This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+74pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
Sturm Graz is 0.34 points worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 2.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
Sturm Graz is 0.31 goals worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 2.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
Sturm Graz is 0.22 goals worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 0.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
Sturm Graz is 7.0 percentage points worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of average possession (49% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sturm Graz
For 6.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Red Bull Salzburg
For 6.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sturm Graz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (1)
7.0
-
7.0
6.0
-
6.0
31.0
-
31.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
-
7.0
6.0
-
6.0
31.0
-
31.0
% over line
0%
-
0%
100%
-
100%
100%
-
100%
% under line
100%
-
100%
0%
-
0%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (1)
11.0
11.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
21.0
21.0
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
11.0
11.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
21.0
21.0
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
0%
0%
-
0%
0%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
100%
100%
-
100%
100%
-
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Lustenau
13.0
WSG Wattens
13.0
Austria Vienna
11.0
Rapid Vienna
11.0
Red Bull Salzburg
11.0
Lask Linz
10.0
Austria Klagenfurt
10.0
Ried
10.0
TSV Hartberg
8.0
SCR Altach
8.0
Sturm Graz
7.0
Wolfsberger AC
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lask Linz
8.0
Austria Klagenfurt
8.0
Sturm Graz
6.0
Wolfsberger AC
6.0
Rapid Vienna
4.0
Austria Vienna
3.0
Red Bull Salzburg
3.0
Ried
3.0
TSV Hartberg
2.0
SCR Altach
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sturm Graz
31.0
Wolfsberger AC
31.0
TSV Hartberg
26.0
SCR Altach
26.0
Lask Linz
24.0
Austria Klagenfurt
24.0
Ried
24.0
Rapid Vienna
23.7
Austria Lustenau
22.0
WSG Wattens
22.0
Austria Vienna
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.3%
Under 21.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+74pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
100% (+74pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+74pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Winther Højlund43%
Moritz Wels33%
Otar Kiteishvili28%
Emanuel Emegha25%
Manprit Sarkaria21%
Mohammed Fuseini20%
Christoph Lang17%
Albian Ajeti15%
David Affengruber11%
Tomi Horvat10%
David Schnegg9%
William Bøving9%
Jakob Jantscher8%
Alexander Prass8%
Jusuf Gazibegović6%
Jon Gorenc Stanković5%
Alexandar Borković5%
Ivan Ljubić3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Dominik Oroz0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Jörg Siebenhandl0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Sandro Ingolitsch0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
Amadou Dante0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vesel Demaku40%
Jon Gorenc Stanković32%
Jusuf Gazibegović31%
Emanuel Emegha28%
David Affengruber26%
David Schnegg24%
Stefan Hierländer21%
Albian Ajeti20%
Otar Kiteishvili20%
Ivan Ljubić17%
Sandro Ingolitsch14%
Bryan Silva Teixeira14%
Gregory Wüthrich11%
Alexander Prass10%
Manprit Sarkaria9%
Alexandar Borković5%
Jörg Siebenhandl4%
Amadou Dante3%
Dominik Oroz0%
Jakob Jantscher0%
Tomi Horvat0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
William Bøving0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Christoph Lang0%
Rasmus Winther Højlund0%
Moritz Wels0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Winther Højlund29%
Manprit Sarkaria26%
Alexander Prass20%
Vesel Demaku20%
Christoph Lang17%
Amadou Dante10%
David Schnegg9%
Bryan Silva Teixeira7%
Emanuel Emegha6%
Jusuf Gazibegović6%
Albian Ajeti5%
Tomi Horvat5%
Alexandar Borković5%
William Bøving4%
Otar Kiteishvili4%
David Affengruber3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Dominik Oroz0%
Jörg Siebenhandl0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Jakob Jantscher0%
Ivan Ljubić0%
Sandro Ingolitsch0%
Jon Gorenc Stanković0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Moritz Wels0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rasmus Winther Højlund29%
Albian Ajeti25%
William Bøving22%
Otar Kiteishvili20%
Emanuel Emegha16%
Alexander Prass15%
Tomi Horvat12%
Mohammed Fuseini10%
Manprit Sarkaria9%
Stefan Hierländer6%
Jusuf Gazibegović6%
Jon Gorenc Stanković5%
Ivan Ljubić3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Dominik Oroz0%
David Schnegg0%
Alexandar Borković0%
Vesel Demaku0%
Jörg Siebenhandl0%
Jakob Jantscher0%
Sandro Ingolitsch0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
David Affengruber0%
Amadou Dante0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Christoph Lang0%
Moritz Wels0%
Red Bull Salzburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fernando45%
Benjamin Šeško35%
Noah Okafor34%
Karim Konaté33%
Chukwubuike Adamu22%
Nicolás Capaldo21%
Sekou Koita19%
Youba Diarra14%
Oscar Gloukh12%
Nicolas Seiwald10%
Dijon Kameri6%
Maurits Kjaergaard6%
Maximilian Wöber6%
Oumar Solet3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Amar Dedić3%
Andreas Ulmer0%
Philipp Köhn0%
Luka Sučić0%
Bernardo0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Roko Šimić0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Strahinja Pavlović42%
Lawrence Agyekum33%
Lucas Gourna-Douath28%
Luka Sučić27%
Mamady Diambou25%
Amar Dedić23%
Nicolás Capaldo21%
Sekou Koita19%
Dijon Kameri19%
Roko Šimić18%
Youba Diarra14%
Oumar Solet13%
Maximilian Wöber11%
Karim Konaté11%
Andreas Ulmer10%
Noah Okafor10%
Chukwubuike Adamu8%
Nicolas Seiwald8%
Philipp Köhn8%
Maurits Kjaergaard6%
Oscar Gloukh6%
Bernardo4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Fernando0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fernando36%
Luka Sučić18%
Maximilian Wöber17%
Sekou Koita15%
Maurits Kjaergaard15%
Andreas Ulmer14%
Dijon Kameri12%
Oscar Gloukh12%
Amar Dedić11%
Chukwubuike Adamu11%
Karim Konaté11%
Noah Okafor10%
Roko Šimić9%
Forson Amankwah8%
Benjamin Šeško8%
Nicolás Capaldo7%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Nicolas Seiwald5%
Oumar Solet3%
Philipp Köhn0%
Bernardo0%
Youba Diarra0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fernando55%
Benjamin Šeško38%
Luka Sučić27%
Noah Okafor17%
Chukwubuike Adamu17%
Sekou Koita12%
Strahinja Pavlović10%
Nicolás Capaldo7%
Dijon Kameri6%
Maurits Kjaergaard6%
Oumar Solet0%
Andreas Ulmer0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Philipp Köhn0%
Amar Dedić0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
Bernardo0%
Youba Diarra0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Roko Šimić0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Oscar Gloukh0%
Karim Konaté0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Sturm Graz's squad is €53m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€52m vs €105m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
Sturm Graz's attack is €22m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€26m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Sturm Graz's midfield is €15m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€14m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Sturm Graz's defence is €16m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€13m vs €29m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →