.3
4.5
4.1
21.9
21.8
22.0
vs Stronger (43)
10.5
10.7
10.2
4.0
4.2
3.9
21.7
22.0
21.5
vs Similar (7)
8.7
8.5
9.0
6.1
6.2
6.0
22.9
21.0
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
65%
58%
64%
73%
54%
52%
50%
54%
% under line
38%
35%
42%
36%
27%
46%
48%
50%
46%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KVC Westerlo
15.0
KV Mechelen
11.6
Antwerp
11.0
Club Brugge KV
10.5
OH Leuven
10.4
Oostende
10.2
Eupen
10.2
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
Union St. Gilloise
10.1
Charleroi
10.1
Genk
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Seraing
9.3
St. Truiden
9.3
Standard Liege
9.2
Anderlecht
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.3
OH Leuven
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Kortrijk
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Club Brugge KV
4.4
Seraing
4.4
Gent
4.4
Eupen
4.3
Oostende
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
Anderlecht
3.9
KV Mechelen
3.8
Genk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.7
Cercle Brugge
26.4
Kortrijk
25.4
KVC Westerlo
25.0
Union St. Gilloise
24.8
St. Truiden
24.0
Gent
23.7
KV Mechelen
23.2
Seraing
23.1
Oostende
22.9
Club Brugge KV
22.8
Genk
22.8
OH Leuven
22.5
Zulte Waregem
22.0
Anderlecht
22.0
Eupen
21.9
Charleroi
21.5
Antwerp
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.6%
Under 3.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
60.5%
Under 21.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.71
0.64
0.38
0.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.60
0.33
1.00
0.14
0.43
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.40
0.78
0.56
0.67
0.17
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (25)
0.52
1.04
0.64
0.86
0.36
1.27
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.80
0.00
2.00
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.93
0.57
0.56
0.38
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.33
1.00
0.43
0.57
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.17
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.20
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.90
0.25
0.69
0.29
1.14
vs Stronger (25)
0.28
0.92
0.21
0.71
0.36
1.18
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
St. Truiden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianni Bruno43%
Daichi Hayashi23%
Shinji Kagawa17%
Olivier Dumont12%
Rocco Reitz8%
Jorge Teixeira8%
Christian Brüls6%
Toni Leistner4%
Mory Konate4%
Shinji Okazaki3%
Frank Boya3%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Fatih Kaya0%
Robert Bauer0%
Jo Coppens0%
Taichi Hara0%
Daiki Hashioka0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Eric Bocat0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Matte Smets0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shinji Kagawa25%
Robert Bauer25%
Jo Coppens25%
Ameen Al-Dakhil25%
Mory Konate21%
Wolke Janssens19%
Frank Boya19%
Gianni Bruno13%
Toni Leistner12%
Olivier Dumont12%
Christian Brüls11%
Aboubakary Koita10%
Stan Van Dessel10%
Daichi Hayashi10%
Daiki Hashioka9%
Taichi Hara9%
Eric Bocat9%
Jorge Teixeira8%
Shinji Okazaki3%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Fatih Kaya0%
Rocco Reitz0%
Matte Smets0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Taichi Hara18%
Christian Brüls17%
Stan Van Dessel10%
Daiki Hashioka9%
Aboubakary Koita7%
Gianni Bruno7%
Shinji Okazaki7%
Eric Bocat5%
Robert Bauer4%
Mory Konate4%
Daichi Hayashi3%
Shinji Kagawa0%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Frank Boya0%
Toni Leistner0%
Fatih Kaya0%
Jo Coppens0%
Rocco Reitz0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Matte Smets0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianni Bruno27%
Frank Boya13%
Taichi Hara9%
Rocco Reitz8%
Aboubakary Koita7%
Daichi Hayashi6%
Toni Leistner4%
Shinji Okazaki3%
Daiki Hashioka3%
Shinji Kagawa0%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Fatih Kaya0%
Robert Bauer0%
Jo Coppens0%
Mory Konate0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Eric Bocat0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Matte Smets0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
St. Truiden
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United