This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.57
1.77
1.69
1.29
1.47
vs Stronger (14)
1.07
1.71
1.29
1.86
0.86
1.57
vs Similar (16)
1.88
1.44
2.33
1.50
1.60
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
Sturm Graz goals ↓
WSG Wattens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
5.1%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
1
9.2%
12%
5.9%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.2%
9.8%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.4%
5.8%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.4%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sturm Graz goals (down), columns = WSG Wattens goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
1.81
Sturm Graz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.50
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
Ried
1.37
TSV Hartberg
1.31
SCR Altach
1.31
WSG Wattens
1.25
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
Grazer AK
1.16
FC BW Linz
0.91
Sturm Graz is 0.50 points better than WSG Wattens in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.59
Austria Vienna
1.41
Grazer AK
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
TSV Hartberg
1.25
WSG Wattens
1.25
Ried
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.18
FC BW Linz
1.16
SCR Altach
1.12
Sturm Graz is 0.34 goals better than WSG Wattens in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
1.09
SCR Altach
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.25
Rapid Vienna
1.26
Red Bull Salzburg
1.28
Lask Linz
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.33
Ried
1.34
Grazer AK
1.41
FC BW Linz
1.53
Austria Vienna
1.56
WSG Wattens
1.62
Sturm Graz is 0.53 goals better than WSG Wattens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
60%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
54%
SCR Altach
52%
Wolfsberger AC
51%
FC BW Linz
50%
Ried
49%
Lask Linz
49%
Austria Vienna
49%
Grazer AK
48%
WSG Wattens
44%
TSV Hartberg
39%
Sturm Graz is 9.6 percentage points better than WSG Wattens in terms of average possession (54% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sturm Graz
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
For 4.0 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sturm Graz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.2
9.8
4.1
3.8
4.4
24.3
24.6
24.2
vs Stronger (3)
12.3
12.0
12.5
2.3
3.0
2.0
26.3
23.0
28.0
vs Similar (21)
9.7
9.7
9.7
3.4
3.2
3.5
24.6
25.2
24.0
vs Weaker (26)
9.0
8.3
9.5
4.9
4.4
5.2
23.8
24.0
23.7
% over line
52%
55%
50%
48%
33%
59%
74%
75%
73%
% under line
48%
45%
50%
52%
67%
41%
26%
25%
27%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.0
4.1
4.2
4.0
21.9
21.2
22.6
vs Stronger (25)
10.9
11.2
10.6
3.8
3.8
3.7
21.1
21.5
20.6
vs Similar (25)
9.0
8.5
9.5
4.4
4.5
4.3
22.7
20.8
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
57%
45%
54%
43%
63%
49%
52%
45%
% under line
49%
43%
55%
46%
57%
37%
51%
48%
55%
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid Vienna
11.3
Austria Vienna
10.5
WSG Wattens
10.0
Lask Linz
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.5
Sturm Graz
9.5
TSV Hartberg
9.5
FC BW Linz
9.4
Grazer AK
9.1
SCR Altach
8.5
Ried
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Grazer AK
5.6
SCR Altach
5.5
TSV Hartberg
5.3
Austria Vienna
5.2
Wolfsberger AC
4.9
Ried
4.8
Rapid Vienna
4.7
WSG Wattens
4.7
Sturm Graz
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.5
Lask Linz
4.3
Red Bull Salzburg
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
25.3
Sturm Graz
24.2
Grazer AK
23.9
Rapid Vienna
23.6
Austria Vienna
23.4
Wolfsberger AC
22.9
Ried
22.8
TSV Hartberg
22.6
WSG Wattens
22.3
FC BW Linz
21.9
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.0%
Under 9.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.5%
Under 3.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.58
0.67
0.89
0.61
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.79
0.86
0.57
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.73
0.53
0.20
0.80
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.92
0.62
0.53
0.59
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.64
0.71
0.57
0.14
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.56
1.17
0.67
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sturm Graz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.58
0.67
0.78
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.93
0.71
0.86
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.33
0.40
0.40
1.20
0.30
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.85
1.08
0.76
0.88
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
1.07
0.57
1.29
0.71
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.88
1.17
0.83
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Otar Kiteishvili39%
Max Johnston25%
Tomi Horvat15%
Albert Vallci14%
Belmin Beganović14%
Leon Grgić14%
Seedy Jatta10%
Maurice Malone8%
Luca Weinhandl8%
Gizo Mamageishvili8%
Filip Rózga7%
Paul Koller7%
Ryan Fosso7%
Stefan Hierländer6%
Jacob Hödl5%
Jon Stankovic5%
Tim Oermann5%
Axel Kayombo5%
Tochi Chukwuani4%
Arjan Malić4%
Jeyland Mitchell4%
Jusuf Gazibegović0%
Emir Karić0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
William Bøving0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Julius Beck0%
Matteo Bignetti0%
Rory Wilson0%
Kristjan Bendra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gizo Mamageishvili31%
Tochi Chukwuani30%
Albert Vallci29%
Jeyland Mitchell27%
Kristjan Bendra25%
Arjan Malić24%
Jon Stankovic22%
Ryan Fosso21%
Emanuel Aiwu21%
Dimitri Lavalėe20%
Julius Beck20%
Jusuf Gazibegović18%
Axel Kayombo18%
Jacob Hödl16%
Tim Oermann15%
Filip Rózga15%
Emir Karić12%
Daniil Khudyakov10%
Seedy Jatta10%
Maurice Malone8%
Niklas Geyrhofer8%
Luca Weinhandl8%
Otar Kiteishvili8%
Oliver Christensen5%
Leon Grgić5%
Tomi Horvat4%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Paul Koller0%
William Bøving0%
Max Johnston0%
Matteo Bignetti0%
Rory Wilson0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Bøving40%
Tomi Horvat19%
Jusuf Gazibegović18%
Otar Kiteishvili11%
Leon Grgić9%
Gizo Mamageishvili8%
Emir Karić8%
Filip Rózga7%
Albert Vallci7%
Maurice Malone6%
Jacob Hödl5%
Jon Stankovic5%
Tim Oermann5%
Seedy Jatta5%
Axel Kayombo5%
Jeyland Mitchell4%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Paul Koller0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Max Johnston0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Julius Beck0%
Matteo Bignetti0%
Ryan Fosso0%
Rory Wilson0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Kristjan Bendra0%
Luca Weinhandl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Otar Kiteishvili26%
Tomi Horvat26%
Maurice Malone22%
William Bøving20%
Leon Grgić18%
Albert Vallci7%
Paul Koller7%
Seedy Jatta7%
Ryan Fosso7%
Jacob Hödl5%
Jeyland Mitchell4%
Filip Rózga4%
Jon Stankovic2%
Jusuf Gazibegović0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Emir Karić0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Max Johnston0%
Gizo Mamageishvili0%
Tim Oermann0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Julius Beck0%
Matteo Bignetti0%
Rory Wilson0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Kristjan Bendra0%
Axel Kayombo0%
Luca Weinhandl0%
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentino Müller26%
Nikolai Frederiksen24%
Moritz Wels17%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi12%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Benjamin Böckle7%
Marco Boras7%
Jamie Lawrence6%
Tobias Anselm5%
David Kubatta4%
Matthäus Taferner4%
David Gugganig0%
Thomas Sabitzer0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Quincy Butler0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Kubatta32%
Marco Boras30%
Matthäus Taferner23%
Quincy Butler22%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi21%
Moritz Wels20%
Christian Huetz18%
Johannes Naschberger17%
Valentino Müller16%
Nikolai Frederiksen16%
Jamie Lawrence16%
Thomas Sabitzer15%
Yannick Votter15%
David Gugganig12%
Benjamin Böckle10%
David Jaunegg9%
Lukas Sulzbacher8%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Adam Stejskal3%
Tobias Anselm0%
Thomas Geris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Sulzbacher17%
Valentino Müller13%
Nikolai Frederiksen12%
Quincy Butler11%
Marco Boras10%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi8%
Matthäus Taferner8%
Thomas Sabitzer8%
Benjamin Böckle7%
Moritz Wels7%
Tobias Anselm5%
David Kubatta4%
Johannes Naschberger3%
David Gugganig0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Jamie Lawrence0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Frederiksen40%
Moritz Wels17%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Valentino Müller6%
David Gugganig6%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi4%
Thomas Sabitzer4%
Marco Boras3%
Jamie Lawrence3%
Matthäus Taferner0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Tobias Anselm0%
Quincy Butler0%
Benjamin Böckle0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
David Kubatta0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Sturm Graz's squad is €45m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€52m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Sturm Graz's attack is €23m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€26m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Sturm Graz's midfield is €12m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€14m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Sturm Graz's defence is €11m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€13m vs €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz