This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nantes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.60
1.00
1.85
1.12
1.41
vs Stronger (16)
0.94
2.06
1.00
2.00
0.88
2.12
vs Similar (14)
1.21
1.07
1.00
1.60
1.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.2%
Under 2.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
Stade Brestois 29 goals ↓
Nantes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
6.5%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
6.0%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.4%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.9%
4.9%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stade Brestois 29 goals (down), columns = Nantes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aigles d'Or de Mana
3.00
Paris Saint Germain
2.67
Cannes
2.57
Thaon
2.50
Angers
2.50
Estac Troyes
2.40
Hauts Lyonnais
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
Clermont Foot
2.33
Dijon
2.33
Le Puy Foot
2.25
Bastia
2.25
Stade Brestois 29
2.25
Lorient
2.25
Bourgoin-Jallieu
2.20
Guingamp
2.17
Rumilly Vallières
2.00
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.00
Saint-Malo
2.00
Annecy
2.00
Dunkerque
2.00
Le Mans
2.00
Union Saint-Jean
2.00
PAU
2.00
Marseille
2.00
Lyon
2.00
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Caen
2.00
Valenciennes
2.00
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
2.00
Sochaux
2.00
RC Calais
2.00
Jura Sud Foot
2.00
Martigues
2.00
Bordeaux
2.00
Orleans
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
Metz
2.00
RC Saint Joseph
2.00
Dives-Cabourg
2.00
Colmar
2.00
Monaco
2.00
Drancy
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
Stade Briochin
1.83
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1.75
Quevilly
1.75
Haguenau
1.75
Lille
1.67
Corte
1.67
SA Mérignac
1.67
Chambéry
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Valence FC
1.50
Couzeix-Chaptelat
1.50
Mâcon
1.50
Neuilly sur Marne
1.50
Olympique d'Alès
1.50
Nantes
1.50
Calais Beau-Marais
1.50
Olympique de Valence
1.50
Gallia Lucciana
1.50
Istres
1.50
Beauvais
1.50
Cluses-Scionzier
1.50
Monnaie
1.50
Ginglin Cesson
1.50
Rennes
1.50
Nancy
1.50
Rouen
1.50
Aubervilliers
1.50
Carnoux
1.50
La Roche sur Yon
1.50
Versailles
1.50
Reims
1.50
Bolbec
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Saint-Colomban Locminé
1.50
Amiens
1.33
Grenoble
1.33
Nice
1.33
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
1.33
Chasselay MDA
1.33
Bobigny
1.33
Strasbourg
1.33
La Roche VF
1.33
Saint-Denis
1.33
Tours
1.33
Marmande
1.33
Toulouse
1.33
Paris FC
1.00
Saint-Omer
1.00
TA Rennes
1.00
Montagnarde
1.00
Vierzon FC
1.00
Brétigny Foot
1.00
Hettange-Grande
1.00
USSA Vertou
1.00
Villefranche
1.00
Saint-Pierre Milizac
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Crépy-en-Valois
1.00
Stade Béthunois
1.00
Lens
1.00
Linas-Montlhery
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Colomiers
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Saint-Lô Manche
1.00
Avranches
1.00
Vitré
1.00
Laval
0.75
Liancourt Clermont
0.50
Agde
0.50
Dinan Léhon
0.50
Lunéville
0.50
Cesson
0.50
Diables Noirs
0.50
Dragon
0.50
Le Touquet
0.50
Noyelles sous Lens
0.50
Raon l'Etape
0.50
OCPAM
0.00
Saint Etienne
0.00
Freyming
0.00
St-Philbert Réorthe JA
0.00
Arras
0.00
Saint-Brieuc
0.00
Serquigny Nassandres
0.00
Saint-Pierroise
0.00
Arles
0.00
Boulay
0.00
Thouars
0.00
Houilles
0.00
Haubourdin
0.00
Saumur
0.00
Comtal
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
C' Chartres
0.00
Guéreins Genouilleux
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
AC Paris 15
0.00
Grau-du-Roi
0.00
Niort
0.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
0.00
Bayonne
0.00
Pays de Cassel
0.00
Illkirch Graffenstaden
0.00
Marignane
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Alençon
0.00
Avenir Mourenxois
0.00
Vannes
0.00
Ajaccio
0.00
Mérignac-Arlac
0.00
Raismes
0.00
Sauveteurs Brivois
0.00
Les Ulis
0.00
St-Just St-Rambert
0.00
Jura Dolois
0.00
Epinal
0.00
Feytiat
0.00
Olympique Cazaux
0.00
Maladrerie
0.00
Vendée Fontenay
0.00
Jeunesse Evolution
0.00
Canet Roussillon
0.00
Nousseviller
0.00
Stade Beaucairois
0.00
Montferrand
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Valdahon Vercel
0.00
Sarre Union
0.00
Sablé
0.00
Foron
0.00
Grandvillars
0.00
Paimpol
0.00
Ruffiac Malestroit
0.00
Cannet Rocheville
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Allobroges Asafia
0.00
Anduzien
0.00
Roubaix
0.00
Rodez
0.00
Chaumont
0.00
Gueugnon
0.00
ETC Anstaing Chéreng
0.00
Etoile Matoury
0.00
Labourse
0.00
FCSR Obernai
0.00
Blenod
0.00
Lempdes
0.00
Marboz
0.00
Fief-Gesté
0.00
Samaritaine
0.00
Vesoul
0.00
Bressuire
0.00
Stade Brestois 29 is 0.75 points better than Nantes in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
RED Star FC 93
4.50
Neuilly sur Marne
4.00
Roubaix
4.00
Caen
3.67
Paris Saint Germain
3.50
Cannes
3.00
Hettange-Grande
3.00
Aigles d'Or de Mana
3.00
Le Mans
2.80
Le Puy Foot
2.75
Bastia
2.75
Lorient
2.75
Guingamp
2.67
Martigues
2.67
Boulogne
2.67
Bourgoin-Jallieu
2.60
Dives-Cabourg
2.60
Olympique d'Alès
2.50
Nantes
2.50
Thaon
2.50
Marseille
2.50
Monaco
2.50
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.33
Grenoble
2.33
Union Saint-Jean
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
Dijon
2.33
La Roche VF
2.33
SA Mérignac
2.33
Annecy
2.25
Valenciennes
2.25
TA Rennes
2.00
Vierzon FC
2.00
Mâcon
2.00
PAU
2.00
Istres
2.00
Epinal
2.00
Lyon
2.00
Angers
2.00
Stade Beaucairois
2.00
Bobigny
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Sablé
2.00
Rennes
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Grandvillars
2.00
Aubervilliers
2.00
Jura Sud Foot
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
Strasbourg
2.00
Orleans
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Versailles
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
Chaumont
2.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
2.00
Colmar
2.00
Estac Troyes
1.80
Stade Brestois 29
1.75
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1.75
Sochaux
1.75
Haguenau
1.75
Dunkerque
1.71
Amiens
1.67
Chasselay MDA
1.67
Clermont Foot
1.67
Bordeaux
1.67
RC Saint Joseph
1.67
Marmande
1.67
Drancy
1.67
Lunéville
1.50
Calais Beau-Marais
1.50
Beauvais
1.50
Monnaie
1.50
Quevilly
1.50
Rouen
1.50
Dragon
1.50
La Roche sur Yon
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Corte
1.33
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
1.33
Hauts Lyonnais
1.33
RC Calais
1.33
Metz
1.33
Saint-Denis
1.33
Tours
1.33
Stade Briochin
1.17
Reims
1.17
Lille
1.00
OCPAM
1.00
Rumilly Vallières
1.00
Saint-Malo
1.00
Saint-Brieuc
1.00
Saint-Pierroise
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Agde
1.00
Saint-Omer
1.00
Haubourdin
1.00
Montagnarde
1.00
Nice
1.00
AC Paris 15
1.00
Chambéry
1.00
Dinan Léhon
1.00
Les Herbiers
1.00
Villefranche
1.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1.00
Bayonne
1.00
Pays de Cassel
1.00
Vannes
1.00
Saint-Pierre Milizac
1.00
Ajaccio
1.00
Les Ulis
1.00
Gallia Lucciana
1.00
Maladrerie
1.00
Vendée Fontenay
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Jeunesse Evolution
1.00
Canet Roussillon
1.00
Cesson
1.00
Lens
1.00
Ginglin Cesson
1.00
Foron
1.00
Linas-Montlhery
1.00
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Saint-Lô Manche
1.00
Anduzien
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Bolbec
1.00
Gueugnon
1.00
Etoile Matoury
1.00
Fief-Gesté
1.00
Samaritaine
1.00
Vesoul
1.00
Laval
0.75
Toulouse
0.67
Valence FC
0.50
Couzeix-Chaptelat
0.50
Olympique de Valence
0.50
Cluses-Scionzier
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Le Touquet
0.50
Noyelles sous Lens
0.50
Raon l'Etape
0.50
Saint Etienne
0.00
Freyming
0.00
St-Philbert Réorthe JA
0.00
Arras
0.00
Serquigny Nassandres
0.00
Liancourt Clermont
0.00
Arles
0.00
Boulay
0.00
Thouars
0.00
Houilles
0.00
Saumur
0.00
Comtal
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
C' Chartres
0.00
Brétigny Foot
0.00
Guéreins Genouilleux
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
Grau-du-Roi
0.00
USSA Vertou
0.00
Niort
0.00
Illkirch Graffenstaden
0.00
Marignane
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Alençon
0.00
Avenir Mourenxois
0.00
Mérignac-Arlac
0.00
Raismes
0.00
Sauveteurs Brivois
0.00
St-Just St-Rambert
0.00
Jura Dolois
0.00
Feytiat
0.00
Olympique Cazaux
0.00
Nousseviller
0.00
Montferrand
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Crépy-en-Valois
0.00
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Valdahon Vercel
0.00
Sarre Union
0.00
Diables Noirs
0.00
Paimpol
0.00
Ruffiac Malestroit
0.00
Cannet Rocheville
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Allobroges Asafia
0.00
Vitré
0.00
ETC Anstaing Chéreng
0.00
Labourse
0.00
FCSR Obernai
0.00
Blenod
0.00
Lempdes
0.00
Marboz
0.00
Bressuire
0.00
Stade Brestois 29 is 0.75 goals worse than Nantes in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Brétigny Foot
0.00
USSA Vertou
0.00
Crépy-en-Valois
0.00
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Jura Sud Foot
0.00
Vitré
0.00
Bastia
0.25
Hauts Lyonnais
0.33
Clermont Foot
0.33
SA Mérignac
0.33
Rumilly Vallières
0.50
Saint-Malo
0.50
Liancourt Clermont
0.50
Marseille
0.50
Le Puy Foot
0.50
Cluses-Scionzier
0.50
Beaumont Saint-Cyr
0.50
Rouen
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Orleans
0.50
Colmar
0.50
Lorient
0.50
Bourgoin-Jallieu
0.60
Estac Troyes
0.60
Lille
0.67
Feignies-Aulnoye
0.67
Corte
0.67
Thionville Lusitanos
0.67
Caen
0.67
La Roche VF
0.67
Annecy
0.75
Thaon
0.75
Sochaux
0.75
Le Mans
0.80
Paris Saint Germain
0.83
Amiens
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Arles
1.00
Saint-Omer
1.00
Montagnarde
1.00
Nice
1.00
Auxerre
1.00
Le Havre
1.00
Laval
1.00
Villefranche
1.00
Valence FC
1.00
Mâcon
1.00
Illkirch Graffenstaden
1.00
Marignane
1.00
Chantilly
1.00
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
1.00
Nantes
1.00
Saint-Pierre Milizac
1.00
Mérignac-Arlac
1.00
Sauveteurs Brivois
1.00
PAU
1.00
Gallia Lucciana
1.00
Jura Dolois
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Angers
1.00
Bobigny
1.00
Biars-Bretenoux
1.00
Concarneau
1.00
Diables Noirs
1.00
Lens
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Rennes
1.00
Linas-Montlhery
1.00
Quevilly
1.00
Aubervilliers
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Le Touquet
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Saint-Lô Manche
1.00
Metz
1.00
Raon l'Etape
1.00
Saint-Denis
1.00
Monaco
1.00
Blenod
1.00
Lempdes
1.00
Marboz
1.00
Toulouse
1.00
Dunkerque
1.14
Guingamp
1.17
Reims
1.17
Stade Brestois 29
1.25
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1.25
Haguenau
1.25
Grenoble
1.33
RC Calais
1.33
Martigues
1.33
Bordeaux
1.33
ASS Still Mutzig
1.33
Tours
1.33
Dives-Cabourg
1.40
Cannes
1.43
Stade Briochin
1.50
Chambéry
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Couzeix-Chaptelat
1.50
Olympique de Valence
1.50
Lyon
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
Valenciennes
1.50
Ginglin Cesson
1.50
Versailles
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Union Saint-Jean
1.67
Chasselay MDA
1.67
Strasbourg
1.67
Drancy
1.67
OCPAM
2.00
Arras
2.00
Saint-Brieuc
2.00
TA Rennes
2.00
Saumur
2.00
Vierzon FC
2.00
Comtal
2.00
Grau-du-Roi
2.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
2.00
Pays de Cassel
2.00
Alençon
2.00
Vannes
2.00
Ajaccio
2.00
Calais Beau-Marais
2.00
Istres
2.00
Beauvais
2.00
Maladrerie
2.00
Vendée Fontenay
2.00
Sarre Union
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
La Roche sur Yon
2.00
Aigles d'Or de Mana
2.00
Ruffiac Malestroit
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Noyelles sous Lens
2.00
Rodez
2.00
Samaritaine
2.00
Bressuire
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
RC Saint Joseph
2.33
Dinan Léhon
2.50
Cesson
2.50
Etoile Matoury
2.50
Agde
3.00
Boulay
3.00
Thouars
3.00
Houilles
3.00
