This opponent (Barrow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barrow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.00
1.07
0.71
1.50
1.25
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.56
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.80
vs Similar (20)
1.40
0.75
1.00
0.44
1.73
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.6%
@ 2.27+2.2%
Under 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.60-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
Sutton goals ↓
Barrow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
12%
9.8%
4.8%
1.8%
1
7.1%
14%
9.2%
4.5%
1.7%
2
3.9%
5.8%
4.3%
2.1%
0.8%
3
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sutton goals (down), columns = Barrow goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stockport
2.00
Wrexham
1.91
Mansfield
1.87
Milton Keynes Dons
1.70
Doncaster
1.54
Crewe
1.54
Crawley Town
1.52
Bradford
1.50
Barrow
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.41
Walsall
1.41
Gillingham
1.39
Harrogate
1.37
Notts County
1.33
Morecambe
1.33
Accrington
1.24
Tranmere
1.24
Newport County
1.20
Swindon
1.17
Salford
1.11
Grimsby
1.07
Colchester
0.98
Forest Green
0.91
Sutton
0.91
Sutton is 0.59 points worse than Barrow in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stockport
2.09
Mansfield
1.96
Notts County
1.93
Wrexham
1.93
Milton Keynes Dons
1.80
Swindon
1.67
Doncaster
1.59
Crawley Town
1.59
Walsall
1.50
Crewe
1.50
Tranmere
1.46
Morecambe
1.46
Salford
1.43
AFC Wimbledon
1.39
Accrington
1.37
Newport County
1.35
Barrow
1.35
Bradford
1.33
Harrogate
1.30
Sutton
1.28
Colchester
1.28
Grimsby
1.24
Gillingham
1.00
Forest Green
0.96
Sutton is 0.07 goals worse than Barrow in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Mansfield
1.02
Stockport
1.04
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Wrexham
1.13
Barrow
1.22
Gillingham
1.24
Bradford
1.28
Crewe
1.41
Crawley Town
1.46
Doncaster
1.48
Milton Keynes Dons
1.48
Harrogate
1.50
Tranmere
1.52
Accrington
1.54
Walsall
1.59
Grimsby
1.61
Newport County
1.65
Forest Green
1.70
Colchester
1.74
Morecambe
1.76
Salford
1.78
Swindon
1.80
Sutton
1.83
Notts County
1.87
Sutton is 0.61 goals worse than Barrow in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Notts County
65%
Milton Keynes Dons
58%
Crawley Town
57%
Stockport
57%
Swindon
55%
Mansfield
54%
Salford
52%
Bradford
51%
Crewe
50%
Gillingham
50%
Wrexham
50%
Doncaster
49%
Grimsby
49%
Colchester
49%
Accrington
48%
Harrogate
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Tranmere
47%
Forest Green
45%
Barrow
44%
Sutton
44%
Newport County
44%
Morecambe
44%
Walsall
43%
Sutton is 0.3 percentage points worse than Barrow in terms of average possession (44% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sutton
For 3.2 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Barrow
For 4.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sutton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.4
9.2
3.3
3.1
3.5
22.7
22.8
22.6
vs Stronger (44)
9.1
9.3
8.9
3.4
3.2
3.5
22.8
23.1
22.5
vs Similar (6)
11.0
10.7
11.3
3.0
2.3
3.7
22.3
20.7
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
42%
28%
56%
68%
68%
68%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
58%
72%
44%
32%
32%
32%
This opponent (Barrow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barrow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.3
9.3
4.0
3.8
4.2
22.8
24.0
21.7
vs Stronger (13)
7.8
7.8
7.8
4.0
3.8
4.1
21.2
21.6
21.0
vs Similar (35)
9.2
8.4
9.9
4.1
4.0
4.2
23.7
25.5
22.0
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
9.0
-
1.5
1.5
-
17.5
17.5
-
% over line
38%
29%
46%
58%
54%
62%
56%
58%
54%
% under line
62%
71%
54%
42%
46%
38%
44%
42%
46%
This opponent (Sutton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wrexham
11.5
Tranmere
11.1
Crewe
11.0
Forest Green
10.7
Harrogate
10.6
Colchester
10.4
Grimsby
10.4
Morecambe
10.3
Notts County
10.0
Milton Keynes Dons
10.0
Crawley Town
10.0
Bradford
10.0
Swindon
10.0
Mansfield
9.9
Accrington
9.9
Doncaster
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Salford
9.6
Walsall
9.6
Stockport
9.6
Sutton
9.3
AFC Wimbledon
9.3
Gillingham
8.8
Barrow
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Colchester
4.5
Crawley Town
4.5
Bradford
4.4
AFC Wimbledon
4.3
Swindon
4.3
Accrington
4.2
Notts County
4.2
Milton Keynes Dons
4.1
Forest Green
4.1
Salford
4.1
Walsall
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Mansfield
3.8
Crewe
3.8
Gillingham
3.8
Tranmere
3.8
Morecambe
3.7
Newport County
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
Grimsby
3.4
Stockport
3.4
Sutton
3.3
Harrogate
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Accrington
25.1
AFC Wimbledon
23.8
Barrow
22.8
Sutton
22.7
Crewe
22.6
Milton Keynes Dons
22.3
Stockport
22.3
Salford
22.2
Bradford
22.2
Gillingham
21.9
Crawley Town
21.9
Walsall
21.8
Newport County
21.8
Swindon
21.8
Grimsby
21.6
Colchester
21.1
Mansfield
21.1
Forest Green
20.9
Doncaster
20.3
Morecambe
20.2
Tranmere
20.2
Wrexham
19.9
Harrogate
19.9
Notts County
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
34.0%
Under 9.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
36.2%
Under 21.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sutton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.75
0.56
0.43
1.21
vs Stronger (26)
0.58
0.85
0.77
0.54
0.38
1.15
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barrow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.36
0.43
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.11
0.50
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.30
0.33
0.11
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sutton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barrow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barrow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barrow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sutton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.30
0.44
0.88
0.50
1.79
vs Stronger (26)
0.50
1.31
0.46
0.85
0.54
1.77
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.25
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barrow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.71
0.29
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.25
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.45
0.67
0.33
1.09
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sutton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barrow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barrow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barrow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Barrow · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Gordon26%
Isaac Fletcher23%
Danny Rose19%
Charlie McCann15%
Lewis Shipley12%
Ben Whitfield11%
Tyler Walker9%
Jovan Malcolm8%
Niall Canavan7%
Rekeem Harper6%
Scott Smith3%
Jack Earing3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Connor Mahoney3%
Elliot Newby2%
Ben Jackson2%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Kane Hemmings0%
Regan Booty0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
MJ Williams0%
Innes Cameron0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Joseph Anderson0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Freddie Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Freddie Anderson50%
Scott Smith33%
Josh Gordon32%
Jack Thompson30%
Niall Canavan21%
Joseph Anderson21%
Danny Rose19%
Regan Booty18%
Charlie McCann18%
MJ Williams16%
Angus MacDonald15%
Rekeem Harper15%
Kane Hemmings14%
Isaac Fletcher13%
Lewis Shipley12%
Charlie Raglan11%
Elliot Newby10%
Ben Jackson9%
Tom Barkhuizen9%
Wyll Stanway7%
Tyler Walker5%
Ben Whitfield4%
Connor Mahoney3%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Jack Earing0%
Innes Cameron0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Brandon Powell0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ben Whitfield11%
Tom Barkhuizen9%
Angus MacDonald8%
Kane Hemmings7%
Niall Canavan7%
Joseph Anderson7%
Jack Earing6%
Isaac Fletcher6%
Connor Mahoney5%
Elliot Newby5%
Danny Rose5%
MJ Williams4%
Rekeem Harper3%
Charlie McCann3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Tyler Walker0%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Regan Booty0%
Josh Gordon0%
Innes Cameron0%
Ben Jackson0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Scott Smith0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Lewis Shipley0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Freddie Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Freddie Anderson25%
Josh Gordon16%
Isaac Fletcher10%
Charlie McCann9%
Danny Rose5%
MJ Williams4%
Scott Smith3%
Rekeem Harper3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Connor Mahoney3%
Tyler Walker0%
Sam Foley0%
Ben Whitfield0%
David Worrall0%
Kane Hemmings0%
Regan Booty0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Jack Earing0%
Niall Canavan0%
Elliot Newby0%
Innes Cameron0%
Ben Jackson0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Joseph Anderson0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Lewis Shipley0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (32)
€77m
MKD (24)
€15m
STO (25)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BRA (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
CT (19)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Sutton's squad is €2m less valuable than Barrow's (€0m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€15m
MKD (8)
€5m
STO (8)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Sutton and Barrow have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
MKD (6)
€7m
MAN (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
Sutton and Barrow have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
STO (11)
€4m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Sutton and Barrow have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stockport
Wrexham
Mansfield
Milton Keynes Dons
Doncaster
Crewe
Crawley Town
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
Walsall
Gillingham
Harrogate
Notts County
Morecambe
Tranmere
Accrington
Newport County
Swindon
Salford
Grimsby
Colchester
Forest Green