Stockport is expected to win against Blackpool, with a recent storyline of coming off a win against Plymouth. The match is likely to be a closely contested affair, with an expected total of 2.7 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.7%. Stockport has a strong home form, scoring an average of 2.07 goals and conceding 1.0 per game against weaker opponents. Blackpool's away form is less impressive, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 2.0 per game against stronger opponents.
The model suggests Over 1.5 goals with a probability of 75.5%, while Under 3.5 goals is also a selection with a probability of 72.3%. The home win percentage is 53%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 21%. The model's selection is Home win.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Blackpool snatched a 2-1 victory over Stockport, overturning the home side’s recent run of LWLWW and ending Stockport’s hope of a win. The pre-match favourite was a Home win at 53 %, but the model’s call proved wrong. Every suggested selection from the model hit: Under 7.5 at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.2 %, Under 6.5 at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7 %, Under 5.5 at 94.6 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0 %. The match finished 1-2 in favour of the visitors, confirming the model’s predictions were largely accurate except for the favourite.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stockport win✗ Miss
52.7%
Avg Implied 59.6% · @ 1.56
Edge
-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Dafabet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.97
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.35
Betfair
4.20
Dafabet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Blackpool win✓ Hit
20.8%
Avg Implied 17.0% · @ 5.45
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
6.00
Dafabet
5.80
Pinnacle
5.79
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stockport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.23
2.07
0.93
1.31
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.80
1.27
2.17
0.67
1.56
1.67
vs Weaker (15)
1.53
1.20
2.00
1.12
1.00
1.29
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.37
1.53
1.00
1.07
1.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.32
1.25
1.53
1.00
1.08
1.54
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
@ 1.23-0.0%
Under 1.5
24.4%
@ 3.81+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.09
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.86
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.7%
@ 1.77-3.3%
Under 2.5
50.3%
@ 2.00+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
SBO
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
@ 2.84-4.9%
Under 3.5
72.3%
@ 1.38+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Unibet
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Pinnacle
2.90
Superbet
2.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
@ 1.79+0.3%
No
48.1%
@ 1.92-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
No
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.95
888Sport
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
Betano
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 7.11+6.4%
1-0
10.6%@ 6.58+3.8%
2-0
9.9%@ 7.15+3.7%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.35+3.6%
0-0
8.1%@ 11.21+4.2%
0-1
5.7%@ 13.95+2.5%
1-2 ✓
5.6%@ 15.27+2.7%
3-0
5.5%@ 11.14+1.5%
Stockport goals ↓
Blackpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
5.7%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.6%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.7%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.5%
5.4%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.3%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stockport goals (down), columns = Blackpool goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Stockport is 0.39 points better than Blackpool in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Stockport is 0.36 goals better than Blackpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Stockport is 0.15 goals better than Blackpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Stockport is 8.7 percentage points better than Blackpool in terms of average possession (55% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stockport
For 6.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.4 · Total 19.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Blackpool
For 5.5 · Against 7.2 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stockport
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.7
3.2
3.1
3.2
21.0
20.1
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
10.2
9.8
10.5
3.2
3.3
3.1
21.7
21.1
22.1
vs Weaker (25)
9.2
9.6
8.7
3.2
3.0
3.4
20.3
19.2
21.5
% over line
48%
48%
48%
46%
46%
46%
48%
39%
56%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
54%
54%
54%
52%
61%
44%
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.9
11.1
3.6
3.4
3.9
23.4
23.9
23.0
vs Stronger (1)
20.0
-
20.0
4.0
-
4.0
21.0
-
21.0
vs Similar (45)
10.3
10.0
10.6
3.8
3.5
4.0
23.5
24.0
23.0
vs Weaker (4)
10.3
8.5
14.0
1.8
2.3
0.0
23.3
23.5
23.0
% over line
59%
56%
62%
50%
38%
62%
69%
72%
67%
% under line
41%
44%
38%
50%
62%
38%
31%
28%
33%
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Leicester
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Wigan
10.7
Blackpool
10.5
Huddersfield
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Luton
10.3
Burton
10.3
Wycombe
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.8
AFC Wimbledon
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Reading
9.3
Notts County
9.3
Cambridge
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.1
Stevenage
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.3
Peterboro
4.3
Huddersfield
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Stevenage
3.8
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Luton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Burton
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.1
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bradford
24.6
Notts County
24.4
Plymouth
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Huddersfield
24.3
Peterboro
23.9
Luton
23.8
Milton Keynes Dons
23.6
Blackpool
23.5
Wigan
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Cambridge
22.6
Reading
22.6
Mansfield
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Burton
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
21.0
Barnsley
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.8%
@ 1.64+5.3%
Under 9.5
38.2%
@ 2.13-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Under
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Unibet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 3.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.8%
Under 21.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stockport or Draw✗ Miss
79.2%
Avg Implied 82.5% · @ 1.13
Edge
-3.2%
53%
26%
21%
covers Stockport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
888Sport
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Stockport or Blackpool✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.21
Edge
-3.5%
53%
26%
21%
covers Stockport + Blackpool
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Draw or Blackpool✓ Hit
47.3%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.30
Edge
+6.7%
53%
26%
21%
covers Draw + Blackpool
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.37
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stockport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.4%
@ 1.11-2.1%
Under
18.6%
@ 5.64+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.15
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
888Sport
5.50
Stockport over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.1%
@ 1.64-6.7%
Under
49.9%
@ 2.16+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
BetVictor
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Stockport over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.8%
@ 3.01-7.1%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.35+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.10
Unibet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Stockport over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 6.60-5.1%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.09+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Blackpool over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.4%
@ 1.57+3.3%
Under
37.6%
@ 2.26-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Blackpool over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.6%
@ 3.88+1.6%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.23-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Pinnacle
4.04
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Blackpool over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 10.64-1.2%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.03+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.00
888Sport
11.00
Superbet
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Blackpool over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 29.50-1.5%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
35.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stockport, so a minus line means Stockport give that many goals of a start and Blackpool receive them. At -1, Stockport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stockport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stockport)Actual: Blackpool
Stockport -2
12.8%
@ 4.85-5.6%
Draw -2
16.6%
@ 4.49-3.4%
Blackpool +2
70.6%
@ 1.45+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Superbet
4.60
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Away
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Handicap -1 (Stockport)Actual: Blackpool
Stockport -1
29.4%
@ 2.52-6.3%
Draw -1
23.3%
@ 3.50-2.4%
Blackpool +1
47.3%
@ 2.33+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.56
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Unibet
3.35
Away
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Handicap +1 (Stockport)Actual: Draw
Stockport +1
79.2%
@ 1.13+0.7%
Draw +1
13.1%
@ 6.56-0.4%
Blackpool -1
7.7%
@ 11.22-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.70
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (Stockport)Actual: Stockport
Stockport +2
92.3%
@ 1.02+0.8%
Draw +2
5.6%
@ 15.67-0.4%
Blackpool -2
2.1%
@ 37.33-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
15.00
Away
Betfair
46.00
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
32.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stockport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.86
0.64
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.60
0.83
0.67
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (15)
0.67
0.47
0.88
0.62
0.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.67
0.80
0.27
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.54
0.67
0.80
0.31
0.23
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.34-0.9%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 3.08+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.33
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.2%
@ 2.56-2.1%
Under 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.46+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.57
Under
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 6.47-3.7%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.09+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Under
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stockport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.2%
@ 1.62-3.9%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.16+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Stockport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.1%
@ 4.00-5.0%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.20+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.15
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Stockport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 9.83-6.2%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Blackpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.2%
@ 2.75+1.5%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.40-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Blackpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
8.1%
@ 9.62-1.5%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.03+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Blackpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 50.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stockport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.21
0.29
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.93
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.67
1.11
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.73
1.12
0.50
0.57
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.87
0.20
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.71
0.87
0.20
0.77
1.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.9%
Under 0.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.7%
Under 1.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.2%
Under 2.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stockport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.5%
Under
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stockport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.2%
Under
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stockport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.0%
Under
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
91.0%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.09
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.9%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.9%
1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.2%
1.13
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
888Sport
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-3.2%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
79.2%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.2%
1.35
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.6%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.4%
1.23
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
-1.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.5%
1.21
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
1.36
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.3%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.6%
1.45
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
+9.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stockport
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Mandron67%
Kyle Wootton50%
J. Diamond25%
H. Wood25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
O. Norwood0%
B. Osborn0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
O. Norwood25%
Ryan Glover25%
Jason Adigun25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
Kyle Wootton0%
J. Diamond0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
H. Wood0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Norwood25%
Kyle Wootton25%
Lewis Bate25%
Benoný Breki Andrésson25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
J. Diamond0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
H. Wood0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Wootton50%
O. Norwood25%
J. Diamond25%
H. Wood25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
Blackpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Bowler60%
Dion Charles33%
Kylian Kouassi33%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
J. Williams20%
Leighton Clarkson20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Finley Munroe50%
Hayden Coulson33%
Z. Ashworth33%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton20%
J. Williams20%
G. Honeyman20%
Josh Bowler20%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dion Charles33%
B. Peacock-Farrell20%
G. Honeyman20%
Oliver Casey20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Josh Bowler0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler40%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Stockport and Blackpool have a similar squad value (both €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Stockport and Blackpool have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Stockport and Blackpool have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Stockport and Blackpool have a similar defence value (both €4m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe