Stevenage vs Bradford Result & Analysis

The encounter between Steven C and Bradford C is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. The predicted probabilities are 38% for a Steven C victory, 30% for a draw and 32% for Bradford C. The expected goal total sits at 2.4, with the most likely single scoreline being 1-1 at a 14.4% chance. Steven C, playing at home against a side of similar strength, averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Bradford C on the road averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 95%, Under 4.5 cards at 87.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 84.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.8%, Under 3.5 at 78.7%, Under 3.5 cards at 73.2% and Over 21.5 fouls at 72.5%. Steven C have a 38% chance of winning, a 30% chance of a draw and Bradford C a 32% chance of victory.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, a home win with a 38% probability, failed to materialise, leaving Bradford to snatch a 0-1 victory. Stevenage, who had just drawn their last match, could not convert their home form into a win, while Bradford, after two straight defeats, found the back of the net to finish the game. The model’s call was wrong. Among the suggested selections, Under 5.5 cards hit, as did Under 4.5 cards, Under 3.5 and Under 3.5 cards, each with a high probability of 95%, 87.5%, 78.7% and 73.2% respectively. Over 19.5 fouls, Under 11.5 corners and Over 21.5 fouls all missed, with probabilities of 84.8%, 78.8% and 72.5%. The expected total of 2.4 goals, with a most likely score of 1-1 at 14.4%, was not reflected in the 0-1 result.