This opponent (Ternana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
0.93
0.87
1.40
1.73
vs Stronger (16)
0.94
1.69
0.57
1.14
1.22
2.11
vs Similar (14)
1.43
0.86
1.25
0.62
1.67
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.36+0.3%
Under 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.56-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.8%
Under 3.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
Sudtirol goals ↓
Ternana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.3%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.8%
8.2%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.2%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sudtirol goals (down), columns = Ternana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Sudtirol is 0.14 points better than Ternana in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Sudtirol is 0.11 goals better than Ternana in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Sudtirol is 0.09 goals better than Ternana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Sudtirol is 4.4 percentage points better than Ternana in terms of average possession (48% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sudtirol
For 4.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ternana
For 5.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sudtirol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
7.8
9.4
3.8
3.5
4.0
29.9
30.1
29.8
vs Stronger (10)
8.0
7.0
9.3
3.9
5.0
2.8
31.0
33.0
28.3
vs Similar (34)
8.8
7.0
10.3
3.4
2.8
3.9
29.2
28.5
29.8
vs Weaker (6)
8.5
11.3
5.7
5.5
5.0
6.0
31.2
31.3
31.0
% over line
34%
24%
44%
58%
50%
65%
91%
88%
94%
% under line
66%
76%
56%
42%
50%
35%
9%
12%
6%
This opponent (Ternana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.3
10.4
3.2
3.6
2.9
26.6
25.9
27.2
vs Stronger (30)
10.0
9.7
10.2
3.1
3.5
2.7
27.2
27.4
27.0
vs Similar (20)
10.9
11.0
10.7
3.4
3.6
3.1
25.6
24.1
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
50%
65%
50%
54%
46%
80%
78%
82%
% under line
43%
50%
35%
50%
46%
54%
20%
22%
18%
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Venezia
10.5
Parma
10.4
Ternana
10.3
Palermo
10.1
Brescia
9.9
Cremonese
9.9
Bari
9.8
Modena
9.8
Spezia
9.7
FeralpiSalo
9.6
Lecco
9.6
Cosenza
9.5
Reggiana
9.4
Pisa
9.4
Como
9.4
Ascoli
9.4
Catanzaro
9.2
Cittadella
8.8
Sampdoria
8.7
Sudtirol
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.4
Pisa
6.2
Modena
5.8
Spezia
5.7
Sampdoria
5.7
Bari
5.6
Cittadella
5.6
Lecco
5.6
Ascoli
5.6
Sudtirol
5.4
Catanzaro
5.4
Parma
5.3
Reggiana
5.3
Cremonese
5.2
Palermo
5.1
Como
5.1
FeralpiSalo
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Venezia
4.9
Ternana
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ascoli
32.2
Cittadella
32.2
Sampdoria
30.3
Sudtirol
29.9
Reggiana
29.9
Spezia
29.8
Bari
29.4
Como
29.1
Catanzaro
28.9
Modena
28.9
Palermo
28.9
Pisa
28.8
Brescia
28.5
Lecco
27.9
Cremonese
27.4
Cosenza
27.4
Ternana
27.0
FeralpiSalo
26.9
Parma
26.8
Venezia
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.3%
Under 3.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.8%
Under 21.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sudtirol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.40
0.20
0.27
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.86
0.00
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.32
0.38
0.25
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.33
0.40
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (16)
0.25
0.81
0.00
0.71
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.43
0.62
0.12
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sudtirol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.25
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.74
0.88
0.50
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.33
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ternana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.60
0.47
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
0.88
0.57
0.43
0.78
1.22
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.43
0.62
0.50
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sudtirol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sudtirol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sudtirol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sudtirol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniele Casiraghi36%
Raphael Odogwu26%
Emanuele Pecorino15%
Hamza El Kaouakibi14%
Silvio Merkaj12%
Fabian Tait12%
Riccardo Ciervo7%
Jasmin Kurtić7%
Salvatore Molina7%
Kevin Vinetot6%
Andrea Masiello6%
Nicola Rauti4%
Daouda Peeters0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Giuseppe Cuomo0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Jérémie Broh0%
Filippo Scaglia0%
Matteo Rover0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Tommaso Arrigoni0%
Andrea Cisco0%
Simone Davì0%
Andrea Giorgini0%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Raphael Kofler0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tommaso Arrigoni41%
Luca Ghiringhelli40%
Simone Davì31%
Andrea Masiello26%
Daouda Peeters21%
Fabian Tait21%
Alessandro Mallamo20%
Giuseppe Cuomo20%
Filippo Scaglia20%
Daniele Casiraghi19%
Andrea Cagnano18%
Nicola Rauti17%
Emanuele Pecorino15%
Silvio Merkaj15%
Jasmin Kurtić14%
Hamza El Kaouakibi14%
Raphael Kofler13%
Raphael Odogwu13%
Kevin Vinetot12%
Andrea Giorgini12%
Matteo Rover11%
Andrea Cisco11%
Gabriel Lunetta8%
Salvatore Molina7%
Jérémie Broh6%
Giacomo Poluzzi5%
Riccardo Ciervo4%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniele Casiraghi19%
Hamza El Kaouakibi14%
Fabian Tait12%
Simone Davì9%
Riccardo Ciervo7%
Jasmin Kurtić7%
Silvio Merkaj6%
Tommaso Arrigoni6%
Nicola Rauti4%
Raphael Odogwu3%
Andrea Giorgini3%
Andrea Masiello0%
Daouda Peeters0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Emanuele Pecorino0%
Giuseppe Cuomo0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Kevin Vinetot0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Jérémie Broh0%
Filippo Scaglia0%
Matteo Rover0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Andrea Cisco0%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Raphael Kofler0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Raphael Odogwu10%
Daniele Casiraghi8%
Andrea Giorgini6%
Silvio Merkaj6%
Emanuele Pecorino4%
Riccardo Ciervo4%
Andrea Masiello0%
Daouda Peeters0%
Luca Ghiringhelli0%
Alessandro Mallamo0%
Giacomo Poluzzi0%
Jasmin Kurtić0%
Giuseppe Cuomo0%
Salvatore Molina0%
Fabian Tait0%
Kevin Vinetot0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Jérémie Broh0%
Filippo Scaglia0%
Matteo Rover0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Hamza El Kaouakibi0%
Tommaso Arrigoni0%
Andrea Cisco0%
Nicola Rauti0%
Simone Davì0%
Lorenzo Lonardi0%
Raphael Kofler0%
Ternana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gastón Pereiro30%
Filippo Distefano21%
Antonio Raimondo18%
Salim Diakite16%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Filippo Sgarbi11%
Tiago Casasola11%
Gregorio Luperini8%
Lorenzo Lucchesi7%
Alessandro Celli6%
César Falletti5%
Franco Carboni5%
Andrea Favilli4%
Federico Dionisi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Łabojko35%
César Falletti32%
Salim Diakite32%
Gabriele Boloca29%
Lorenzo Lucchesi26%
Gastón Pereiro25%
Kees de Boer24%
Filippo Sgarbi22%
Gregorio Luperini22%
Lorenzo Amatucci22%
Federico Viviani20%
Iulius Marginean20%
Franco Carboni19%
Alessandro Celli19%
Federico Dionisi17%
Tommaso Vitali17%
Tiago Casasola13%
Andrea Favilli13%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Antony Iannarilli12%
Niklas Pyyhtiä10%
Antonio Raimondo10%
Costantino Favasuli10%
Filippo Distefano9%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Marco Capuano8%
Christian Dalle Mura7%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
César Falletti16%
Kees de Boer12%
Lorenzo Amatucci11%
Salim Diakite11%
Gastón Pereiro10%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Tiago Casasola8%
Valerio Mantovani7%
Filippo Distefano6%
Gregorio Luperini6%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Jakub Łabojko4%
Lorenzo Lucchesi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Costantino Favasuli3%
Antonio Raimondo2%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Franco Carboni0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Raimondo25%
Gastón Pereiro20%
César Falletti16%
Filippo Distefano12%
Gregorio Luperini11%
Andrea Favilli9%
Salim Diakite5%
Franco Carboni5%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Tiago Casasola0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Cosenza
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco