Stirling are favoured to win, with a 45% chance of triumph, 31% for a draw and 25% for Annan Athletic. The model expects a modest 2.3 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14.2%. Stirling, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 0.67 conceded, while Annan Athletic, away, average 1.0 scored and 2.33 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 87.3%, Under 3.5 goals at 80.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 74.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.6% and Under 25.5 fouls at 72.5%. Stirling’s recent form shows a 5-match record of LDLLW, coming off a 0-4 defeat to Elgin, while Annan Athletic’s last five are WLLWL, after a 2-0 win over Dumbarton.
Results analysis
Stirling’s win over Annan Athletic, 2-0, confirmed the model’s prediction that the home side would triumph, with a 45% chance of victory. The 2-0 result also matched the most likely scoreline, which the model had assigned a 28% probability. The model’s favourite was correct, and the final outcome was a home win. The suggested selections performed largely as expected: Under 5.5 cards hit at 87.3%, Under 3.5 hit at 80.8%, Over 8.5 corners missed at 75.5%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 74.8%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 74.6%, and Under 25.5 fouls hit at 72.5%. The match’s form narrative showed Stirling coming off a defeat, while Annan Athletic entered on a win, yet the home side maintained the advantage.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stirling win✓ Hit
44.6%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.18
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.18
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.13
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stirling
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.93
0.81
0.69
1.21
1.21
vs Stronger (22)
1.09
0.86
0.83
0.67
1.40
1.10
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.27
2.47
0.87
1.40
1.67
vs Stronger (21)
2.24
1.14
3.00
0.80
1.55
1.45
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.57
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.09-5.5%
Under 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.69+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.8%
2-0 ✓
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
Stirling goals ↓
Annan Athletic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.4%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.2%
8.6%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.1%
3.8%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Annan Athletic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Stirling is 0.14 points better than Annan Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Stirling is 0.01 goals worse than Annan Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.22).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Stirling is 0.75 goals better than Annan Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stirling
For 5.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Annan Athletic
For 5.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stirling
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.0
10.4
3.3
3.0
3.5
22.1
21.4
22.7
vs Stronger (33)
11.4
11.9
10.9
3.0
3.0
2.9
21.5
21.2
21.8
vs Similar (13)
9.6
10.2
9.1
3.8
2.5
4.9
24.9
23.3
26.3
vs Weaker (4)
8.8
6.5
11.0
4.2
5.0
3.5
17.2
17.5
17.0
% over line
60%
64%
56%
46%
48%
44%
54%
44%
64%
% under line
40%
36%
44%
54%
52%
56%
46%
56%
36%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.3
10.4
3.7
4.1
3.3
23.8
25.2
22.4
vs Stronger (34)
10.1
9.6
10.6
3.7
3.9
3.5
23.9
25.5
22.5
vs Similar (12)
10.2
9.9
10.8
3.8
4.7
2.6
23.7
24.3
22.8
vs Weaker (4)
7.0
5.5
8.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
23.2
25.5
21.0
% over line
54%
44%
64%
50%
60%
40%
74%
84%
64%
% under line
46%
56%
36%
50%
40%
60%
26%
16%
36%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.8
Stirling
10.7
Albion Rvs
10.6
Cove Rangers
10.2
Elgin
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Brechin
9.9
Queens Park
9.7
Cowdenbeath
9.5
Edinburgh City
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.6
Queens Park
3.6
Elgin
3.3
Stirling
3.3
Albion Rvs
2.9
Cove Rangers
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Edinburgh City
24.4
Annan Athletic
23.8
Cowdenbeath
23.2
Cove Rangers
22.9
Brechin
22.6
Elgin
22.3
Stirling
22.1
Albion Rvs
21.5
Queens Park
20.9
Stenhousemuir
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.4%
Under 9.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stirling
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.37
0.25
0.50
0.43
0.21
vs Stronger (22)
0.36
0.32
0.25
0.42
0.50
0.20
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
1.00
0.40
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (21)
0.90
0.52
1.30
0.30
0.55
0.73
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stirling
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.56
0.19
0.79
1.00
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
0.55
0.58
0.25
0.90
0.90
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Annan Athletic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.70
1.47
0.47
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (21)
1.33
0.62
1.70
0.50
1.00
0.73
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.86
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stirling and Annan Athletic have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Annan Athletic have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
Stirling and Annan Athletic have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Annan Athletic have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Cove Rangers
Edinburgh City
Elgin
Cowdenbeath
Queens Park
Stenhousemuir
Brechin