Standard Liege vs Antwerp Result & Analysis

The contest between Standard Liege and Antwerp is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the margins are razor thin. The probabilities show a 37% chance of a Standard win, 28% for a draw and 36% for an Antwerp victory, making the home side the slight favourite. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, with the most probable total being two goals, a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability. Standard, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Antwerp, away against the same tier, averages 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 78.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 85.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 74.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.7% and Under 11.5 corners at 71.9%. The model’s selections reflect a high likelihood of a competitive, moderately high-scoring affair.

The upset came early, as Standard Liege’s 2-game winning streak was halted by a 5-goal thrashing from Antwerp. The pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 37% chance, proved wrong, and the model’s call was incorrect. The final score of 2-5 confirmed the away triumph. The model’s other selections fared well: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 85.9%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 78.7%, Over 1.5 goals hit at 78.1%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 71.9%, and Over 21.5 fouls hit at 74.2%. Only Under 5.5 cards missed, coming in at 75.7%. The match delivered more goals than the expected 2.8, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 proving a poor fit.