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Stranraer vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Date: 10/04/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Stranraer
Stranraer
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stranraer win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.78
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 32.0% · @ 2.88
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City win✓ Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.65
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W22D22D40W20W03L20W11D12LA·EDI21/11A·BRE28/11H·STI05/12A·STE12/12H·ALB19/12H·ANN02/01A·QUE20/03H·BRE23/03A·COW27/03A·ELG06/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.671.431.291.192.00
vs Stronger (24)1.121.621.181.091.082.08
vs Similar (6)2.001.832.332.001.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L40W52W33D23L21W21W31W31W11DH·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12A·ELG20/03A·ALB23/03H·STE27/03A·COW30/03H·ANN06/04
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.031.691.002.001.07
vs Stronger (19)1.951.111.800.902.111.33
vs Similar (10)1.800.901.801.201.800.60
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.6%
@ 1.84+8.7%
Under 2.5
40.4%
@ 1.91-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.9%
No
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
0-1 ✓
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
Stranraer goals ↓
Edinburgh City goals →
01234
05.6%6.0%5.5%2.8%1.1%
15.9%12%8.4%4.4%1.7%
25.4%8.3%6.5%3.4%1.3%
32.8%4.3%3.3%1.7%0.7%
41.1%1.6%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stranraer goals (down), columns = Edinburgh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Stranraer and Edinburgh City are level in average points per game (both 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Stranraer is 0.18 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.82).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Stranraer is 0.09 goals better than Edinburgh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.23).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StranraerStranraer

For 5.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1603641431373616112474449574107716118A·ELGA·COWH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·ALBA·STEH·STIA·BREA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8024221143113211266415314318A·ELGA·COWH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·ALBA·STEH·STIA·BREA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

290158141371015513149151613910101212923271720272429192221A·ELGA·COWH·BREA·QUEH·ANNH·ALBA·STEH·STIA·BREA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 4.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

13035753244332385634444812586513988H·ANNA·COWH·STEA·ELGH·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802222241235222132624244384358H·ANNA·COWH·STEA·ALBA·ELGH·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201211571512161515118151414718912151723122731262328252132H·ANNA·COWH·STEA·ELGH·STIA·QUEH·ALBA·ANNH·STRA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.09.53.12.93.321.722.720.8
vs Stronger (38)9.89.79.93.22.93.521.923.120.7
vs Similar (12)9.511.28.32.82.63.021.021.220.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%58%38%42%29%54%50%50%50%
% under line52%42%62%58%71%46%50%50%50%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.89.03.94.13.623.325.021.6
vs Stronger (32)8.99.28.63.73.73.624.026.621.5
vs Similar (16)8.97.99.93.94.23.622.523.221.8
vs Weaker (2)9.09.0-6.56.5-19.519.5-
% over line31%32%29%62%68%56%63%72%54%
% under line69%68%71%38%32%44%37%28%46%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Albion Rvs
10.7
Brechin
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Elgin
10.0
Queens Park
10.0
Cowdenbeath
10.0
Stranraer
9.7
Annan Athletic
9.7
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.4
Elgin
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Stirling
3.9
Edinburgh City
3.9
Queens Park
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Brechin
3.4
Albion Rvs
3.4
Stranraer
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
25.0
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Edinburgh City
23.3
Stirling
22.9
Albion Rvs
22.7
Queens Park
22.6
Elgin
22.1
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Stranraer
21.7
Brechin
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.3%
Under 9.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.7%
Under 21.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D12L20W00D00D02L00D01L00DA·EDI21/11A·BRE28/11H·STI05/12A·STE12/12H·ALB19/12H·ANN02/01A·QUE20/03H·BRE23/03A·COW27/03A·ELG06/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.290.500.440.81
vs Stronger (24)0.250.620.090.270.380.92
vs Similar (6)0.830.831.001.330.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W41W10W03L21W10W10W21W00DH·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12A·ELG20/03A·ALB23/03H·STE27/03A·COW30/03H·ANN06/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.690.500.710.36
vs Stronger (19)0.890.420.900.400.890.44
vs Similar (10)0.400.400.400.600.400.20
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W10W02L40W20W01L20W10W12LA·EDI21/11A·BRE28/11H·STI05/12A·STE12/12H·ALB19/12H·ANN02/01A·QUE20/03H·BRE23/03A·COW27/03A·ELG06/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.001.140.790.751.19
vs Stronger (24)0.881.001.090.820.691.15
vs Similar (6)1.171.001.330.671.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W11D23L20W00D11D21W10W11DH·STR21/11A·ANN28/11H·ALB05/12A·QUE12/12H·STI19/12A·ELG20/03A·ALB23/03H·STE27/03A·COW30/03H·ANN06/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.601.000.501.290.71
vs Stronger (19)1.050.680.900.501.220.89
vs Similar (10)1.400.501.400.601.400.40
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls78.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners77.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stranraer and Edinburgh City have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Stranraer and Edinburgh City have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stranraer and Edinburgh City have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
STR wins
0
Draws
0
EC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stranraer vs Edinburgh City · H/A from STR
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/20AEdinburgh City Vs STR0-1

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/21AElgin Vs STR2-1
27/03/21ACowdenbeath Vs STR1-1
23/03/21HSTR Vs Brechin2-0
20/03/21AQueens Park Vs STR3-0
02/01/21HSTR Vs Annan Athletic2-0
19/12/20HSTR Vs Albion Rvs4-0
12/12/20AStenhousemuir Vs STR2-2
05/12/20HSTR Vs Stirling2-2
28/11/20ABrechin Vs STR1-4
21/11/20AEdinburgh City Vs STR0-1

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/21HEC Vs Annan Athletic1-1
30/03/21ACowdenbeath Vs EC1-3
27/03/21HEC Vs Stenhousemuir3-1
23/03/21AAlbion Rvs Vs EC1-2
20/03/21AElgin Vs EC1-2
19/12/20HEC Vs Stirling2-3
12/12/20AQueens Park Vs EC3-3
05/12/20HEC Vs Albion Rvs5-2
28/11/20AAnnan Athletic Vs EC0-4
21/11/20HEC Vs Stranraer0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.02
HomeWDWWW1.25
AwayWDLDL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%15%
AVG goals3.022.753.27
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %58%50%65%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.261.331.19
Conceded1.761.422.08
BTTS58%42%73%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners9.7410.009.50
Cards3.122.883.35
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.80
HomeLWLWD1.88
AwayWDWWW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%56%52%
AVG goals2.982.603.36
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %60%52%68%
Over 3.5 %36%24%48%
Scored1.801.761.84
Conceded1.180.841.52
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners8.888.769.00
Cards3.884.123.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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