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Stenhousemuir vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 03/08/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 2-3
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Vs
46%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stenhousemuir win✗ Miss
46.4%
Avg Implied 54.7% · @ 1.68
Edge
-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.74
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.42
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D01L02L21W11D10W03L11D11DA·ARB09/03A·EAS12/03H·STR16/03A·MON23/03A·DUM30/03H·RAI06/04A·AIR13/04H·FOR20/04H·EAS27/04A·BRE04/05← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.730.931.731.131.73
vs Stronger (21)1.101.711.101.601.091.82
vs Similar (6)1.172.001.002.331.331.67
vs Weaker (3)0.331.330.001.501.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W20W10W01L04L11D32W30W02LH·BER02/03A·STI09/03A·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.830.732.001.001.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.941.690.432.001.331.44
vs Weaker (14)0.792.001.002.000.502.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.68-3.7%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 2.10+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
Stenhousemuir goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
07.6%6.2%4.3%1.6%0.5%
19.0%13%6.8%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.4%5.4%2.1%0.6%
34.3%5.0%2.9%1.1%0.3%
41.7%2.0%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stenhousemuir goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Stenhousemuir is 0.11 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 0.92).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Stenhousemuir is 0.28 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Stenhousemuir is 0.25 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 5.1 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

170372106114674586585842810121710111311131210A·BREH·EASH·FORA·AIRH·RAIA·DUMA·MONH·STRA·EASA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7052424212221331217663203343A·BREH·EASH·FORA·AIRH·RAIA·DUMA·MONH·STRA·EASA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3208111251091291010810171565998819171921201832111816A·BREH·EASH·FORA·AIRH·RAIA·DUMA·MONH·STRA·EASA·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1707355241635267548496111010678812121317H·ANNA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELGA·STIH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

601234112123311111311553362214H·ANNA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELGA·STIH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901311813148711812181171176188161024212218202918132626H·ANNA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELGA·STIH·BER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.011.410.63.53.83.220.319.720.8
vs Stronger (32)11.011.110.93.63.53.621.320.921.7
vs Similar (13)10.912.59.62.73.52.018.218.218.3
vs Weaker (5)11.210.712.04.65.33.518.817.021.5
% over line70%75%65%42%46%38%32%29%35%
% under line30%25%35%58%54%62%68%71%65%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.410.22.82.92.721.021.220.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)10.710.810.62.82.72.920.120.519.6
vs Weaker (18)9.69.89.42.83.22.422.722.323.1
% over line60%58%62%32%38%25%48%46%50%
% under line40%42%38%68%62%75%52%54%50%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
11.0
Stirling
10.4
Albion Rvs
10.3
Elgin
10.2
Brechin
10.1
Queens Park
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.2
Cowdenbeath
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.6
Queens Park
3.5
Stenhousemuir
3.5
Stirling
3.4
Elgin
2.9
Albion Rvs
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Edinburgh City
24.2
Annan Athletic
23.3
Cowdenbeath
22.8
Stirling
22.3
Brechin
22.2
Elgin
21.3
Albion Rvs
21.0
Stenhousemuir
20.3
Queens Park
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.8%
Under 9.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.8%
Under 3.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
42.8%
Under 21.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L01L10W00D10W02L11D10WA·ARB09/03A·EAS12/03H·STR16/03A·MON23/03A·DUM30/03H·RAI06/04A·AIR13/04H·FOR20/04H·EAS27/04A·BRE04/05← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.330.870.600.87
vs Stronger (21)0.480.860.400.700.551.00
vs Similar (6)0.501.000.331.670.670.33
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W20W10W00D01L00D11D20W00DH·BER02/03A·STI09/03A·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.400.670.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.690.430.710.890.67
vs Weaker (14)0.360.860.380.620.331.17
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W11D00D01L11D11D00D01L00D01LA·ARB09/03A·EAS12/03H·STR16/03A·MON23/03A·DUM30/03H·RAI06/04A·AIR13/04H·FOR20/04H·EAS27/04A·BRE04/05← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.600.870.530.87
vs Stronger (21)0.620.860.700.900.550.82
vs Similar (6)0.671.000.670.670.671.33
vs Weaker (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D01L03L11D21W10W02LH·BER02/03A·STI09/03A·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.070.331.330.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.251.000.001.290.440.78
vs Weaker (14)0.431.140.621.380.170.83
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls84.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls72.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
STE wins
2
Draws
5
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stenhousemuir vs Albion Rvs · H/A from STE
DateH/AGameScore
25/03/17HSTE Vs Albion Rvs0-3
18/02/17AAlbion Rvs Vs STE1-1
17/12/16HSTE Vs Albion Rvs1-0
10/09/16AAlbion Rvs Vs STE4-0
30/04/16HSTE Vs Albion Rvs1-3
01/03/16AAlbion Rvs Vs STE1-1
12/12/15HSTE Vs Albion Rvs0-1
26/09/15AAlbion Rvs Vs STE2-0

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/19ABrechin Vs STE1-1
27/04/19HSTE Vs East Fife1-1
20/04/19HSTE Vs Forfar0-3
13/04/19AAirdrie United Vs STE0-1
06/04/19HSTE Vs Raith Rvs1-1
30/03/19ADumbarton Vs STE1-2
23/03/19AMontrose Vs STE2-0
16/03/19HSTE Vs Stranraer0-1
12/03/19AEast Fife Vs STE1-1
09/03/19AArbroath Vs STE0-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
27/04/19ABerwick Vs AR0-3
20/04/19HAR Vs Edinburgh City3-2
13/04/19APeterhead Vs AR1-1
06/04/19HAR Vs Queens Park0-4
30/03/19HAR Vs Clyde0-1
26/03/19HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
23/03/19AElgin Vs AR0-2
09/03/19AStirling Vs AR0-1
02/03/19HAR Vs Berwick1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDD1.06
HomeDLDLD1.04
AwayDLWWD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.662.712.62
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.621.671.58
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners11.0011.4210.62
Cards3.463.753.19
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL0.64
HomeWLLWL0.65
AwayLWWDW0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%15%17%
AVG goals2.822.962.67
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored0.840.880.79
Conceded1.982.081.88
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.3010.4210.17
Cards2.802.882.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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