St. Truiden are the clear favourites, with a 55% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and 20% for RAAL La Louvière. The model expects 2.9 goals on average, with a 24% probability that exactly two goals will be scored. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability. St. Truiden, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while RAAL La Louvière, on the road, average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. The suggested picks are: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.4%, Under 7.599.2%, Away under 3.5 goals98.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals98.2% (edge 6%), Under 6.597.7% (edge 4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals95.9% (edge 5%), Under 5.593.8% (edge 3%), and Home +2 handicap93.2% (edge 2%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
St. Truiden win
55.3%
Avg Implied 57.8% · @ 1.62
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
10Bet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Draw
24.6%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.96
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.17
1xBet
4.14
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
4.05
Dafabet
4.00
RAAL La Louvière win
20.1%
Avg Implied 18.7% · @ 5.00
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.22
Pinnacle
5.17
Marathonbet
5.10
Dafabet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
St. Truiden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.33
1.47
1.20
1.80
1.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
1.62
1.43
1.71
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (17)
2.18
1.12
1.50
0.75
2.78
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.67
1.21
1.57
1.06
1.75
vs Stronger (11)
1.27
1.73
1.40
1.80
1.17
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.05
1.63
1.11
1.44
1.00
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.9%
@ 1.22+3.3%
Under 1.5
20.1%
@ 3.99-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.14
BetVictor
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.9%
@ 1.75+1.8%
Under 2.5
44.1%
@ 2.06-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.83
Betano
1.78
Betfair
1.75
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.5%
@ 2.82+0.4%
Under 3.5
66.5%
@ 1.40-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.15
Betano
2.92
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
56.2%
@ 1.74+2.9%
No
43.8%
@ 1.98-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
William Hil
1.73
No
William Hil
2.05
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 6.98+5.4%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.32+3.9%
2-0
9.4%@ 7.46+3.5%
1-0
9.0%@ 6.77+2.5%
0-0
6.4%@ 11.64+2.7%
3-1
6.2%@ 11.31+2.3%
3-0
5.8%@ 11.17+1.9%
1-2
5.6%@ 13.58+2.4%
St. Truiden goals ↓
RAAL La Louvière goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
4.6%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.0%
12%
5.6%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.8%
6.2%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.7%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = St. Truiden goals (down), columns = RAAL La Louvière goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
St. Truiden is 0.83 points better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
St. Truiden is 0.55 goals better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
St. Truiden is 0.24 goals better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
St. Truiden is 16.2 percentage points better than RAAL La Louvière in terms of average possession (55% vs 39%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
St. Truiden
For 4.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 8.7 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RAAL La Louvière
For 4.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.2
10.5
3.6
3.7
3.4
21.2
21.0
21.4
vs Stronger (19)
10.3
10.0
10.7
3.5
3.4
3.6
19.8
19.9
19.7
vs Similar (31)
9.6
8.7
10.5
3.6
3.9
3.4
22.1
21.7
22.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
54%
71%
48%
50%
46%
54%
54%
54%
% under line
38%
46%
29%
52%
50%
54%
46%
46%
46%
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.2
8.8
3.4
3.3
3.4
24.2
23.6
24.7
vs Stronger (15)
10.4
10.4
10.3
3.9
3.0
4.6
24.5
23.1
25.9
vs Similar (33)
8.3
8.4
8.1
3.1
3.3
2.9
23.4
22.5
24.2
vs Weaker (2)
10.5
10.5
-
4.5
4.5
-
32.5
32.5
-
% over line
43%
43%
43%
48%
46%
50%
70%
61%
78%
% under line
57%
57%
57%
52%
54%
50%
30%
39%
22%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.2
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
24.9
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.5
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Gent
21.2
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.8%
@ 2.02-0.1%
Under 9.5
54.2%
@ 1.71+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
10Bet
1.95
Under
Unibet
1.87
10Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.72-0.5%
Under 3.5
46.1%
@ 2.05+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
53.3%
Under 21.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
St. Truiden or Draw
81.2%
Avg Implied 80.8% · @ 1.16
Edge
+0.4%
55%
25%
20%
covers St. Truiden + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
St. Truiden or RAAL La Louvière
74.8%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.22
Edge
-2.1%
55%
25%
20%
covers St. Truiden + RAAL La Louvière
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Draw or RAAL La Louvière
44.0%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.22
Edge
+1.7%
55%
25%
20%
covers Draw + RAAL La Louvière
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.20
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5
Over
83.5%
@ 1.11+0.4%
Under
16.5%
@ 5.46-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
St. Truiden over/under 1.5
Over
53.7%
@ 1.65-2.8%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.15+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
St. Truiden over/under 2.5
Over
26.9%
@ 3.06-3.4%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.33+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.08
Betano
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
St. Truiden over/under 3.5
Over
10.9%
@ 6.28-3.9%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.08+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5
Over
61.8%
@ 1.51+0.4%
Under
38.2%
@ 2.41-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.52
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.40
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5
Over
25.0%
@ 3.52-1.4%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.26+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.64
Unibet
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5
Over
7.3%
@ 9.60-2.4%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.90
Betfair
9.50
Unibet
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
RAAL La Louvière over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
@ 20.75-3.0%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to St. Truiden, so a minus line means St. Truiden give that many goals of a start and RAAL La Louvière receive them. At -1, St. Truiden must win by two or more to land; a one-goal St. Truiden win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (St. Truiden)
St. Truiden -2
15.0%
@ 5.11-2.5%
Draw -2
17.6%
@ 4.58-1.9%
RAAL La Louvière +2
67.4%
@ 1.41+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Handicap -1 (St. Truiden)
St. Truiden -1
32.6%
@ 2.63-1.5%
Draw -1
23.4%
@ 3.52-2.1%
RAAL La Louvière +1
44.0%
@ 2.22+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
2.26
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.17
Handicap +1 (St. Truiden)
St. Truiden +1
81.2%
@ 1.15+3.8%
Draw +1
12.0%
@ 6.17-2.4%
RAAL La Louvière -1
6.8%
@ 10.79-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.65
Handicap +2 (St. Truiden)
St. Truiden +2
93.2%
@ 1.03+1.6%
Draw +2
5.0%
@ 16.00-0.9%
RAAL La Louvière -2
1.8%
@ 37.50-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
17.00
Bet365
15.00
Away
Betfair
46.00
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.69
0.43
0.71
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (17)
1.06
0.53
0.88
0.38
1.22
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.50
0.64
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.74
0.44
0.56
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.32-2.1%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 3.13+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.3%
@ 2.53-5.4%
Under 1.5
68.7%
@ 1.47+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Under
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.9%
@ 5.97-3.6%
Under 2.5
88.1%
@ 1.10+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.3%
@ 1.65-3.1%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.13+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.4%
@ 4.13-3.9%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.19+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.40
Betano
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
@ 9.75-5.9%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.8%
@ 2.64+0.7%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.43-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Unibet
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Marathonbet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
@ 9.67-2.7%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.60
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.73
0.80
0.67
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.92
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (17)
1.12
0.59
0.62
0.38
1.56
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RAAL La Louvière
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.71
0.93
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.89
0.67
0.89
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.20+1.3%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 4.15-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.7%
@ 1.96-1.0%
Under 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.78+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Unibet
1.74
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 4.02-3.2%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.21+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.20
William Hil
4.20
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.96
Marathonbet
3.96
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2H
Over
63.7%
@ 1.44-0.8%
Under
36.3%
@ 2.62+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.65
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2H
Over
29.8%
@ 3.07-0.3%
Under
70.2%
@ 1.32+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.9%
@ 7.57-5.3%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.1%
@ 2.14-2.2%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.64+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.18
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.59
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.8%
@ 6.90-2.6%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.07+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.10
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 19.00-3.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.9%
Under 5.5
93.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.03
BetVictor
1.02
+3.0%
Home +2 handicap
93.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+1.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+5.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+2.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+2.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
89.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.6%
Under 4.5
85.4%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+3.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
83.5%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+0.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.6%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
+3.9%
Home or Draw
81.2%
1.16
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+0.4%
Home +1 handicap
81.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-
+3.8%
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
+3.2%
Over 1.5
79.9%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+3.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
+1.3%
Under 25.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
1.24
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
+2.4%
Away under 1.5 goals
75.0%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+1.4%
Home or Away
74.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
-2.1%
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.1%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
+3.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.2%
1.32
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
-
+0.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
St. Truiden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Matsuzawa33%
Ryan Merlen25%
I. Sebaoui25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Ishiwatari75%
J. Pupe33%
A. Sissako25%
L. Kokubo25%
Ryan Merlen25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
V. Musliu0%
T. Hata0%
I. Sebaoui0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
RAAL La Louvière
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mustapha Isah75%
Elias Filet25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Mame Wade0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mame Wade50%
Yllan Okou33%
Wagane Faye25%
Djibril Lamego25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Elias Filet0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Mustapha Isah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zsombor Gruber33%
Mame Wade25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Elias Filet0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Mustapha Isah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mustapha Isah50%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Elias Filet0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Mame Wade0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
St. Truiden's squad is €7m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€30m vs €23m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
St. Truiden's attack is €6m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€11m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
St. Truiden's midfield is €2m less valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€4m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
St. Truiden's defence is €3m more valuable than RAAL La Louvière's (€14m vs €11m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk