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Stenhousemuir vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 20/03/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Vs
52%
24%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stenhousemuir win✓ Hit
51.7%
Avg Implied 65.8% · @ 1.40
Edge
-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.62
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 14.3% · @ 6.44
Edge
+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W22D11D20W12L13L21W22D02LH·QUE07/03A·ALB17/10H·STI24/10A·COW31/10H·EDI07/11H·ANN21/11A·QUE28/11H·BRE05/12H·STR12/12A·ELG19/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.701.311.691.291.71
vs Stronger (19)1.371.791.331.671.401.90
vs Similar (10)1.101.501.171.671.001.25
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L03L13L02L02L32W01L25L31W04LA·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.031.641.790.882.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.271.601.861.570.751.62
vs Weaker (15)1.202.471.432.001.002.88
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.8%
@ 1.54+3.5%
Under 2.5
36.2%
@ 2.34-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0 ✓
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
4.8%
Stenhousemuir goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
04.7%3.9%3.2%1.4%0.5%
16.4%11%6.4%2.8%0.9%
27.3%9.6%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.8%6.3%4.1%1.8%0.6%
42.4%3.1%2.0%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stenhousemuir goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Stenhousemuir is 0.05 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Stenhousemuir and Albion Rvs are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Stenhousemuir is 0.14 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.73).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 3.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

16025166286344725112546778898916710A·ELGH·STRH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·EDIA·COWH·STIA·ALBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70423113121341213431226443453744A·ELGH·STRH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·EDIA·COWH·STIA·ALBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3209713161313912111217151213101513810916292621233225252119A·ELGH·STRH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·EDIA·COWH·STIA·ALBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1301685584874243652958713131211697913A·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80162122212113132131834314424A·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.1 · Total 25.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

370159191514141314201714104681399151424342827372410211829A·STRH·ELGA·EDIH·STIA·ANNH·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.410.24.14.33.921.422.420.4
vs Stronger (32)9.89.99.64.44.34.521.322.220.5
vs Similar (15)11.511.511.63.44.52.122.023.220.6
vs Weaker (3)10.010.010.04.33.56.019.020.017.0
% over line56%52%60%62%68%56%38%52%24%
% under line44%48%40%38%32%44%62%48%76%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.710.53.23.63.022.922.723.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)11.411.411.43.43.43.421.522.020.9
vs Weaker (25)9.89.89.73.13.82.624.223.724.6
% over line58%52%63%40%48%33%58%61%56%
% under line42%48%37%60%52%67%42%39%44%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Brechin
10.7
Albion Rvs
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Elgin
10.1
Queens Park
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
Cowdenbeath
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.8
Edinburgh City
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Elgin
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Queens Park
3.8
Stirling
3.7
Brechin
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.2
Stranraer
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.8
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Edinburgh City
23.1
Albion Rvs
22.9
Queens Park
22.7
Stirling
22.2
Elgin
21.7
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Stranraer
21.3
Brechin
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.2%
Under 3.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
69.2%
Under 21.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D00D01L11D20W02L02LH·QUE07/03A·ALB17/10H·STI24/10A·COW31/10H·EDI07/11H·ANN21/11A·QUE28/11H·BRE05/12H·STR12/12A·ELG19/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.620.940.790.79
vs Stronger (19)0.790.950.891.000.700.90
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.330.671.000.50
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L01L02L01L00D01L14L01L00DA·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.641.210.440.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.870.711.140.620.62
vs Weaker (15)0.401.130.571.290.251.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W21W11D20W11D02L01L20W00DH·QUE07/03A·ALB17/10H·STI24/10A·COW31/10H·EDI07/11H·ANN21/11A·QUE28/11H·BRE05/12H·STR12/12A·ELG19/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.690.750.500.93
vs Stronger (19)0.580.840.440.670.701.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.900.831.000.000.75
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L12L00D01L32W00D11D30W04LA·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10A·ANN07/11H·STI28/11A·EDI05/12H·ELG12/12A·STR19/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.031.000.570.441.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.600.731.140.430.121.00
vs Weaker (15)0.801.330.860.710.751.88
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls82.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards81.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
STE wins
1
Draws
4
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stenhousemuir vs Albion Rvs · H/A from STE
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/20AAlbion Rvs Vs STE1-3
15/02/20HSTE Vs Albion Rvs1-0
09/11/19AAlbion Rvs Vs STE2-1
03/08/19HSTE Vs Albion Rvs2-3
25/03/17HSTE Vs Albion Rvs0-3
18/02/17AAlbion Rvs Vs STE1-1
17/12/16HSTE Vs Albion Rvs1-0
10/09/16AAlbion Rvs Vs STE4-0

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/20AElgin Vs STE2-0
12/12/20HSTE Vs Stranraer2-2
05/12/20HSTE Vs Brechin2-1
28/11/20AQueens Park Vs STE3-1
21/11/20HSTE Vs Annan Athletic1-2
07/11/20HSTE Vs Edinburgh City2-0
31/10/20ACowdenbeath Vs STE1-1
24/10/20HSTE Vs Stirling2-2
17/10/20AAlbion Rvs Vs STE1-3
07/03/20HSTE Vs Queens Park0-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/20AStranraer Vs AR4-0
12/12/20HAR Vs Elgin3-1
05/12/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR5-2
28/11/20HAR Vs Stirling0-1
07/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-3
31/10/20HAR Vs Brechin0-2
24/10/20AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
17/10/20HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
07/03/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-0
03/03/20ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.12
HomeDWLWD0.96
AwayDWDLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%20%32%
AVG goals2.702.842.56
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.161.121.20
Conceded1.541.721.36
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners10.3210.4410.20
Cards4.084.283.88
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL0.94
HomeLLLLW1.17
AwayLLWLL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%19%
AVG goals3.083.262.93
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %62%65%59%
Over 3.5 %40%43%37%
Scored1.181.391.00
Conceded1.901.871.93
BTTS50%57%44%
Clean Sheet12%9%15%
Corners10.5810.7010.48
Cards3.243.572.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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