This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
2.17
0.80
2.07
1.13
2.27
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
2.73
0.83
2.67
1.40
2.80
vs Similar (14)
0.64
1.71
0.50
1.33
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
2.20
1.33
2.33
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.7%
2-0 ✓
12.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.7%
Strasbourg goals ↓
Estac Troyes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
4.7%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.5%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.6%
5.8%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.4%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Strasbourg goals (down), columns = Estac Troyes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Strasbourg
1.76
Amiens
1.74
Estac Troyes
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Lens
1.71
Nimes
1.68
Reims
1.45
Le Havre
1.42
Ajaccio
1.30
Niort
1.29
Clermont Foot
1.21
Sochaux
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Bourg Peronnas
1.16
Auxerre
1.13
Tours
1.13
Orleans
1.11
Red Star
0.95
Laval
0.79
Strasbourg is 0.03 points better than Estac Troyes in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Strasbourg
1.66
Lens
1.55
Estac Troyes
1.55
Nimes
1.53
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Amiens
1.47
Tours
1.45
Bourg Peronnas
1.29
Ajaccio
1.24
Clermont Foot
1.21
Niort
1.18
Valenciennes
1.16
Reims
1.11
Orleans
1.08
Le Havre
1.03
Sochaux
1.00
Red Star
0.95
Laval
0.87
Auxerre
0.74
Strasbourg is 0.11 goals better than Estac Troyes in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.82
Amiens
1.00
Reims
1.03
Auxerre
1.05
Nimes
1.05
Lens
1.05
Sochaux
1.13
Estac Troyes
1.13
Stade Brestois 29
1.16
Valenciennes
1.16
Strasbourg
1.24
Clermont Foot
1.26
Laval
1.37
Orleans
1.42
Ajaccio
1.43
Red Star
1.47
Niort
1.50
Bourg Peronnas
1.53
Tours
1.58
Strasbourg is 0.11 goals worse than Estac Troyes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Strasbourg
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Estac Troyes
For 5.4 · Against 7.2 · Total 12.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Strasbourg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
12.2
13.5
10.9
3.2
3.5
2.9
22.7
23.8
21.6
vs Stronger (15)
13.1
16.0
10.1
3.0
3.5
2.4
21.1
22.1
20.1
vs Similar (21)
11.8
12.1
11.5
3.4
3.9
3.0
23.8
25.9
21.7
vs Weaker (7)
11.2
12.0
10.5
2.7
2.2
3.3
22.8
19.5
26.0
% over line
76%
84%
68%
44%
50%
38%
55%
63%
47%
% under line
24%
16%
32%
56%
50%
62%
45%
37%
53%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estac Troyes
12.2
Reims
9.2
Ajaccio
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reims
4.5
Ajaccio
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
27.4
Ajaccio
26.1
Estac Troyes
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Strasbourg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
100% (+69pp vs league)
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.03
0.27
0.93
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.27
0.50
1.33
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.86
0.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.67
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Strasbourg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strasbourg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strasbourg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Strasbourg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Estac Troyes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estac Troyes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.45
0.33
1.33
1.20
1.60
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.86
0.50
0.67
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
1.20
1.00
1.67
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Strasbourg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strasbourg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strasbourg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estac Troyes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Strasbourg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquin Panichelli44%
Emmanuel Emegha33%
Martial Godo30%
Sebastian Nanasi26%
Julio Enciso24%
Dilane Bakwa20%
Diego Moreira12%
Abdoul Ouattara9%
Maxi Oyedele7%
Valentín Barco7%
Guéla Doué6%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw5%
Kendry Páez5%
Ismael Doukouré5%
Samir El Mourabet4%
Andrew Omobamidele2%
Ben Chilwell0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Junior Mwanga0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Mike Penders0%
Rafael Luis0%
Gessime Yassine0%
Rabby Nzingoula0%
Mathis Amougou0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Aarón Anselmino0%
Tyrese Noubissie0%
Yaya Diémé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yaya Diémé67%
Maxi Oyedele29%
Emmanuel Emegha28%
Tyrese Noubissie25%
Diego Moreira24%
Mamadou Sarr22%
Valentín Barco21%
Guéla Doué21%
Andrew Omobamidele17%
Ismael Doukouré16%
Mathis Amougou16%
Ben Chilwell15%
Samir El Mourabet15%
Junior Mwanga12%
Rabby Nzingoula12%
Mike Penders10%
Kendry Páez10%
Martial Godo9%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw8%
Joaquin Panichelli8%
Lucas Høgsberg8%
Félix Lemaréchal6%
Rafael Luis6%
Gessime Yassine5%
Julio Enciso5%
Abdoul Ouattara5%
Sebastian Nanasi3%
Dilane Bakwa0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Aarón Anselmino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dilane Bakwa40%
Guéla Doué21%
Diego Moreira17%
Valentín Barco16%
Sebastian Nanasi15%
Julio Enciso14%
Félix Lemaréchal12%
Martial Godo11%
Emmanuel Emegha11%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw10%
Ben Chilwell9%
Joaquin Panichelli8%
Rafael Luis6%
Gessime Yassine5%
Ismael Doukouré5%
Samir El Mourabet4%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Junior Mwanga0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Maxi Oyedele0%
Mike Penders0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Rabby Nzingoula0%
Mathis Amougou0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Kendry Páez0%
Aarón Anselmino0%
Tyrese Noubissie0%
Yaya Diémé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joaquin Panichelli38%
Julio Enciso29%
Félix Lemaréchal19%
Martial Godo18%
Junior Mwanga12%
Emmanuel Emegha11%
Sebastian Nanasi9%
Valentín Barco7%
Gessime Yassine5%
Abdoul Ouattara5%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw3%
Diego Moreira2%
Ismael Doukouré2%
Ben Chilwell0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Guéla Doué0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Maxi Oyedele0%
Mike Penders0%
Rafael Luis0%
Rabby Nzingoula0%
Mathis Amougou0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Kendry Páez0%
Samir El Mourabet0%
Aarón Anselmino0%
Tyrese Noubissie0%
Yaya Diémé0%
Estac Troyes · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tawfik Bentayeb48%
Martin Adeline32%
Renaud Ripart29%
Kandet Diawara23%
Jaures Assoumou21%
Mounaim El Idrissy14%
Merwan Ifnaoui14%
Mouhamed Diop12%
Antoine Mille9%
Mathys Detourbet9%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede8%
Anis Ouzenadji4%
Ismaël Boura4%
Paolo Gozzi0%
Alexandre Phliponeau0%
Adrien Monfray0%
Hillel Konaté0%
Nicolas Lemaitre0%
Xavier Chavalerin0%
Lucas Maronnier0%
Hugo Gambor0%
Yvann Titi0%
Roman Murcy0%
Sankhoun Diawara0%
Amadou Diakité0%
Noah Donkor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Diakité33%
Nicolas Lemaitre30%
Adrien Monfray26%
Hugo Gambor26%
Lucas Maronnier22%
Mounaim El Idrissy21%
Paolo Gozzi20%
Xavier Chavalerin20%
Antoine Mille18%
Jaures Assoumou16%
Martin Adeline15%
Ismaël Boura14%
Sankhoun Diawara13%
Anis Ouzenadji13%
Renaud Ripart12%
Mouhamed Diop12%
Mathys Detourbet11%
Tawfik Bentayeb10%
Hillel Konaté8%
Kandet Diawara8%
Alexandre Phliponeau7%
Yvann Titi5%
Merwan Ifnaoui3%
Roman Murcy0%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede0%
Noah Donkor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Adeline29%
Noah Donkor20%
Yvann Titi18%
Mathys Detourbet17%
Merwan Ifnaoui14%
Antoine Mille12%
Tawfik Bentayeb10%
Mouhamed Diop9%
Kandet Diawara8%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede8%
Mounaim El Idrissy7%
Ismaël Boura7%
Sankhoun Diawara7%
Hugo Gambor5%
Jaures Assoumou5%
Lucas Maronnier4%
Anis Ouzenadji4%
Paolo Gozzi0%
Alexandre Phliponeau0%
Adrien Monfray0%
Hillel Konaté0%
Renaud Ripart0%
Nicolas Lemaitre0%
Xavier Chavalerin0%
Roman Murcy0%
Amadou Diakité0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tawfik Bentayeb42%
Jaures Assoumou32%
Mathys Detourbet17%
Kandet Diawara15%
Renaud Ripart12%
Mouhamed Diop12%
Elijah Olaniyi Odede8%
Merwan Ifnaoui7%
Martin Adeline6%
Lucas Maronnier4%
Mounaim El Idrissy4%
Antoine Mille3%
Paolo Gozzi0%
Alexandre Phliponeau0%
Adrien Monfray0%
Hillel Konaté0%
Nicolas Lemaitre0%
Xavier Chavalerin0%
Ismaël Boura0%
Hugo Gambor0%
Yvann Titi0%
Anis Ouzenadji0%
Roman Murcy0%
Sankhoun Diawara0%
Amadou Diakité0%
Noah Donkor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (32)
€304m
LEN (27)
€187m
AUX (29)
€84m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
CF (21)
€15m
LAV (24)
€9m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
BP (8)
€1m
Strasbourg's squad is €268m more valuable than Estac Troyes's (€304m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (13)
€112m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
BP (2)
€0m
Strasbourg's attack is €105m more valuable than Estac Troyes's (€112m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (6)
€56m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
REI (6)
€13m
ET (6)
€11m
LAV (7)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
BP (0)
€0m
Strasbourg's midfield is €44m more valuable than Estac Troyes's (€56m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
LAV (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
BP (6)
€0m
Strasbourg's defence is €119m more valuable than Estac Troyes's (€136m vs €17m).
France: Ligue 2 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →