Suduroy’s home form has been fragile, conceding an average of 3.6 goals against stronger opposition, while scoring only 1.2. In contrast, TB’s away record shows a potent attack, netting 2.33 goals per game and keeping opponents to 1.67. The model predicts a 45% chance of an away win, 33% for a home win and 22% for a draw, with the most likely outcome being a 1-2 scoreline for TB. The expected total of 4.1 goals and a 23% probability of six or more goals underline a high-scoring affair. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (94.2%), Over 1.5 (92.3%), Away over 0.5 goals (89.0%), Under 6.5 (87.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (87.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (85.1%), Away +2 handicap (82.2%) and Away under 3.5 goals (81.8%). The model’s selection favours an away win, with TB’s recent 5-1 victory over NSÍ II and Suduroy’s 3-0 win over Hoyvík hinting at a continued offensive surge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Suduroy win
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB win
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Suduroy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.23
1.73
2.87
1.27
1.60
vs Stronger (21)
1.10
2.71
1.20
3.60
1.00
1.91
vs Similar (9)
2.44
1.11
2.80
1.40
2.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
3.27
1.40
3.13
1.27
3.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
4.57
0.71
5.00
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (8)
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.40
3.40
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.75
2.60
1.80
2.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.3%
Under 1.5
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77.8%
Under 2.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
76.4%
No
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
Suduroy goals ↓
TB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
2.9%
4.0%
2.9%
1.6%
1
2.4%
7.6%
7.6%
5.6%
3.1%
2
3.0%
6.6%
7.2%
5.3%
2.9%
3
1.9%
4.2%
4.6%
3.4%
1.9%
4
0.9%
2.0%
2.2%
1.6%
0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suduroy goals (down), columns = TB goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
Suduroy is 0.82 points better than TB in terms of average points per game (2.38 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
Suduroy is 0.54 goals better than TB in terms of goals scored per game (2.88 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
Suduroy is 1.71 goals better than TB in terms of goals conceded per game (0.62 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Suduroy or Draw
55.0%
Avg Implied -
33%
22%
45%
covers Suduroy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suduroy or TB
78.4%
Avg Implied -
33%
22%
45%
covers Suduroy + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or TB
66.6%
Avg Implied -
33%
22%
45%
covers Draw + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Suduroy over/under 0.5
Over
85.1%
Under
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5
Over
56.7%
Under
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5
Over
29.7%
Under
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 3.5
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5
Over
89.0%
Under
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5
Over
64.7%
Under
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5
Over
37.9%
Under
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Suduroy, so a minus line means Suduroy give that many goals of a start and TB receive them. At -1, Suduroy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Suduroy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Suduroy)
Suduroy -2
7.8%
Draw -2
10.0%
TB +2
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Suduroy)
Suduroy -1
17.9%
Draw -1
15.6%
TB +1
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Suduroy)
Suduroy +1
55.0%
Draw +1
18.2%
TB -1
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Suduroy)
Suduroy +2
73.2%
Draw +2
13.5%
TB -2
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Suduroy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.47
1.27
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (21)
0.62
1.14
0.50
1.50
0.73
0.82
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.56
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.67
0.47
1.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
2.00
0.29
2.57
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.25
1.80
1.40
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Suduroy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
1.27
1.60
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.57
0.70
2.10
0.27
1.09
vs Similar (9)
1.78
0.56
2.40
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.73
0.67
1.47
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
2.57
0.43
2.43
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
0.80
0.40
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
ÍF II
Hoyvík
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II