This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
2.27
1.40
2.20
1.07
2.33
vs Stronger (28)
1.14
2.29
1.21
2.07
1.07
2.50
vs Similar (2)
2.50
2.00
4.00
4.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.66-5.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.20+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
St. Truiden goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
5.6%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
1
9.9%
13%
5.9%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.7%
5.0%
1.7%
0.5%
3
5.3%
5.5%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.2%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St. Truiden goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.18
Anderlecht
2.02
Club Brugge KV
1.98
Gent
1.87
KV Mechelen
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.57
Genk
1.53
Lommel United
1.50
Antwerp
1.48
Charleroi
1.41
St. Truiden
1.30
OH Leuven
1.09
Standard Liege
1.07
KVC Westerlo
1.07
Kortrijk
1.00
RWDM
0.83
RWD Molenbeek
0.83
AS Eupen
0.78
Eupen
0.78
St. Truiden is 0.52 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.39
Union St. Gilloise
2.09
Gent
2.00
Anderlecht
1.80
Antwerp
1.59
Genk
1.53
KVC Westerlo
1.52
Cercle Brugge
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.45
Standard Liege
1.25
OH Leuven
1.18
St. Truiden
1.18
RWDM
1.08
RWD Molenbeek
1.08
Charleroi
1.05
Kortrijk
0.89
AS Eupen
0.81
Eupen
0.81
Lommel United
0.50
St. Truiden is 0.38 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lommel United
0.50
Club Brugge KV
0.84
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.07
Gent
1.11
Cercle Brugge
1.11
Union St. Gilloise
1.11
Genk
1.16
KV Mechelen
1.23
Charleroi
1.30
OH Leuven
1.48
St. Truiden
1.52
Standard Liege
1.64
Kortrijk
1.74
KVC Westerlo
1.75
AS Eupen
1.83
Eupen
1.83
RWDM
2.11
RWD Molenbeek
2.11
St. Truiden is 0.31 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Lommel United
63%
Antwerp
58%
St. Truiden
58%
Club Brugge KV
56%
Gent
54%
Genk
53%
Anderlecht
52%
KV Mechelen
51%
Union St. Gilloise
49%
Standard Liege
49%
Charleroi
49%
KVC Westerlo
47%
RWDM
45%
AS Eupen
44%
Cercle Brugge
44%
Kortrijk
43%
OH Leuven
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
St. Truiden
For 3.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 4.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
7.7
10.0
1.2
1.2
1.3
21.8
21.2
22.5
vs Stronger (14)
9.0
7.5
10.0
2.1
2.5
1.8
22.8
23.0
22.7
vs Similar (25)
9.3
8.2
10.7
0.7
0.5
0.8
21.0
21.5
20.3
vs Weaker (11)
7.8
7.0
9.0
1.5
1.2
1.8
22.0
19.7
25.5
% over line
35%
22%
50%
16%
12%
20%
41%
44%
38%
% under line
65%
78%
50%
84%
88%
80%
59%
56%
62%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.6
4.2
4.3
4.2
23.4
23.6
23.2
vs Stronger (45)
10.2
9.9
10.6
4.0
4.0
4.0
23.2
23.7
22.7
vs Similar (5)
10.8
10.7
11.0
6.6
6.7
6.5
25.4
23.0
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
56%
68%
58%
64%
52%
68%
72%
64%
% under line
38%
44%
32%
42%
36%
48%
32%
28%
36%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.4
OH Leuven
11.1
Gent
11.1
Kortrijk
10.9
Charleroi
10.6
RWDM
10.5
RWD Molenbeek
10.4
Lommel United
10.4
Antwerp
10.3
Club Brugge KV
10.3
Eupen
10.3
KVC Westerlo
10.1
Genk
10.0
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.6
Anderlecht
9.3
AS Eupen
9.2
St. Truiden
9.2
Standard Liege
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.5
Kortrijk
5.2
OH Leuven
5.0
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Lommel United
4.6
Anderlecht
4.4
Genk
4.4
Gent
4.3
St. Truiden
4.3
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Eupen
4.2
Antwerp
4.2
KV Mechelen
4.1
Charleroi
3.8
AS Eupen
3.7
RWDM
3.6
RWD Molenbeek
3.3
KVC Westerlo
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cercle Brugge
27.2
Standard Liege
26.7
Union St. Gilloise
25.4
Kortrijk
24.8
Genk
24.2
St. Truiden
23.9
Anderlecht
23.6
AS Eupen
23.4
Eupen
23.4
Lommel United
23.0
RWD Molenbeek
22.4
RWDM
22.3
KVC Westerlo
22.2
OH Leuven
22.1
KV Mechelen
21.7
Gent
21.3
Club Brugge KV
21.2
Charleroi
20.7
Antwerp
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.6%
Under 9.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.4%
Under 21.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.44
0.44
0.57
0.36
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.70
0.20
1.20
1.00
0.20
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.36
0.29
0.14
0.14
0.57
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.13
0.60
1.13
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (28)
0.54
1.18
0.57
1.14
0.50
1.21
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.81
0.75
0.57
1.21
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.50
0.40
1.00
0.60
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.79
0.57
0.57
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.50
1.75
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.13
0.80
1.07
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (28)
0.61
1.11
0.64
0.93
0.57
1.29
vs Similar (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
St. Truiden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aboubakary Koita30%
Adriano Bertaccini23%
Ryotaro Ito17%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam15%
Ryoya Ogawa14%
Jarne Steuckers14%
Daiki Hashioka11%
Eric Bocat5%
Fatih Kaya5%
Joel Chima Fujita4%
Joselpho Barnes3%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper2%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Frederic Ananou0%
Jo Coppens0%
Rihito Yamamoto0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Matte Smets0%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wolke Janssens29%
Daiki Hashioka22%
Rein Van Helden19%
Bruno Godeau19%
Aboubakary Koita16%
Frederic Ananou16%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper15%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam15%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael12%
Eric Bocat11%
Fatih Kaya10%
Joselpho Barnes10%
Joel Chima Fujita8%
Adriano Bertaccini8%
Olivier Dumont6%
Rihito Yamamoto3%
Jarne Steuckers3%
Matte Smets2%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Jo Coppens0%
Ryoya Ogawa0%
Ryotaro Ito0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryoya Ogawa29%
Jarne Steuckers17%
Ryotaro Ito11%
Daiki Hashioka11%
Eric Bocat11%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper10%
Aboubakary Koita8%
Joel Chima Fujita8%
Adriano Bertaccini8%
Frederic Ananou5%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam4%
Joselpho Barnes3%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Fatih Kaya0%
Jo Coppens0%
Rihito Yamamoto0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Matte Smets0%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aboubakary Koita49%
Adriano Bertaccini23%
Ryotaro Ito14%
Daiki Hashioka11%
Jarne Steuckers9%
Fatih Kaya8%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam7%
Mathias Delorge-Knieper5%
Eric Bocat3%
Daniel Schmidt0%
Wolke Janssens0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Shinji Okazaki0%
Frederic Ananou0%
Jo Coppens0%
Ryoya Ogawa0%
Rihito Yamamoto0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Joselpho Barnes0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Matte Smets0%
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
St. Truiden
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
Gent
KV Mechelen
Genk
Cercle Brugge
Antwerp
Charleroi
OH Leuven
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
Kortrijk
RWDM
AS Eupen
Lommel United