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Stirling vs Cowdenbeath Result & Analysis

Date: 12/12/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
39%
30%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied 54.1% · @ 1.70
Edge
-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.83
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.20
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D13L17L00D22D10W50W12L10W22DH·STE03/03A·ELG07/03H·COV10/03H·QUE17/10A·STE24/10H·ANN31/10A·BRE07/11H·ELG21/11A·ALB28/11A·STR05/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.001.431.880.88
vs Stronger (19)1.581.371.112.002.000.80
vs Similar (11)1.270.730.800.401.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D21W00D23L03L10W11D02L25L03LH·EDI29/02H·ALB03/03A·ANN07/03A·ELG10/03H·ANN17/10A·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.431.441.381.071.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.361.711.251.251.502.33
vs Weaker (16)1.191.191.621.500.750.88
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.8%
@ 1.81-7.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
@ 1.93+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0 ✓
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
Stirling goals ↓
Cowdenbeath goals →
01234
010%8.6%5.6%2.1%0.6%
110%14%7.3%2.7%0.8%
27.5%8.4%4.7%1.8%0.5%
33.3%3.7%2.1%0.8%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Cowdenbeath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Stirling is 0.68 points better than Cowdenbeath in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 0.95).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Stirling is 0.77 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 0.68).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Stirling is 0.45 goals better than Cowdenbeath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.45).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

For 6.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

160412849271121158454353716121171316129810A·STRA·ALBH·ELGA·BREH·ANNA·STEH·QUEH·COVA·ELGH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701222221312432214123444374152A·STRA·ALBH·ELGA·BREH·ANNA·STEH·QUEH·COVA·ELGH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

29010914138141287121510131415141415111019272220192527292921A·STRA·ALBH·ELGA·BREH·ANNA·STEH·QUEH·COVA·ELGH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 4.9 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

170568331274128929558547111149161711101311H·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDIH·ANNA·ELGA·ANNH·ALBH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90232631231512231415293406445H·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDIH·ANNA·ELGA·ANNH·ALBH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3301714591716131211101110971815141514831143325212116332922H·QUEA·ELGA·STRH·STEA·EDIH·ANNA·ELGA·ANNH·ALBH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.811.13.73.34.022.421.822.9
vs Stronger (34)10.710.910.53.53.43.622.522.522.5
vs Similar (14)11.811.312.14.13.04.923.120.225.4
vs Weaker (2)9.56.013.04.05.03.014.019.09.0
% over line64%67%62%56%50%62%60%50%69%
% under line36%33%38%44%50%38%40%50%31%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.69.84.44.14.823.924.523.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)9.08.89.24.74.45.024.226.522.1
vs Weaker (25)10.410.410.44.23.84.623.522.724.4
% over line52%48%56%64%60%68%64%76%52%
% under line48%52%44%36%40%32%36%24%48%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Brechin
10.8
Albion Rvs
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Stranraer
10.2
Queens Park
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Cowdenbeath
9.7
Edinburgh City
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Elgin
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.7
Stirling
3.7
Brechin
3.4
Stranraer
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.7
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Edinburgh City
23.0
Queens Park
22.5
Albion Rvs
22.4
Stirling
22.4
Elgin
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Stranraer
20.9
Brechin
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.1%
Under 9.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.6%
Under 21.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D13L05L00D10W10W20W01L10W21WH·STE03/03A·ELG07/03H·COV10/03H·QUE17/10A·STE24/10H·ANN31/10A·BRE07/11H·ELG21/11A·ALB28/11A·STR05/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.430.711.060.31
vs Stronger (19)0.840.680.441.001.200.40
vs Similar (11)0.640.180.400.200.830.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D10W02L00D00D01L02L01LH·EDI29/02H·ALB03/03A·ANN07/03A·ELG10/03H·ANN17/10A·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.671.060.690.290.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.861.000.620.171.17
vs Weaker (16)0.750.501.120.750.380.25
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D12L00D12L00D30W11D00D01LH·STE03/03A·ELG07/03H·COV10/03H·QUE17/10A·STE24/10H·ANN31/10A·BRE07/11H·ELG21/11A·ALB28/11A·STR05/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.570.710.810.56
vs Stronger (19)0.740.680.671.000.800.40
vs Similar (11)0.640.550.400.200.830.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D13L01L10W11D01L23L02LH·EDI29/02H·ALB03/03A·ANN07/03A·ELG10/03H·ANN17/10A·EDI24/10H·STE31/10A·STR07/11A·ELG28/11H·QUE05/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.380.690.790.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.710.860.250.621.331.17
vs Weaker (16)0.440.690.500.750.380.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
STI wins
2
Draws
3
COW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Cowdenbeath · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/20ACowdenbeath Vs STI1-4
29/10/19HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
10/08/19ACowdenbeath Vs STI1-0
20/04/19HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath0-1
02/03/19ACowdenbeath Vs STI1-2
29/12/18HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath2-1
06/10/18ACowdenbeath Vs STI1-0
24/03/18HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath2-2

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/20AStranraer Vs STI2-2
28/11/20AAlbion Rvs Vs STI0-1
21/11/20HSTI Vs Elgin1-2
07/11/20ABrechin Vs STI0-5
31/10/20HSTI Vs Annan Athletic1-0
24/10/20AStenhousemuir Vs STI2-2
17/10/20HSTI Vs Queens Park0-0
10/03/20HSTI Vs Cove Rangers1-7
07/03/20AElgin Vs STI3-1
03/03/20HSTI Vs Stenhousemuir0-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/20HCOW Vs Queens Park0-3
28/11/20AElgin Vs COW5-2
07/11/20AStranraer Vs COW2-0
31/10/20HCOW Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
24/10/20AEdinburgh City Vs COW0-1
17/10/20HCOW Vs Annan Athletic0-3
10/03/20AElgin Vs COW3-2
07/03/20AAnnan Athletic Vs COW0-0
03/03/20HCOW Vs Albion Rvs2-1
29/02/20HCOW Vs Edinburgh City1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.34
HomeDLDWL1.08
AwayLDWWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%29%42%
AVG goals2.341.962.69
Over 1.5 %58%42%73%
Over 2.5 %44%33%54%
Over 3.5 %24%12%35%
Scored1.200.791.58
Conceded1.141.171.12
BTTS46%33%58%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners10.9410.7911.08
Cards3.683.334.00
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.26
HomeDWLDL1.84
AwayDLWLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%56%16%
AVG goals2.662.842.48
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %54%64%44%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.201.480.92
Conceded1.461.361.56
BTTS52%64%40%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners9.709.609.80
Cards4.444.084.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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