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Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell Result & Analysis

Date: 19/07/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Vs
22%
29%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Motherwell
Motherwell
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stenhousemuir win✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Motherwell win✓ Hit
49.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D23L14L04L11D02L21W13L12L03LA·COV22/03H·MON29/03H·ALL05/04A·ARB12/04H·INV19/04A·QUE26/04H·DUM03/05H·AIR06/05A·AIR10/05A·MOR15/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.431.311.461.351.41
vs Stronger (24)1.121.621.001.701.211.57
vs Similar (6)2.170.672.330.672.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L02L00D32W21W03L30W11D22D21WA·ABE29/03A·KIL05/04H·HEA12/04H·ST 26/04A·DUN03/05A·HEA10/05H·KIL14/05A·ROS18/05A·CLY12/07H·PET15/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.691.620.761.88
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.502.501.002.50
vs Similar (25)1.121.641.731.450.641.79
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1 ✓
12.9%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
Stenhousemuir goals ↓
Motherwell goals →
01234
011%13%10%4.9%1.8%
17.3%14%9.0%4.3%1.6%
23.8%5.4%3.9%1.9%0.7%
31.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stenhousemuir goals (down), columns = Motherwell goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Airdrie United
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Partick
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Stenhousemuir is 0.96 points worse than Motherwell in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Airdrie United
3.20
Queen's Park
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ayr Utd
2.25
Clyde
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Inverness CT
0.75
Morton
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Stenhousemuir is 0.18 goals worse than Motherwell in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Peterhead
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Stenhousemuir is 2.04 goals worse than Motherwell in terms of goals conceded per game (2.75 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 4.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

120555246262462136357521071086849127H·DUMA·QUEH·INVA·ARBH·ALLH·MONA·COVH·KELA·INVA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

8053211142132122311218324353523H·DUMA·QUEH·INVA·ARBH·ALLH·MONA·COVH·KELA·INVA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.2 · Total 20.4

⚠️ Fouls

25091114813101181081381310126510121320222319182123181525H·DUMA·QUEH·INVA·ARBH·ALLH·MONA·COVH·KELA·INVA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MotherwellMotherwell

For 3.3 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

15065541647593227497312119711145913715A·ROSH·KILA·HEAA·DUNH·ST H·HEAA·KILA·ABEH·ST A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

901222231413422136223244536394A·ROSH·KILA·HEAA·DUNH·ST H·HEAA·KILA·ABEH·ST A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

320108117101781315171218911514619131318182721323020192526A·ROSH·KILA·HEAA·DUNH·ST H·HEAA·KILA·ABEH·ST A·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.28.53.03.62.521.321.321.2
vs Stronger (40)9.710.78.52.83.12.421.421.621.1
vs Similar (8)8.18.08.24.45.83.021.220.022.5
vs Weaker (2)9.0-9.02.5-2.519.5-19.5
% over line39%43%35%36%42%31%46%38%55%
% under line61%57%65%64%58%69%54%62%45%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.210.212.03.42.93.922.923.122.8
vs Stronger (7)11.511.711.33.32.84.020.219.321.0
vs Similar (40)11.19.912.23.73.14.223.423.823.1
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line62%53%71%48%40%56%62%68%57%
% under line38%47%29%52%60%44%38%32%43%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Aberdeen
11.6
Ross County
11.5
Falkirk
11.4
Hibernian
11.3
Morton
11.2
Motherwell
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Kilmarnock
10.7
Dumbarton
10.7
ST Johnstone
10.7
Dunfermline
10.6
Rangers
10.6
Airdrie United
10.6
Dundee
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Stirling
10.4
Arbroath
10.3
Kelty Hearts
10.1
ST Mirren
10.1
Partick
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Montrose
9.4
Stranraer
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Livingston
9.0
Inverness CT
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
9.0
Peterhead
5.1
Morton
4.7
Aberdeen
4.6
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.5
Dundee Utd
4.4
Clyde
4.3
ST Mirren
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
Partick
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.9
Dundee
3.8
Livingston
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Montrose
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Inverness CT
3.4
Ross County
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.8
Peterhead
24.6
Elgin
23.8
Edinburgh City
23.8
Livingston
23.5
Aberdeen
23.3
East Fife
23.1
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.1
Motherwell
22.0
Spartans
22.0
Falkirk
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.7
ST Mirren
21.7
Stirling
21.5
Rangers
21.4
Heart Of Midlothian
21.4
Dundee Utd
21.0
Inverness CT
20.8
Ross County
20.7
Airdrie United
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Montrose
20.1
Partick
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Hibernian
19.9
Annan Athletic
19.8
Dundee
19.7
Arbroath
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.7
Stranraer
19.6
Dumbarton
18.9
Celtic
18.4
Cove Rangers
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
2.3%
Under 3.5
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.2%
Under 21.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stenhousemuir or Draw✗ Miss
50.8%
Avg Implied -
22%
29%
49%
covers Stenhousemuir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir or Motherwell✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied -
22%
29%
49%
covers Stenhousemuir + Motherwell
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Motherwell✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied -
22%
29%
49%
covers Draw + Motherwell
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.4%
Under
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
Under
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.5%
Under
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.4%
Under
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.8%
Under
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stenhousemuir, so a minus line means Stenhousemuir give that many goals of a start and Motherwell receive them. At -1, Stenhousemuir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stenhousemuir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Motherwell
Stenhousemuir -2
1.9%
Draw -2
5.6%
Motherwell +2
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Motherwell
Stenhousemuir -1
7.5%
Draw -1
14.1%
Motherwell +1
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Draw
Stenhousemuir +1
50.8%
Draw +1
24.0%
Motherwell -1
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Stenhousemuir)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir +2
74.8%
Draw +2
15.3%
Motherwell -2
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L01L01L00D00D10W02L01L03LA·COV22/03H·MON29/03H·ALL05/04A·ARB12/04H·INV19/04A·QUE26/04H·DUM03/05H·AIR06/05A·AIR10/05A·MOR15/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.380.690.650.71
vs Stronger (24)0.330.830.200.900.430.79
vs Similar (6)1.330.171.000.001.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D21W01L01L00D01L11D11DA·ABE29/03A·KIL05/04H·HEA12/04H·ST 26/04A·DUN03/05A·HEA10/05H·KIL14/05A·ROS18/05A·CLY12/07H·PET15/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.801.080.770.350.82
vs Stronger (4)1.250.751.501.001.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.560.801.000.730.210.86
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W13L03L11D02L11D11D11D00DA·COV22/03H·MON29/03H·ALL05/04A·ARB12/04H·INV19/04A·QUE26/04H·DUM03/05H·AIR06/05A·AIR10/05A·MOR15/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.920.770.710.71
vs Stronger (24)0.790.790.800.800.790.79
vs Similar (6)0.830.501.330.670.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MotherwellMotherwell

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D11D20W02L30W10W11D10WA·ABE29/03A·KIL05/04H·HEA12/04H·ST 26/04A·DUN03/05A·HEA10/05H·KIL14/05A·ROS18/05A·CLY12/07H·PET15/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.970.620.850.411.06
vs Stronger (4)0.001.750.001.500.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.840.730.730.430.93
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards99.9%--------
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards99.5%--------
Under 6.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards97.7%--------
Under 5.596.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals94.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap92.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.591.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 cards90.8%--------
Over 19.5 fouls85.3%--------
Away under 2.5 goals82.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.5%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away78.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap78.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals78.1%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals76.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls73.2%--------
Home or Away70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tawanda Maswanhise40%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos26%
Elijah Just20%
Emmanuel Longelo19%
Elliot Watt18%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Callum Slattery10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Ibrahim Said8%
Liam Gordon6%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Stephen Welsh4%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum Slattery26%
Elliot Watt21%
Callum Hendry19%
Liam Gordon18%
Emmanuel Longelo17%
Ibrahim Said16%
Paul McGinn12%
Elijah Just11%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Sam Nicholson10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Stephen Welsh7%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos5%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Oscar Priestman4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Tawanda Maswanhise3%
Calum Ward3%
Jordan McGhee0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eythor Bjørgolfsson22%
Callum Slattery19%
Elijah Just17%
Emmanuel Longelo11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos11%
Elliot Watt9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Lukas Fadinger6%
Stephen O'Donnell6%
Tawanda Maswanhise6%
Stephen Welsh4%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Liam Gordon0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elijah Just26%
Tawanda Maswanhise26%
Callum Slattery23%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos16%
Callum Hendry14%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Emmanuel Longelo6%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Elliot Watt0%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Gordon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's squad is €16m less valuable than Motherwell's (€0m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's attack is €9m less valuable than Motherwell's (€0m vs €10m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's midfield is €1m less valuable than Motherwell's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Stenhousemuir's defence is €5m less valuable than Motherwell's (€0m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
STE wins
0
Draws
0
MOT wins

Head-to-head

Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell · H/A from STE
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/07/25AMorton Vs STE3-0
10/05/25AAirdrie United Vs STE2-1
06/05/25HSTE Vs Airdrie United1-3
03/05/25HSTE Vs Dumbarton2-1
26/04/25AQueen of Sth Vs STE2-0
19/04/25HSTE Vs Inverness CT1-1
12/04/25AArbroath Vs STE4-0
05/04/25HSTE Vs Alloa1-4
29/03/25HSTE Vs Montrose2-3
22/03/25ACove Rangers Vs STE0-0

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/07/25HMOT Vs Peterhead2-1
12/07/25AClyde Vs MOT2-2
18/05/25ARoss County Vs MOT1-1
14/05/25HMOT Vs Kilmarnock3-0
10/05/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOT3-0
03/05/25ADundee Vs MOT1-2
26/04/25HMOT Vs ST Johnstone3-2
12/04/25HMOT Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
05/04/25AKilmarnock Vs MOT2-0
29/03/25AAberdeen Vs MOT4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.26
HomeLLDWL1.54
AwayDLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.742.792.69
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.281.501.08
Conceded1.461.291.62
BTTS44%58%31%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners9.3710.198.50
Cards3.664.103.20
Motherwell
Motherwell
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.30
HomeDDWWW1.60
AwayLWLDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.762.762.76
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %70%72%68%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.221.441.00
Conceded1.541.321.76
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet18%28%8%
Corners11.1510.1612.05
Cards4.364.064.62

🏆 17. League Table

Stenhousemuir plays in Scotland - League One
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inverness CTInverness CT3674
58%
2.1
6024+36
2.3
72%
39%
25%
9.1
39%
3.5
47%
22.2
53%
1
0001.70.7
-
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3667
50%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
64%
33%
22%
8.6
39%
5.2
81%
27.0
81%
0
0001.40.8
-
3
H
Hamilton		3655
44%
1.5
5442+12
2.7
75%
58%
33%
9.7
44%
3.2
42%
20.4
39%
0
0001.51.2
-
4
QO
Queen of Sth		3654
39%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
92%
53%
33%
8.9
33%
5.2
75%
24.3
67%
0
0001.61.3
-
5
A
Alloa		3653
42%
1.5
5038+12
2.4
67%
44%
22%
9.4
42%
4.5
61%
23.4
64%
0
0001.41.1
-
6PeterheadPeterhead3643
33%
1.2
4864-16
3.1
92%
67%
42%
9.5
44%
5.0
78%
27.9
86%
0
0001.31.8
-
7MontroseMontrose3642
31%
1.2
4867-19
3.2
89%
61%
39%
8.6
31%
3.7
61%
23.7
69%
0
0001.31.9
-
8Cove RangersCove Rangers3638
25%
1.1
4144-3
2.4
69%
39%
22%
9.4
44%
3.5
47%
22.3
53%
0
0001.11.2
-
9East FifeEast Fife3636
25%
1.0
3461-27
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.6
47%
3.4
50%
22.8
56%
0
0000.91.7
-
10Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3629
17%
0.8
3362-29
2.6
86%
50%
22%
9.4
42%
4.7
75%
23.8
61%
1
1000.91.7
-
11Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical410
75%
2.5
106+4
4.0
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.51.5
-
12ClydeClyde45
25%
1.2
76+1
3.2
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
13SpartansSpartans21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
14ForfarForfar20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
Scotland: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
Motherwell plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

← all matches