The contest between Standard Liège and Antwerp is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 35% and 36% respectively, while a draw is 28%. The average goal tally is 2.7, and the most probable total is two goals, a 1-1 scoreline occurring with a 13.6% chance. Standard Liège, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 0.91 goals scored and 1.55 conceded, whereas Antwerp, on the road, nets 1.43 and concedes only 0.71. Recent form shows Standard on a two-game winning streak after a 2-1 win over OH Leuven, while Antwerp has just recovered from a 1-4 loss to St. Truiden. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (98.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%) and Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Standard Liege win
35.1%
Avg Implied 43.2% · @ 2.15
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.24
Betano
2.18
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Draw
28.4%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.38
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.57
10Bet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.53
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.45
Antwerp win
36.5%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.16
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.35
Pinnacle
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Dafabet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Standard Liege
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.20
0.93
1.29
1.81
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.83
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.27
0.91
1.55
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
-
-
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Antwerp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antwerp
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.47
1.19
1.88
1.29
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.18
1.76
1.00
2.50
1.43
0.71
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.83
1.17
1.17
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.0%
@ 1.24+0.5%
Under 1.5
24.0%
@ 3.82-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Under
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.91
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.2%
@ 1.81-2.2%
Under 2.5
49.8%
@ 1.99+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Unibet
1.82
SBO
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
SBO
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.2%
@ 3.00-3.0%
Under 3.5
71.8%
@ 1.36+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
Betano
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
55.7%
@ 1.63-1.2%
No
44.3%
@ 2.15+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
No
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.02+6.2%
1-2
8.3%@ 9.96+3.9%
2-1
8.2%@ 7.89+2.6%
0-0
8.1%@ 10.71+4.0%
0-1
8.1%@ 9.71+3.5%
1-0
7.9%@ 7.75+2.2%
0-2
6.3%@ 15.38+3.4%
2-0
6.0%@ 10.21+1.7%
Standard Liege goals ↓
Antwerp goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
8.1%
6.3%
2.8%
1.0%
1
7.9%
14%
8.3%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.0%
8.2%
5.5%
2.5%
0.8%
3
2.7%
3.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Standard Liege goals (down), columns = Antwerp goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Standard Liege is 0.23 points better than Antwerp in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Standard Liege is 0.03 goals better than Antwerp in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Standard Liege is 0.05 goals better than Antwerp in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Standard Liege is 5.0 percentage points worse than Antwerp in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Standard Liege
For 3.7 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Antwerp
For 6.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 8.8 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Standard Liege
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.2
10.1
4.0
4.8
3.3
22.1
23.1
21.1
vs Stronger (10)
11.2
10.6
11.8
5.0
6.4
3.6
21.6
23.8
19.4
vs Similar (35)
10.0
10.4
9.7
4.0
4.5
3.4
22.1
23.1
21.2
vs Weaker (5)
8.0
7.5
9.0
2.4
3.5
1.7
23.3
21.0
28.0
% over line
46%
42%
50%
62%
75%
50%
52%
62%
42%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
38%
25%
50%
48%
38%
58%
This opponent (Antwerp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antwerp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.2
9.5
3.8
4.0
3.7
24.3
24.5
24.1
vs Stronger (4)
9.2
6.5
12.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
24.0
22.5
25.5
vs Similar (28)
9.0
9.2
8.8
3.4
3.2
3.5
23.9
23.4
24.5
vs Weaker (18)
9.8
9.8
9.8
4.6
4.9
4.1
25.0
26.9
23.1
% over line
47%
42%
52%
52%
61%
41%
76%
79%
71%
% under line
53%
58%
48%
48%
39%
59%
24%
21%
29%
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.2
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
24.9
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.5
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Gent
21.2
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.6%
@ 1.82+5.9%
Under 9.5
43.4%
@ 1.88-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Under
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
57.7%
Under 21.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Standard Liege or Draw
61.1%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.33
Edge
-9.3%
35%
28%
36%
covers Standard Liege + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Standard Liege or Antwerp
66.8%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
-6.4%
35%
28%
36%
covers Standard Liege + Antwerp
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Draw or Antwerp
72.1%
Avg Implied 56.4% · @ 1.66
Edge
+15.7%
35%
28%
36%
covers Draw + Antwerp
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.69
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5
Over
59.3%
@ 1.20-18.1%
Under
40.7%
@ 4.10+18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.23
Marathonbet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Standard Liege over/under 1.5
Over
22.7%
@ 2.04-23.0%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.72+23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Under
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Standard Liege over/under 2.5
Over
6.3%
@ 4.31-15.3%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.18+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Standard Liege over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
@ 9.92-8.1%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.04+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
Antwerp over/under 0.5
Over
67.0%
@ 1.32-3.1%
Under
33.0%
@ 3.12+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.18
BetVictor
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Antwerp over/under 1.5
Over
30.5%
@ 2.63-4.9%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.44+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Antwerp over/under 2.5
Over
10.2%
@ 6.22-4.8%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.09+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Antwerp over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
@ 14.88-3.8%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Standard Liege, so a minus line means Standard Liege give that many goals of a start and Antwerp receive them. At -1, Standard Liege must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Standard Liege win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Standard Liege)
Standard Liege -2
2.6%
@ 9.02-7.4%
Draw -2
7.5%
@ 6.29-6.9%
Antwerp +2
89.9%
@ 1.19+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.60
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Standard Liege)
Standard Liege -1
10.1%
@ 4.02-12.2%
Draw -1
17.8%
@ 3.84-5.5%
Antwerp +1
72.1%
@ 1.65+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
Handicap +1 (Standard Liege)
Standard Liege +1
61.1%
@ 1.33-6.2%
Draw +1
22.3%
@ 4.72+3.3%
Antwerp -1
16.6%
@ 6.57+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Unibet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Handicap +2 (Standard Liege)
Standard Liege +2
83.4%
@ 1.08-1.0%
Draw +2
11.4%
@ 9.17+1.4%
Antwerp -2
5.2%
@ 16.33-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Away
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.36
0.50
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.50
0.27
0.64
0.91
0.36
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Antwerp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antwerp
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.38
0.88
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.71
0.30
1.00
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.58
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.6%
@ 1.34-3.0%
Under 0.5
33.4%
@ 3.06+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.0%
@ 2.60-7.7%
Under 1.5
72.0%
@ 1.44+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.45
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.4%
@ 6.33-5.3%
Under 2.5
90.6%
@ 1.09+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.35
Betano
6.20
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.3%
@ 1.86-4.7%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.85+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Unibet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.4%
@ 5.56-6.3%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.11+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.70
Unibet
5.40
Betano
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 13.12-5.2%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Antwerp over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.7%
@ 2.19-4.7%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.61+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Antwerp over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.7%
@ 7.16-4.2%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Betano
6.80
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Antwerp over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 19.25-3.7%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.57
0.79
0.88
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.77
0.64
0.91
1.09
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Antwerp) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antwerp
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.81
1.00
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
1.06
0.70
1.50
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (12)
0.75
0.42
1.00
0.17
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.20-1.4%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 4.15+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Betano
4.15
Unibet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.2%
@ 1.98-5.9%
Under 1.5
58.8%
@ 1.76+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.97
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Unibet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 4.12-7.7%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.20+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
William Hil
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.3%
@ 1.61-1.3%
Under
43.7%
@ 2.19+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.3%
@ 3.95-5.2%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.21+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.5%
@ 9.25-6.6%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Antwerp over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.0%
@ 1.84-5.4%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.86+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Antwerp over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.0%
@ 5.24-4.7%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.12+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Antwerp over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 13.88-4.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
-
+8.1%
Under 5.5
98.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+6.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.6%
Under 4.5
94.6%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Unibet
1.12
+10.9%
Home under 2.5 goals
93.7%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+15.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.08
+5.3%
Away +2 handicap
89.9%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+14.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.09
+4.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+6.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.12
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+4.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
+7.7%
Home +2 handicap
83.4%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-1.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.21
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+5.2%
Under 5.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.20
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-1.4%
Over 1.5
76.0%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+0.5%
Under 25.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
72.1%
1.66
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.69
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
+15.7%
Away +1 handicap
72.1%
1.65
Marathonbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
+17.7%
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.44
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.45
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+7.7%
Under 3.5
71.8%
1.36
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+3.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Standard Liege
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Eckert Ayensa50%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matthieu Epolo50%
Ryan Fosso33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Alexis Trouillet25%
Gustav Mortensen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Bernard Nguene0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Casper Nielsen50%
Adnane Abid50%
Marlon Fossey25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bernard Nguene75%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa25%
Adnane Abid25%
Casper Nielsen0%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
Antwerp
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Frey33%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Thibo Somers0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Luca Schelfhout0%
Modibo Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Schelfhout67%
Michael Frey0%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Thibo Somers0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Modibo Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibo Somers33%
Michael Frey0%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Luca Schelfhout0%
Modibo Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Frey33%
Taishi Brandon Nozawa0%
Thibo Somers0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Ibrahim Salah0%
Yuto Tsunashima0%
Eran Tuypens0%
Xander Dierckx0%
Luca Schelfhout0%
Modibo Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Standard Liege's squad is €21m more valuable than Antwerp's (€54m vs €33m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Standard Liege's attack is €6m more valuable than Antwerp's (€14m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Standard Liege's midfield is €1m less valuable than Antwerp's (€8m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Standard Liege's defence is €17m more valuable than Antwerp's (€31m vs €14m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Genk
Lommel United
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk