This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.83
2.06
0.69
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.05
2.00
1.00
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
0.25
2.17
0.17
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.7%
Under 1.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.5%
@ 2.41-2.3%
Under 2.5
63.5%
@ 1.53+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
12.9%
2-0 ✓
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
Stockport goals ↓
Stevenage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
8.3%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
1
14%
14%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
2
10%
8.5%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
3
4.6%
3.8%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stockport goals (down), columns = Stevenage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leyton Orient
1.98
Stevenage
1.85
Northampton
1.80
Stockport
1.72
Bradford
1.65
Carlisle
1.65
Mansfield
1.63
Salford
1.63
Barrow
1.35
Grimsby
1.33
Swindon
1.33
Sutton
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Tranmere
1.26
Newport County
1.24
Doncaster
1.20
Walsall
1.20
Gillingham
1.20
Harrogate
1.13
Colchester
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
1.04
Crawley Town
1.00
Hartlepool
0.93
Rochdale
0.83
Stockport is 0.13 points worse than Stevenage in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.85).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Mansfield
1.57
Salford
1.57
Carlisle
1.43
Stockport
1.41
Northampton
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.33
Swindon
1.33
Bradford
1.33
Stevenage
1.33
Harrogate
1.28
Newport County
1.15
Hartlepool
1.13
Grimsby
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
1.04
Crawley Town
1.04
Crewe
1.04
Barrow
1.02
Sutton
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Rochdale
1.00
Tranmere
0.98
Colchester
0.96
Gillingham
0.78
Stockport is 0.09 goals better than Stevenage in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leyton Orient
0.74
Stockport
0.80
Stevenage
0.85
Northampton
0.91
Bradford
0.93
Carlisle
0.93
Tranmere
1.04
Walsall
1.07
Gillingham
1.07
Colchester
1.11
Barrow
1.15
Salford
1.17
Swindon
1.20
Mansfield
1.20
Grimsby
1.22
Newport County
1.22
Sutton
1.26
AFC Wimbledon
1.30
Crewe
1.30
Doncaster
1.41
Harrogate
1.48
Rochdale
1.52
Crawley Town
1.54
Hartlepool
1.70
Stockport is 0.04 goals better than Stevenage in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.85).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Swindon
58%
Leyton Orient
58%
Salford
57%
Bradford
54%
Stockport
54%
Mansfield
53%
Hartlepool
51%
Crawley Town
51%
Northampton
51%
Tranmere
51%
Grimsby
50%
Doncaster
50%
Rochdale
49%
Harrogate
48%
Crewe
48%
Stevenage
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Newport County
46%
Carlisle
46%
Sutton
46%
Walsall
46%
Barrow
46%
Colchester
46%
Gillingham
45%
Stockport is 6.2 percentage points better than Stevenage in terms of average possession (54% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stockport
For 6.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stevenage
For 4.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stockport
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
3.5
3.6
3.4
23.1
21.5
24.7
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
4.0
-
4.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
8.3
7.0
11.0
3.5
3.5
3.5
29.0
27.5
32.0
vs Weaker (43)
9.7
10.1
9.4
3.5
3.6
3.4
22.5
20.6
24.2
% over line
57%
53%
60%
50%
50%
50%
63%
67%
60%
% under line
43%
47%
40%
50%
50%
50%
37%
33%
40%
This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.5
9.2
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.1
22.4
21.8
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
8.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
34.0
34.0
-
vs Similar (35)
9.7
9.9
9.5
3.2
2.9
3.4
22.4
21.7
22.9
vs Weaker (14)
8.5
8.8
8.2
2.5
3.1
1.7
20.6
22.5
18.0
% over line
48%
48%
48%
38%
36%
40%
56%
60%
52%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
62%
64%
60%
44%
40%
48%
This opponent (Stockport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Harrogate
10.4
Crewe
10.4
Sutton
10.3
Swindon
10.1
Bradford
10.1
AFC Wimbledon
9.9
Salford
9.9
Mansfield
9.8
Tranmere
9.8
Barrow
9.7
Grimsby
9.7
Stockport
9.6
Carlisle
9.6
Crawley Town
9.5
Rochdale
9.5
Colchester
9.4
Walsall
9.4
Doncaster
9.3
Stevenage
9.3
Northampton
9.0
Newport County
9.0
Hartlepool
8.7
Leyton Orient
8.7
Gillingham
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AFC Wimbledon
4.6
Barrow
4.0
Northampton
4.0
Leyton Orient
3.8
Swindon
3.8
Colchester
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Stockport
3.5
Sutton
3.5
Walsall
3.4
Newport County
3.4
Carlisle
3.4
Rochdale
3.3
Bradford
3.3
Gillingham
3.3
Tranmere
3.2
Salford
3.1
Crewe
3.1
Grimsby
3.1
Harrogate
3.0
Stevenage
3.0
Crawley Town
2.8
Doncaster
2.8
Hartlepool
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AFC Wimbledon
26.1
Northampton
24.0
Barrow
23.8
Sutton
23.5
Salford
23.3
Bradford
23.2
Stockport
23.1
Crewe
23.1
Colchester
23.0
Grimsby
23.0
Crawley Town
22.8
Mansfield
22.7
Leyton Orient
22.6
Walsall
22.5
Gillingham
22.3
Stevenage
22.1
Rochdale
22.1
Swindon
21.9
Newport County
21.8
Tranmere
21.1
Doncaster
21.1
Hartlepool
20.5
Harrogate
20.1
Carlisle
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.8%
Under 21.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stockport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (27)
0.63
0.44
0.69
0.54
0.57
0.36
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.30
0.94
0.19
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.38
1.11
0.22
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.12
0.83
0.17
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stockport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stockport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stockport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stockport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
0.80
0.33
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (27)
0.93
0.56
0.92
0.31
0.93
0.79
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.53
1.12
0.50
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.67
0.89
0.78
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.12
1.33
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stockport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stockport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stockport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stockport · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Mandron67%
Kyle Wootton50%
J. Diamond25%
H. Wood25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
O. Norwood0%
B. Osborn0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
O. Norwood25%
Ryan Glover25%
Jason Adigun25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
Kyle Wootton0%
J. Diamond0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
H. Wood0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Norwood25%
Kyle Wootton25%
Lewis Bate25%
Benoný Breki Andrésson25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
J. Diamond0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
H. Wood0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Wootton50%
O. Norwood25%
J. Diamond25%
H. Wood25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
Stevenage · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Magennis40%
J. Roberts20%
D. Kemp20%
O. Sanderson20%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
L. Freestone0%
P. Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luther James-Wildin67%
C. Piergianni40%
J. Roberts20%
L. Freestone20%
D. Kemp20%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
P. Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
O. Sanderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
P. Patterson40%
J. Roberts0%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
L. Freestone0%
D. Kemp0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
O. Sanderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Kemp40%
P. Patterson20%
O. Sanderson20%
J. Roberts0%
Jordan Houghton0%
T. Vancooten0%
Luther James-Wildin0%
C. Piergianni0%
L. Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
L. Freestone0%
Filip Marschall0%
T. Taylor0%
D. Phillips0%
M. Mellon0%
Saxon Earley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Stockport's squad is €3m more valuable than Stevenage's (€10m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LO (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Stockport's attack is €1m more valuable than Stevenage's (€3m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Stockport's midfield is €1m more valuable than Stevenage's (€3m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STO (11)
€4m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Stockport and Stevenage have a similar defence value (both €4m).
England: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
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Leyton Orient
Northampton
Carlisle
Bradford
Salford
Mansfield
Barrow
Swindon
Grimsby
Tranmere
Crewe
Sutton
Newport County
Walsall
Gillingham
Doncaster
Harrogate
Colchester
AFC Wimbledon
Crawley Town
Hartlepool
Rochdale