Stockport are favoured to win, with a 48 % chance of beating Wycombe, a 27 % chance of a draw and a 26 % chance of an away win. The model expects 2.8 goals in total, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6 % chance. Stockport, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, average 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, while Wycombe, on the road, average 1.23 scored and 1.92 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9 %, Under 6.5 at 97.4 % with a 2 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 % with a 3 % edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.9 % with a 5 % edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8 % with a 5 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.8 % with a 5 % edge, and Under 5.5 at 93.2 % with a 3 % edge. Stockport’s recent form shows a win-draw-loss-win-win streak, but they are coming off a defeat to Blackpool, whereas Wycombe have a draw-draw-win-loss-loss streak, having drawn 1-1 with Plymouth.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Stockport secured a 5-1 victory over Wycombe, extending their recent winning run. The pre-match favourite was a home win at 49 percent, and the model’s call was correct. The match delivered a high-scoring affair, far exceeding the expected 2.8 goals. The model’s selections performed impressively: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.1 percent, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 percent, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.6 percent, Under 6.5 hit at 97.4 percent, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.1 percent, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.7 percent, Home under 2.5 2H goals missed at 95.2 percent, and Under 5.5 missed at 93.1 percent. The model’s overall accuracy was evident, with most picks hitting and only two missing.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stockport win✓ Hit
48.9%
Avg Implied 49.1% · @ 1.90
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.96
Dafabet
1.93
SBO
1.93
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.53
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.76
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Wycombe win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.82
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.11
Marathonbet
3.94
Betano
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Bet365
3.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stockport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.23
1.86
0.93
1.31
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.75
1.31
2.00
0.86
1.56
1.67
vs Weaker (14)
1.36
1.14
1.71
1.00
1.00
1.29
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wycombe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.37
1.87
1.00
1.20
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.46
1.50
1.67
1.08
1.29
1.86
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.50
2.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
@ 1.24+3.6%
Under 1.5
21.3%
@ 3.74-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.24
Betfair
4.10
Marathonbet
3.78
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.80+1.6%
Under 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.97-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
SBO
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.7%
@ 2.89-0.5%
Under 3.5
68.3%
@ 1.37+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
@ 1.68+1.7%
No
43.2%
@ 2.06-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 6.41+5.5%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.85+3.9%
1-0
8.8%@ 7.48+2.8%
2-0
8.4%@ 9.04+3.4%
0-0
7.0%@ 10.38+2.7%
1-2
6.5%@ 11.58+2.7%
0-1
5.6%@ 11.01+1.5%
2-2
5.5%@ 12.50+1.9%
Stockport goals ↓
Wycombe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.6%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
1
8.8%
12%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.4%
9.6%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
4.7%
5.4%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stockport goals (down), columns = Wycombe goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Stockport is 0.32 points better than Wycombe in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Stockport is 0.03 goals better than Wycombe in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Stockport is 0.00 goals worse than Wycombe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Stockport is 1.4 percentage points better than Wycombe in terms of average possession (55% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stockport
For 7.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wycombe
For 7.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stockport
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.9
9.7
3.2
3.1
3.2
21.0
20.0
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
10.4
10.3
10.5
3.2
3.2
3.1
21.4
20.6
22.1
vs Weaker (24)
9.0
9.4
8.7
3.2
2.9
3.4
20.5
19.5
21.5
% over line
48%
48%
48%
44%
42%
46%
48%
39%
56%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
56%
58%
54%
52%
61%
44%
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wycombe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.3
3.4
3.4
3.4
21.3
21.0
21.7
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (43)
10.0
9.8
10.3
3.5
3.3
3.6
21.5
21.2
21.8
vs Weaker (6)
9.8
9.7
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
21.0
20.7
21.3
% over line
54%
50%
58%
52%
48%
56%
44%
42%
46%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
48%
52%
44%
56%
58%
54%
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
10.9
Wigan
10.6
Bromley
10.4
Luton
10.4
Blackpool
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Peterboro
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Stockport
10.0
AFC Wimbledon
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.6
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Luton
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Stevenage
24.6
Plymouth
24.5
Huddersfield
24.2
Luton
23.8
Peterboro
23.7
Leyton Orient
23.4
Blackpool
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
22.9
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Doncaster
22.5
Reading
22.4
Leicester
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Burton
22.2
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
20.9
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.0%
@ 1.61+2.7%
Under 9.5
40.0%
@ 2.16-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.7%
Under 3.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.8%
Under 21.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stockport or Draw✓ Hit
75.2%
Avg Implied 75.4% · @ 1.23
Edge
-0.2%
49%
26%
25%
covers Stockport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Stockport or Wycombe✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.5%
49%
26%
25%
covers Stockport + Wycombe
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Draw or Wycombe✗ Miss
51.1%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.85
Edge
+0.7%
49%
26%
25%
covers Draw + Wycombe
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stockport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.6%
@ 1.17+2.2%
Under
18.4%
@ 4.49-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.80
Superbet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Stockport over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.4%
@ 1.86+0.2%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.87-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Unibet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.96
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Stockport over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.0%
@ 3.67-1.3%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.24+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Under
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Stockport over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
9.2%
@ 8.48-1.9%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.10
Superbet
8.30
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Wycombe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.3%
@ 1.40+1.9%
Under
31.7%
@ 2.76-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.99
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Wycombe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.9%
@ 2.98+0.6%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.35-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.04
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Wycombe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 7.60-1.3%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.06+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Wycombe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 19.58-2.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stockport, so a minus line means Stockport give that many goals of a start and Wycombe receive them. At -1, Stockport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stockport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stockport)Actual: Stockport
Stockport -2
11.6%
@ 6.79-1.5%
Draw -2
15.3%
@ 5.30-1.6%
Wycombe +2
73.1%
@ 1.28+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.20
Away
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Handicap -1 (Stockport)Actual: Stockport
Stockport -1
26.9%
@ 3.27-0.3%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 3.65-2.4%
Wycombe +1
51.1%
@ 1.84+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
10Bet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.89
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Handicap +1 (Stockport)Actual: Stockport
Stockport +1
75.2%
@ 1.24+2.6%
Draw +1
14.6%
@ 5.42-2.0%
Wycombe -1
10.2%
@ 8.30-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Stockport)Actual: Stockport
Stockport +2
89.8%
@ 1.05+2.2%
Draw +2
7.0%
@ 11.60-0.9%
Wycombe -2
3.1%
@ 20.67-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Superbet
9.80
Away
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
21.00
Superbet
18.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stockport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.79
0.71
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.69
0.71
0.86
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.43
0.86
0.57
0.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wycombe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.87
0.60
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.65
0.75
0.58
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.4%
@ 1.34+0.1%
Under 0.5
30.6%
@ 3.03-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 2.57-0.8%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 1.45+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
1xBet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Pinnacle
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 6.41-1.8%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.09+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.20
1xBet
6.05
Under
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stockport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.1%
@ 1.75-3.0%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.98+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Unibet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Stockport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.2%
@ 4.61-4.9%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.16+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.75
Betano
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Under
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Stockport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 12.83-4.1%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Wycombe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
39.3%
@ 2.35-0.3%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.53+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Wycombe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 8.02-1.7%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.05+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.30
Superbet
8.10
Betano
7.60
10Bet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Wycombe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 32.00-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
32.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stockport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
1.07
0.21
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.62
1.29
0.00
0.67
1.11
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.71
0.86
0.43
0.57
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wycombe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.40
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.85
0.92
0.50
0.79
1.14
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Stockport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.21-0.2%
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 4.04+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Under
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.96
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.1%
@ 1.99-3.7%
Under 1.5
56.9%
@ 1.75+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.01
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Under
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.1%
@ 4.12-3.5%
Under 2.5
80.9%
@ 1.20+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
4.05
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stockport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.8%
@ 1.53-3.9%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.36+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.43
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.27
Stockport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
19.1%
@ 3.44-7.8%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.27+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
Under
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Stockport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.8%
@ 8.90-5.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.70
1xBet
9.10
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Wycombe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.3%
@ 1.98-0.5%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.74+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Wycombe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 5.96-2.6%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.09+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.85
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Wycombe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 18.17-2.9%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
90.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.09
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.16
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
84.2%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+0.9%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
81.6%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+7.8%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.7%
1.24
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.21
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.0%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
75.2%
1.23
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.2%
1.24
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.7%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.1%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
+3.1%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.8%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stockport
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Mandron67%
Kyle Wootton50%
J. Diamond25%
H. Wood25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
O. Norwood0%
B. Osborn0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
O. Norwood25%
Ryan Glover25%
Jason Adigun25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
Kyle Wootton0%
J. Diamond0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
H. Wood0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Norwood25%
Kyle Wootton25%
Lewis Bate25%
Benoný Breki Andrésson25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
J. Diamond0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
H. Wood0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Wootton50%
O. Norwood25%
J. Diamond25%
H. Wood25%
Eoghan O'Connell0%
M. Mandron0%
B. Osborn0%
Lewis Bate0%
Kyron Silveria Gordon0%
Ryan Glover0%
Ethan Pye0%
Benoný Breki Andrésson0%
Oliver Whatmuff0%
Jason Adigun0%
Wycombe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Woodrow50%
Ewan Henderson25%
C. Taylor25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
Samuel Parker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ewan Henderson75%
Fred Onyedinma25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ewan Henderson25%
Silko Thomas25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ewan Henderson25%
D. Harvie25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Stockport and Wycombe have a similar squad value (both €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Stockport and Wycombe have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Stockport and Wycombe have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Stockport and Wycombe have a similar defence value (both €4m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons