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Stranraer vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 10/03/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 2-3
Stranraer
Stranraer
Vs
43%
23%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stranraer win✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L15L22D32W10W31W02L15L14L10WA·RAI30/12H·AYR02/01A·QUE06/01H·AIR13/01H·RAI20/01A·ALB27/01H·EAS03/02A·FOR17/02H·ARB20/02H·ALL24/02
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.731.871.801.071.67
vs Stronger (27)1.441.701.791.931.081.46
vs Similar (3)1.672.003.000.001.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W22D22D13L24L13L01L13L22D02LH·EAS23/12A·QUE30/12H·AIR02/01A·ALL06/01A·FOR13/01H·STR27/01A·ARB03/02A·RAI06/02H·RAI17/02A·EAS24/02
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.672.201.292.212.002.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.612.131.102.002.002.23
vs Weaker (7)1.862.431.752.752.002.00
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.9%
Under 1.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.7%
Under 2.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.2%
Under 3.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.6%
No
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
2-3 ✓
4.3%
Stranraer goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
03.1%3.2%3.6%2.1%0.9%
13.8%9.0%7.2%4.3%1.9%
24.6%8.2%7.2%4.3%1.9%
33.1%5.5%4.8%2.9%1.3%
41.5%2.7%2.4%1.4%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stranraer goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ayr
2.11
Raith Rvs
2.08
Alloa
1.67
Arbroath
1.64
Stranraer
1.47
East Fife
1.17
Airdrie United
1.14
Forfar
1.06
Queens Park
0.86
Albion Rvs
0.83
Stranraer is 0.64 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ayr
2.56
Arbroath
1.94
Raith Rvs
1.89
Stranraer
1.61
Albion Rvs
1.58
Alloa
1.56
East Fife
1.36
Airdrie United
1.28
Queens Park
1.17
Forfar
1.11
Stranraer is 0.03 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.58).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Raith Rvs
0.89
Ayr
1.17
Alloa
1.19
Arbroath
1.42
Airdrie United
1.67
Forfar
1.81
Stranraer
1.83
East Fife
1.86
Queens Park
2.00
Albion Rvs
2.22
Stranraer is 0.39 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StranraerStranraer

For 5.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1803434254299344261851067776187671316H·ALLH·ARBA·FORH·EASA·ALBH·RAIH·AIRA·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5011212211121321212342013531H·ALLH·ARBA·FORH·EASA·ALBH·RAIH·AIRA·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

280101513881017117414101315157119101025211828112428222020H·ALLH·ARBA·FORH·EASA·ALBH·RAIH·AIRA·QUEH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.8 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

180462101917992554654543101210818791197A·EASH·RAIA·RAIA·ARBH·STRA·FORA·ALLH·AIRA·QUEH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80231415322133115510082362A·EASH·RAIA·RAIA·ARBH·STRA·FORA·ALLH·AIRA·QUEH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

270917916410131447168612151210716826251427112418271724A·EASH·RAIA·RAIA·ARBH·STRA·FORA·ALLH·AIRA·QUEH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.012.01.91.72.223.024.920.9
vs Stronger (47)10.89.112.81.81.72.022.624.620.3
vs Similar (3)7.78.07.54.02.05.026.029.024.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%36%69%26%12%42%63%79%46%
% under line48%64%31%74%88%58%37%21%54%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.012.59.91.61.41.821.621.921.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.312.19.01.51.51.521.923.520.7
vs Weaker (12)13.313.713.02.01.03.020.717.723.7
% over line56%73%43%22%17%27%48%55%43%
% under line44%27%57%78%83%73%52%45%57%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Raith Rvs
12.1
Ayr
12.1
Albion Rvs
11.0
Forfar
11.0
Queens Park
10.9
East Fife
10.9
Airdrie United
10.8
Arbroath
10.7
Stranraer
10.4
Alloa
10.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Forfar
3.9
Queens Park
3.8
Stranraer
3.6
Ayr
3.6
Raith Rvs
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.2
Airdrie United
3.2
East Fife
2.9
Arbroath
2.9
Alloa
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Fife
24.9
Forfar
23.0
Stranraer
23.0
Ayr
21.8
Raith Rvs
21.7
Alloa
21.6
Albion Rvs
21.6
Airdrie United
21.5
Arbroath
20.5
Queens Park
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.7%
Under 9.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.4%
Under 3.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L00D11D10W10W00D04L11D10WA·RAI30/12H·AYR02/01A·QUE06/01H·AIR13/01H·RAI20/01A·ALB27/01H·EAS03/02A·FOR17/02H·ARB20/02H·ALL24/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.670.670.400.73
vs Stronger (27)0.590.590.710.710.460.46
vs Similar (3)0.001.670.000.000.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D02L00D12L12L01L01L01L11D02LH·EAS23/12A·QUE30/12H·AIR02/01A·ALL06/01A·FOR13/01H·STR27/01A·ARB03/02A·RAI06/02H·RAI17/02A·EAS24/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.130.501.140.811.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.651.130.501.100.771.15
vs Weaker (7)0.711.140.501.251.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L22D21W00D21W02L11D03L00DA·RAI30/12H·AYR02/01A·QUE06/01H·AIR13/01H·RAI20/01A·ALB27/01H·EAS03/02A·FOR17/02H·ARB20/02H·ALL24/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.031.201.130.670.93
vs Stronger (27)0.851.111.071.210.621.00
vs Similar (3)1.670.333.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W22D01L12L12L00D12L11D00DH·EAS23/12A·QUE30/12H·AIR02/01A·ALL06/01A·FOR13/01H·STR27/01A·ARB03/02A·RAI06/02H·RAI17/02A·EAS24/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.070.791.071.191.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.961.000.600.901.231.08
vs Weaker (7)1.141.291.251.501.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards87.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.7%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes72.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (3)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
STR wins
1
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stranraer vs Albion Rvs · H/A from STR
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/18AAlbion Rvs Vs STR1-3
19/12/17HSTR Vs Albion Rvs2-2
16/09/17AAlbion Rvs Vs STR0-4
08/04/17AAlbion Rvs Vs STR3-0
04/02/17HSTR Vs Albion Rvs3-0
12/11/16AAlbion Rvs Vs STR3-2
17/09/16HSTR Vs Albion Rvs3-2
12/03/16AAlbion Rvs Vs STR0-1

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/18HSTR Vs Alloa1-0
20/02/18HSTR Vs Arbroath1-4
17/02/18AForfar Vs STR5-1
03/02/18HSTR Vs East Fife0-2
27/01/18AAlbion Rvs Vs STR1-3
20/01/18HSTR Vs Raith Rvs1-0
13/01/18HSTR Vs Airdrie United3-2
06/01/18AQueens Park Vs STR2-2
02/01/18HSTR Vs Ayr1-5
30/12/17ARaith Rvs Vs STR3-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/18AEast Fife Vs AR2-0
17/02/18HAR Vs Raith Rvs2-2
06/02/18ARaith Rvs Vs AR3-1
03/02/18AArbroath Vs AR1-0
27/01/18HAR Vs Stranraer1-3
13/01/18AForfar Vs AR4-2
06/01/18AAlloa Vs AR3-1
02/01/18HAR Vs Airdrie United2-2
30/12/17AQueens Park Vs AR2-2
23/12/17HAR Vs East Fife3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.38
HomeWWLLW1.73
AwayLLDWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%54%21%
AVG goals2.943.382.46
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %60%69%50%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.421.850.96
Conceded1.521.541.50
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners10.449.0012.00
Cards3.593.144.08
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.00
HomeLWDLD1.00
AwayLLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%25%27%
AVG goals3.303.043.54
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.441.251.62
Conceded1.861.791.92
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet12%17%8%
Corners11.0412.559.86
Cards3.243.003.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1
A
Ayr
3676
67%
2.1
9242+50
3.7
100%
81%
42%
11.1
58%
3.6
42%
21.4
44%
0
0002.61.2
-
2
RR
Raith Rvs
3675
61%
2.1
6832+36
2.8
89%
61%
25%
11.6
64%
3.6
56%
21.4
56%
0
0001.90.9
-
3
A
Alloa
3660
47%
1.7
5643+13
2.8
69%
53%
31%
10.1
50%
3.0
39%
21.6
47%
0
0001.61.2
-
4ArbroathArbroath3659
47%
1.6
7051+19
3.4
89%
61%
36%
10.2
47%
3.0
42%
20.3
39%
1
0001.91.4
-
5StranraerStranraer3653
44%
1.5
5866-8
3.4
86%
67%
44%
10.4
53%
3.3
44%
21.9
53%
0
0001.61.8
-
6East FifeEast Fife3642
36%
1.2
4967-18
3.2
81%
58%
36%
11.0
78%
2.9
31%
23.3
67%
0
0001.41.9
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3641
28%
1.1
4660-14
2.9
83%
61%
31%
10.4
56%
3.3
47%
21.0
44%
0
0001.31.7
-
8ForfarForfar3638
31%
1.1
4065-25
2.9
86%
56%
22%
10.9
58%
3.9
58%
22.5
58%
0
0001.11.8
-
9Queens ParkQueens Park3631
19%
0.9
4272-30
3.2
89%
61%
42%
10.6
64%
3.7
53%
18.8
28%
0
0001.22.0
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs
3630
22%
0.8
5780-23
3.8
89%
69%
58%
10.4
50%
3.2
44%
20.7
42%
0
0001.62.2
-
Scotland: League One 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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