This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.03
1.47
1.13
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (17)
0.82
1.12
1.25
1.50
0.44
0.78
vs Similar (13)
1.15
0.92
1.71
0.71
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.3%
Under 1.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.1%
@ 2.51-8.3%
Under 2.5
70.9%
@ 1.50+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.2%
Under 3.5
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
35.8%
No
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.0%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
0-1 ✓
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
Sudtirol goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
9.2%
3.6%
0.8%
0.1%
1
17%
14%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
11%
7.5%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
3
4.4%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.3%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sudtirol goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Sudtirol and Cosenza are level in average points per game (both 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Sudtirol is 0.03 goals worse than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Sudtirol is 0.16 goals worse than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Sudtirol is 1.4 percentage points worse than Cosenza in terms of average possession (48% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sudtirol
For 3.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 15.1 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 15.1 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sudtirol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
7.3
9.9
2.5
2.2
2.7
29.0
29.7
28.3
vs Stronger (11)
6.8
6.0
7.5
2.2
3.0
1.7
29.0
31.5
26.5
vs Similar (34)
9.7
7.0
12.8
2.2
1.9
2.7
28.9
30.1
27.5
vs Weaker (5)
7.2
12.0
5.7
4.6
5.0
4.5
29.0
23.0
31.0
% over line
38%
30%
45%
40%
36%
44%
90%
90%
91%
% under line
62%
70%
55%
60%
64%
56%
10%
10%
9%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.8
2.8
2.7
3.0
28.0
26.5
29.6
vs Stronger (29)
10.0
9.7
10.2
3.2
3.0
3.4
27.9
28.0
27.9
vs Similar (21)
9.1
9.6
8.0
2.3
2.4
2.1
28.0
24.6
36.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
36%
60%
40%
42%
38%
86%
91%
80%
% under line
52%
64%
40%
60%
58%
62%
14%
9%
20%
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
10.8
Parma
10.7
Modena
10.5
Bari
10.4
Venezia
10.3
Pisa
10.2
Ternana
10.1
Palermo
9.9
Como
9.8
Cremonese
9.8
Ascoli
9.7
Spezia
9.6
Reggiana
9.3
Cosenza
9.1
Lecco
9.0
Cittadella
8.8
Sampdoria
8.8
Catanzaro
8.7
FeralpiSalo
8.7
Sudtirol
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pisa
6.3
Cosenza
6.2
Cittadella
6.1
Lecco
6.0
Ascoli
6.0
Sudtirol
5.9
Modena
5.8
Spezia
5.6
Parma
5.6
Reggiana
5.5
FeralpiSalo
5.4
Sampdoria
5.4
Palermo
5.4
Bari
5.3
Como
5.3
Cremonese
5.3
Catanzaro
5.3
Brescia
5.2
Venezia
5.0
Ternana
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.4
Ascoli
31.1
Reggiana
30.7
Palermo
30.4
Pisa
30.0
Como
29.8
Bari
29.5
Modena
29.2
Sudtirol
29.0
Sampdoria
28.9
Parma
28.4
Cremonese
28.4
Spezia
28.3
Catanzaro
28.2
Cosenza
28.1
Lecco
27.8
Brescia
27.8
Ternana
27.5
FeralpiSalo
26.8
Venezia
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
88.6%
Under 3.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.5%
Under 21.5
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sudtirol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.50
0.21
0.43
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.48
0.30
0.50
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.33
0.80
0.40
0.20
0.27
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.35
0.75
0.62
0.22
0.11
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.31
0.86
0.14
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sudtirol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.00
0.57
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.62
1.20
0.60
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.67
0.73
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.76
0.50
0.88
0.22
0.67
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.62
0.86
0.57
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
70.9%
1.50
-
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sudtirol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniele Casiraghi36%
Raphael Odogwu26%
Emanuele Pecorino15%
Hamza El Kaouakibi14%
Silvio Merkaj12%
Fabian Tait12%
Riccardo Ciervo7%
Jasmin Kurtić7%
Salvatore Molina7%
Kevin Vinetot6%
Andrea Masiello6%
Nicola Rauti4%
Daouda Peeters0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Giuseppe Cuomo0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Jérémie Broh0%
Filippo Scaglia0%
Matteo Rover0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Tommaso Arrigoni0%
Andrea Cisco0%
Simone Davì0%
Andrea Giorgini0%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Raphael Kofler0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tommaso Arrigoni41%
Luca Ghiringhelli40%
Simone Davì31%
Andrea Masiello26%
Daouda Peeters21%
Fabian Tait21%
Alessandro Mallamo20%
Giuseppe Cuomo20%
Filippo Scaglia20%
Daniele Casiraghi19%
Andrea Cagnano18%
Nicola Rauti17%
Emanuele Pecorino15%
Silvio Merkaj15%
Jasmin Kurtić14%
Hamza El Kaouakibi14%
Raphael Kofler13%
Raphael Odogwu13%
Kevin Vinetot12%
Andrea Giorgini12%
Matteo Rover11%
Andrea Cisco11%
Gabriel Lunetta8%
Salvatore Molina7%
Jérémie Broh6%
Giacomo Poluzzi5%
Riccardo Ciervo4%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniele Casiraghi19%
Hamza El Kaouakibi14%
Fabian Tait12%
Simone Davì9%
Riccardo Ciervo7%
Jasmin Kurtić7%
Silvio Merkaj6%
Tommaso Arrigoni6%
Nicola Rauti4%
Raphael Odogwu3%
Andrea Giorgini3%
Andrea Masiello0%
Daouda Peeters0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Emanuele Pecorino0%
Giuseppe Cuomo0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Kevin Vinetot0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Jérémie Broh0%
Filippo Scaglia0%
Matteo Rover0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Andrea Cisco0%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Raphael Kofler0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Raphael Odogwu10%
Daniele Casiraghi8%
Andrea Giorgini6%
Silvio Merkaj6%
Emanuele Pecorino4%
Riccardo Ciervo4%
Andrea Masiello0%
Daouda Peeters0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Jasmin Kurtić0%
Giuseppe Cuomo0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Fabian Tait0%
Kevin Vinetot0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Jérémie Broh0%
Filippo Scaglia0%
Matteo Rover0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Hamza El Kaouakibi0%
Tommaso Arrigoni0%
Andrea Cisco0%
Nicola Rauti0%
Simone Davì0%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Raphael Kofler0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Tutino46%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Gianluca Frabotta20%
Massimo Zilli17%
Simone Mazzocchi11%
Francesco Forte10%
Idriz Voca9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Michael Venturi7%
Manuel Marras6%
Michele Camporese5%
Valerio Crespi5%
Luigi Canotto4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Venturi50%
Tommaso D'Orazio44%
Mateusz Praszelik42%
Alessandro Fontanarosa33%
Aldo Florenzi29%
Mattia Viviani27%
Gianluca Frabotta27%
Michele Camporese26%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Federico Zuccon24%
Gennaro Tutino23%
Manuel Marras21%
Alessandro Micai19%
Giacomo Calò19%
Bright Gyamfi18%
Luigi Canotto17%
Idriz Voca15%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Baldovino Cimino12%
Pietro Martino10%
Andrea Meroni9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Valerio Crespi5%
Christian D'Urso0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian D'Urso33%
Giacomo Calò22%
Manuel Marras18%
Federico Zuccon10%
Bright Gyamfi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Gennaro Tutino9%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Andrea Rispoli8%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Baldovino Cimino6%
Idriz Voca6%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Francesco Forte3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Tutino31%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Valerio Crespi5%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Manuel Marras3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →