This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
2.10
1.07
1.73
1.13
2.47
vs Stronger (26)
1.19
2.19
1.15
1.62
1.23
2.77
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.83+7.0%
Under 2.5
41.2%
@ 1.97-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1 ✓
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
Standard Liege goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.8%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
1
7.6%
12%
6.5%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.8%
5.9%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.2%
2.7%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Standard Liege goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Standard Liege is 0.53 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 0.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Standard Liege is 0.24 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Standard Liege is 0.69 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.51 vs 2.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Standard Liege
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 5.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Standard Liege
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
8.9
3.2
3.2
3.2
27.0
26.8
27.1
vs Stronger (9)
8.0
11.5
5.7
2.8
2.0
3.8
30.4
26.0
33.3
vs Similar (30)
9.1
8.2
9.9
3.4
3.9
2.9
27.6
28.6
26.6
vs Weaker (11)
10.3
11.3
9.5
2.9
2.4
3.3
23.0
22.7
23.2
% over line
46%
54%
40%
46%
46%
46%
89%
92%
87%
% under line
54%
46%
60%
54%
54%
54%
11%
8%
13%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.7
10.2
4.3
4.5
4.1
22.2
21.8
22.7
vs Stronger (43)
10.6
10.9
10.2
4.0
4.2
3.8
22.0
21.9
22.2
vs Similar (7)
9.9
9.7
10.0
6.0
6.7
5.5
23.4
21.0
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
64%
60%
66%
72%
60%
52%
52%
52%
% under line
38%
36%
40%
34%
28%
40%
48%
48%
48%
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.7
Antwerp
11.0
KVC Westerlo
11.0
Gent
10.8
OH Leuven
10.7
Club Brugge KV
10.6
Eupen
10.5
Kortrijk
10.4
Oostende
10.3
Charleroi
10.1
Genk
10.0
Zulte Waregem
10.0
Union St. Gilloise
9.9
Seraing
9.9
St. Truiden
9.3
Cercle Brugge
9.3
Standard Liege
9.3
Anderlecht
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.4
OH Leuven
5.0
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Club Brugge KV
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Seraing
4.5
Gent
4.4
Oostende
4.3
Eupen
4.3
St. Truiden
4.1
Anderlecht
4.0
KV Mechelen
4.0
Genk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.4
Cercle Brugge
26.8
Union St. Gilloise
25.4
Kortrijk
25.2
St. Truiden
24.0
Seraing
23.3
KV Mechelen
23.1
Gent
23.1
Oostende
22.9
Genk
22.8
KVC Westerlo
22.5
OH Leuven
22.4
Club Brugge KV
22.4
Eupen
22.2
Zulte Waregem
21.8
Anderlecht
21.7
Charleroi
21.3
Antwerp
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.5%
Under 3.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.4%
Under 21.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.67
0.67
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.44
1.14
0.29
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (8)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.00
0.53
1.27
vs Stronger (26)
0.62
1.15
0.62
0.85
0.62
1.46
vs Similar (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Standard Liege
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.64
0.79
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.33
1.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
0.12
0.88
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.53
0.73
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (26)
0.58
1.04
0.54
0.77
0.62
1.31
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Standard Liege
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Selim Amallah33%
Abdoul Tapsoba33%
Philip Zinckernagel27%
Denis Drăguş22%
Renaud Emond19%
William Balikwisha17%
Noë Dussenne15%
Noah Ohio15%
Marlon Fossey12%
Steven Alzate11%
Stipe Perica11%
Aron Dønnum8%
Filippo Melegoni4%
Konstantinos Laifis3%
Cihan Canak3%
Merveille Bokadi3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Gojko Cimirot0%
Nicolas Raskin0%
Aleksandar Boljević0%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Jacob Laursen0%
Eden Shamir0%
Osher Davida0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Nathan Ngoy0%
Lucas Noubi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gilles Dewaele36%
Selim Amallah33%
Nathan Ngoy29%
Konstantinos Laifis23%
Steven Alzate22%
Denis Drăguş22%
Nicolas Raskin19%
Filippo Melegoni19%
Noah Ohio19%
Noë Dussenne18%
Philip Zinckernagel15%
Aleksandar Boljević14%
Ibe Hautekiet14%
Gojko Cimirot14%
Aron Dønnum13%
Renaud Emond12%
Marlon Fossey12%
Cihan Canak12%
Merveille Bokadi11%
Stipe Perica11%
Jacob Laursen9%
Osher Davida9%
Lucas Noubi6%
William Balikwisha6%
Arnaud Bodart3%
Eden Shamir0%
Abdoul Tapsoba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Raskin25%
Steven Alzate19%
Aron Dønnum18%
Selim Amallah11%
Noah Ohio11%
Cihan Canak9%
William Balikwisha9%
Philip Zinckernagel8%
Stipe Perica7%
Marlon Fossey4%
Noë Dussenne3%
Merveille Bokadi3%
Gojko Cimirot3%
Arnaud Bodart3%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Renaud Emond0%
Aleksandar Boljević0%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Jacob Laursen0%
Filippo Melegoni0%
Denis Drăguş0%
Eden Shamir0%
Osher Davida0%
Abdoul Tapsoba0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Nathan Ngoy0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Philip Zinckernagel35%
Selim Amallah33%
Noah Ohio22%
Denis Drăguş17%
Stipe Perica15%
Renaud Emond12%
Marlon Fossey4%
William Balikwisha3%
Arnaud Bodart0%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Gojko Cimirot0%
Nicolas Raskin0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Aleksandar Boljević0%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Jacob Laursen0%
Steven Alzate0%
Filippo Melegoni0%
Aron Dønnum0%
Eden Shamir0%
Osher Davida0%
Abdoul Tapsoba0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Nathan Ngoy0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Cihan Canak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Standard Liege
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United