Hettange-Grande
3.00
AC Paris 15
3.00
Niort
3.00
Bayonne
3.00
Avenir Mourenxois
3.00
Les Ulis
3.00
Feytiat
3.00
Monnaie
3.00
Canet Roussillon
3.00
Nousseviller
3.00
Foron
3.00
Paimpol
3.00
Anduzien
3.00
Chaumont
3.00
Gueugnon
3.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
3.00
FCSR Obernai
3.00
Marmande
3.00
Fief-Gesté
3.00
Lunéville
3.50
Olympique d'Alès
3.50
Bolbec
3.50
Saint Etienne
4.00
Freyming
4.00
Saint-Pierroise
4.00
C' Chartres
4.00
Guéreins Genouilleux
4.00
Neuilly sur Marne
4.00
St-Just St-Rambert
4.00
Epinal
4.00
Jeunesse Evolution
4.00
Stade Beaucairois
4.00
Montferrand
4.00
Valdahon Vercel
4.00
Sablé
4.00
Grandvillars
4.00
Dragon
4.00
Cannet Rocheville
4.00
Montpellier
4.00
ETC Anstaing Chéreng
4.00
Labourse
4.00
Serquigny Nassandres
5.00
Raismes
5.00
Allobroges Asafia
5.00
Roubaix
5.00
St-Philbert Réorthe JA
6.00
Olympique Cazaux
6.00
Vesoul
6.00
Haubourdin
7.00
Stade Brestois 29 is 0.25 goals worse than Nantes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
76%
Cannes
61%
Reims
32%
Dunkerque
24%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stade Brestois 29
For 3.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nantes
For 3.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stade Brestois 29
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
7.6
7.8
4.6
4.6
4.7
25.2
25.2
25.2
vs Stronger (18)
8.8
9.6
8.2
5.5
5.5
5.5
22.3
21.2
23.1
vs Similar (29)
7.1
6.8
7.6
4.2
4.2
4.2
27.0
27.1
26.9
vs Weaker (3)
6.0
6.0
6.0
3.7
3.0
4.0
26.5
28.0
25.0
% over line
33%
28%
38%
66%
64%
68%
76%
72%
79%
% under line
67%
72%
62%
34%
36%
32%
24%
28%
21%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nantes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.5
3.8
3.7
3.9
23.7
23.2
24.1
vs Stronger (26)
9.6
9.8
9.4
3.8
3.5
4.1
24.2
24.5
23.9
vs Similar (24)
10.6
11.6
9.6
3.8
3.8
3.8
23.0
21.5
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
62%
48%
58%
54%
62%
71%
67%
76%
% under line
45%
38%
52%
42%
46%
38%
29%
33%
24%
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RED Star FC 93
11.5
Martigues
10.9
Rodez
10.5
Paris Saint Germain
10.5
Saint Etienne
10.4
Nantes
10.1
Caen
10.1
Bordeaux
9.9
Auxerre
9.8
Lorient
9.8
Laval
9.8
Clermont Foot
9.8
Lyon
9.7
Nancy
9.7
Reims
9.7
Grenoble
9.6
Monaco
9.6
Guingamp
9.5
Bastia
9.5
Angers
9.4
Dijon
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Paris FC
9.4
Metz
9.3
Sochaux
9.3
Annecy
9.2
Nice
9.2
Toulouse
9.2
PAU
9.2
Tours
9.2
Amiens
9.1
Orleans
9.0
Estac Troyes
9.0
Quevilly
8.9
Marseille
8.9
Rennes
8.9
Rouen
8.9
Dunkerque
8.8
Lille
8.8
Lens
8.8
Le Havre
8.7
Niort
8.6
Valenciennes
8.5
Strasbourg
8.4
Concarneau
8.4
Stade Brestois 29
7.7
Le Mans
7.7
Ajaccio
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Montpellier
5.1
Lens
5.0
Bastia
4.9
Monaco
4.9
Lille
4.9
Stade Brestois 29
4.7
Toulouse
4.6
Nice
4.6
Marseille
4.5
Rennes
4.5
Le Havre
4.4
Lorient
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.3
Sochaux
4.3
Lyon
4.3
Bordeaux
4.3
Estac Troyes
4.2
PAU
4.2
Le Mans
4.2
Valenciennes
4.1
Angers
4.1
Martigues
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Nantes
4.0
Laval
4.0
Strasbourg
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Tours
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Reims
3.9
Paris Saint Germain
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Caen
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Paris FC
3.8
Auxerre
3.8
Metz
3.8
Orleans
3.8
Ajaccio
3.8
Guingamp
3.8
Rodez
3.7
Concarneau
3.6
Nancy
3.6
Grenoble
3.6
Quevilly
3.5
Rouen
3.4
RED Star FC 93
3.3
Niort
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
30.2
Nancy
29.3
Valenciennes
29.2
Caen
28.0
Toulouse
27.8
Quevilly
27.5
Niort
27.5
Laval
27.5
Ajaccio
27.5
Bordeaux
27.3
Bastia
27.3
Saint Etienne
27.2
Rouen
27.2
Montpellier
27.0
Amiens
27.0
Dijon
27.0
Monaco
27.0
Orleans
26.9
Concarneau
26.9
Annecy
26.9
Guingamp
26.8
Strasbourg
26.2
Estac Troyes
26.1
Rennes
26.0
Lens
26.0
Sochaux
26.0
PAU
25.9
Dunkerque
25.5
Stade Brestois 29
25.5
Paris FC
25.3
Lille
25.0
Metz
24.9
Lorient
24.8
Clermont Foot
24.6
Marseille
24.5
Rodez
23.9
Grenoble
23.9
Le Havre
23.9
Martigues
23.8
Angers
23.8
Reims
23.7
Nantes
23.6
RED Star FC 93
23.5
Nice
23.1
Lyon
23.1
Auxerre
22.9
Paris Saint Germain
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.9%
Under 9.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stade Brestois 29 or Draw✓ Hit
77.1%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Stade Brestois 29 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 or Nantes✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Stade Brestois 29 + Nantes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Nantes✗ Miss
50.7%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Draw + Nantes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.1%
Under
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.4%
Under
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.8%
Under
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
Under
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stade Brestois 29, so a minus line means Stade Brestois 29 give that many goals of a start and Nantes receive them. At -1, Stade Brestois 29 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stade Brestois 29 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nantes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.54
0.46
0.53
0.82
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
0.81
0.50
0.50
0.38
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stade Brestois 29
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
0.60
0.40
1.20
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
1.08
0.00
0.60
1.43
1.43
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.47
0.90
0.30
1.14
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nantes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.46
1.38
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.57
0.40
1.20
0.67
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Stade Brestois 29) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stade Brestois 29 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stade Brestois 29
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Justin Bourgault33%
Ludovic Ajorque29%
Abdallah Sima23%
Romain Del Castillo18%
Mahdi Camara13%
Pierre Lees Melou11%
Ibrahim Salah10%
Mathias Pereira Lage10%
Romain Faivre10%
Kenny Lala8%
Kamory Doumbia7%
Brendan Chardonnet5%
Mama Baldé5%
Julien Le Cardinal5%
Hugo Magnetti4%
Jonas Martin4%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye4%
Edimilson Fernandes3%
Jordan Amavi0%
Massadio Haïdara0%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Marco Bizot0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julien Le Cardinal33%
Justin Bourgault33%
Pierre Lees Melou29%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye23%
Brendan Chardonnet21%
Ludovic Ajorque19%
Jordan Amavi17%
Kenny Lala15%
Mahdi Camara15%
Hugo Magnetti13%
Massadio Haïdara13%
Mama Baldé13%
Soumaila Coulibaly12%
Mathias Pereira Lage12%
Luc Zogbé12%
Abdallah Sima10%
Marco Bizot10%
Jonas Martin9%
Romain Faivre6%
Ibrahim Salah5%
Edimilson Fernandes3%
Romain Del Castillo3%
Kamory Doumbia2%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathias Pereira Lage17%
Romain Del Castillo15%
Mama Baldé10%
Romain Faivre10%
Ludovic Ajorque10%
Pierre Lees Melou7%
Mahdi Camara7%
Kenny Lala5%
Abdallah Sima5%
Ibrahim Salah5%
Julien Le Cardinal5%
Kamory Doumbia5%
Edimilson Fernandes3%
Brendan Chardonnet3%
Jordan Amavi0%
Massadio Haïdara0%
Hugo Magnetti0%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Jonas Martin0%
Marco Bizot0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Justin Bourgault0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ludovic Ajorque17%
Mama Baldé15%
Abdallah Sima13%
Mathias Pereira Lage12%
Mahdi Camara11%
Jordan Amavi8%
Pierre Lees Melou7%
Romain Del Castillo6%
Kamory Doumbia2%
Massadio Haïdara0%
Brendan Chardonnet0%
Hugo Magnetti0%
Grégoire Coudert0%
Kenny Lala0%
Jonas Martin0%
Edimilson Fernandes0%
Marco Bizot0%
Romain Faivre0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Soumaila Coulibaly0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Justin Bourgault0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Luc Zogbé0%
Hamidou Makalou0%
Nantes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matthis Abline28%
Moses Simon24%
Mostafa Mohamed19%
Francis Coquelin17%
Bahereba Guirassy14%
Douglas Augusto13%
Meschack Elia12%
Saïdou Sow11%
Louis Leroux11%
Tino Kadewere8%
Johann Lepenant6%
Nathan Zeze5%
Sorba Thomas4%
Nicolas Cozza3%
Kelvin Amian3%
Anthony Lopes0%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Jean-Charles Castelletto0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Jean-Kevin Duverne0%
Nicolas Pallois0%
Marcus Coco0%
Florent Mollet0%
Ignatius Ganago0%
Alban Lafont0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Dehmaine Assoumani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolas Pallois33%
Nathan Zeze32%
Douglas Augusto27%
Jean-Kevin Duverne20%
Pedro Chirivella19%
Francis Coquelin17%
Jean-Charles Castelletto16%
Kelvin Amian16%
Marcus Coco14%
Anthony Lopes11%
Sorba Thomas11%
Florent Mollet11%
Saïdou Sow11%
Nicolas Cozza10%
Johann Lepenant10%
Mostafa Mohamed9%
Tino Kadewere8%
Ignatius Ganago8%
Alban Lafont8%
Matthis Abline8%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin7%
Moses Simon6%
Louis Leroux6%
Meschack Elia0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Dehmaine Assoumani0%
Bahereba Guirassy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Moses Simon30%
Francis Coquelin17%
Nicolas Pallois11%
Douglas Augusto10%
Pedro Chirivella9%
Tino Kadewere8%
Sorba Thomas7%
Matthis Abline6%
Louis Leroux6%
Marcus Coco5%
Johann Lepenant3%
Kelvin Amian3%
Anthony Lopes0%
Mostafa Mohamed0%
Meschack Elia0%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Jean-Charles Castelletto0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Jean-Kevin Duverne0%
Nicolas Cozza0%
Florent Mollet0%
Ignatius Ganago0%
Alban Lafont0%
Saïdou Sow0%
Nathan Zeze0%
Dehmaine Assoumani0%
Bahereba Guirassy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matthis Abline22%
Mostafa Mohamed12%
Tino Kadewere8%
Douglas Augusto7%
Moses Simon6%
Jean-Charles Castelletto3%
Anthony Lopes0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Meschack Elia0%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Sorba Thomas0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Jean-Kevin Duverne0%
Nicolas Pallois0%
Marcus Coco0%
Nicolas Cozza0%
Florent Mollet0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ignatius Ganago0%
Alban Lafont0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Saïdou Sow0%
Nathan Zeze0%
Dehmaine Assoumani0%
Louis Leroux0%
Bahereba Guirassy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ET (23)
€36m
MON (24)
€29m
LM (26)
€24m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Stade Brestois 29's squad is €18m less valuable than Nantes's (€64m vs €82m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
LM (6)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
VAL (8)
€1m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Stade Brestois 29's attack is €6m less valuable than Nantes's (€25m vs €31m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
LM (8)
€5m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Stade Brestois 29's midfield is €3m more valuable than Nantes's (€20m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
CON (6)
€1m
Stade Brestois 29's defence is €15m less valuable than Nantes's (€19m vs €34m).
France: Ligue 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Marseille
Monaco
Nice
Lille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lens
Toulouse
Auxerre
Rennes
Angers
Reims
Le Havre
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
Metz