Suduroy is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 71% chance of securing a home win. The model's high rating for Suduroy is partly due to NSII's weakness at home, as evident from their recent form. NSII has struggled away from home, scoring an average of 1.36 goals and conceding 2.91 goals per match against stronger opponents.
In terms of probabilities, Suduroy has a 71% chance of winning at home, a 15% chance of drawing, and a 14% chance of losing to NSII. The expected total number of goals is 4.8, with the most likely outcome being a match with 6 or more goals.
The most likely scoreline is 3-1 in favour of Suduroy, with a probability of 7.4%. At home, Suduroy has a strong scoring record, averaging 2.33 goals per match, and a relatively low conceding average of 2.17 goals. NSII, on the other hand, has struggled to score away from home, averaging 1.36 goals per match against stronger opponents.
The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 (95.6%), Over 2.5 (85.8%), BTTS Yes (75.9%), Home win (70.8%), and Over 3.5 (70.6%). Suduroy has a 71% chance of winning, a 15% chance of drawing, and a 14% chance of losing to NSII.
Results analysis
Suduroy’s 2-game winning run continued as they beat NSÍ II 4-0, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 71 % probability and proved correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8 %) hit, Home over 0.5 goals (96.2 %) hit, Over 1.5 (95.7 %) hit, Home +2 handicap (93.8 %) hit, Away under 1.5 HT goals (93.4 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (93.0 %) hit, and Away under 1.5 2H goals (92.3 %) hit. The final score of 4-0 matched the model’s most likely 3-1 or 4-1 outcome, and the 6+ total goal prediction also materialised.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Suduroy win✓ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II win✗ Miss
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Suduroy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
2.27
1.53
2.87
1.20
1.67
vs Stronger (22)
1.05
2.64
1.18
3.27
0.91
2.00
vs Similar (8)
2.25
1.25
2.50
1.75
2.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
2.53
1.31
2.50
2.36
2.57
vs Stronger (22)
1.45
2.95
1.18
3.00
1.73
2.91
vs Similar (8)
2.75
1.38
1.60
1.40
4.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (35%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
95.7%
Under 1.5
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
85.8%
Under 2.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.6%
Under 3.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
75.8%
No
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.0%
3-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-2
4.6%
1-1
4.6%
Suduroy goals ↓
NSÍ II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.2%
0.9%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
1
2.3%
4.6%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
2
4.4%
6.8%
5.2%
2.7%
1.0%
3
4.8%
7.4%
5.7%
2.9%
1.1%
4
3.9%
6.0%
4.6%
2.4%
0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suduroy goals (down), columns = NSÍ II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
Suduroy is 1.95 points better than NSÍ II in terms of average points per game (2.38 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
Suduroy is 2.02 goals better than NSÍ II in terms of goals scored per game (2.88 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
Suduroy is 3.09 goals better than NSÍ II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.62 vs 3.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Suduroy or Draw✓ Hit
85.8%
Avg Implied -
71%
15%
14%
covers Suduroy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suduroy or NSÍ II✓ Hit
85.1%
Avg Implied -
71%
15%
14%
covers Suduroy + NSÍ II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or NSÍ II✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
71%
15%
14%
covers Draw + NSÍ II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Suduroy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.2%
Under
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
83.8%
Under
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
41.3%
Under
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.4%
Under
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
Under
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Suduroy, so a minus line means Suduroy give that many goals of a start and NSÍ II receive them. At -1, Suduroy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Suduroy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Suduroy)Actual: Suduroy
Suduroy -2
35.0%
Draw -2
18.2%
NSÍ II +2
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Suduroy)Actual: Suduroy
Suduroy -1
53.2%
Draw -1
17.7%
NSÍ II +1
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Suduroy)Actual: Suduroy
Suduroy +1
85.8%
Draw +1
8.1%
NSÍ II -1
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Suduroy)Actual: Suduroy
Suduroy +2
93.8%
Draw +2
4.0%
NSÍ II -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Suduroy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.00
0.40
1.27
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
1.14
0.45
1.36
0.64
0.91
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.62
0.25
1.00
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.23
0.62
1.00
1.29
1.50
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
1.45
0.64
1.09
0.82
1.82
vs Similar (8)
1.50
0.62
0.60
0.80
3.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.7%
Under 0.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.6%
Under 1.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.2%
Under 2.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
66.6%
Under
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.7%
Under
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.7%
Under
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Suduroy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.27
1.13
1.60
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (22)
0.50
1.50
0.73
1.91
0.27
1.09
vs Similar (8)
1.62
0.62
2.25
0.75
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.30
0.69
1.50
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
1.50
0.55
1.91
0.91
1.09
vs Similar (8)
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.60
1.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
86.8%
Under 0.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.8%
Under 1.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.3%
Under 2.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
24.4%
Under
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.9%
Under
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →