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Sutton vs Wealdstone Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
Sutton
Sutton
Vs
41%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wealdstone
Wealdstone
England: National League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The clash between Sutton and Wealdstone is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The predicted probabilities are 41% for Sutton to win, 26% for a draw and 32% for Wealdstone. The average number of goals expected is 3.0, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 23% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.2% probability. Sutton, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages one goal scored and 1.57 conceded. Wealdstone, on the road, scores 0.92 and concedes 1.92 against comparable opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.5% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (96.5% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.5% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.8% with a 3% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (91.9% with a 4% edge). Sutton’s recent four-game winning streak and Wealdstone’s draw-laden run add to the intrigue.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Wealdstone overturned Sutton’s home advantage, finishing 0-2 to win the match. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 41% probability but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0%, Under 6.5 at 96.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.5%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 91.9%. Sutton’s recent form shows a string of wins after a defeat, while Wealdstone’s last five include a win and a loss, yet the away side prevailed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutton win✗ Miss
41.4%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.89
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Dafabet
1.93
SBO
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.58
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.83
Betano
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Dafabet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Wealdstone win✓ Hit
32.3%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.57
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.64
William Hil
3.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SuttonSutton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L22D03L03L12L01L30W10W21W10WH·ROC28/03A·ALD03/04H·SOU06/04A·CAR11/04H·ALT18/04A·BOR25/04A·WOK08/08H·ALT15/08H·HAR22/08A·GAT28/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.401.001.531.271.27
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.181.431.001.571.361.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wealdstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WealdstoneWealdstone

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-770W15L30W12L11D11D12L22D13L11DH·HAR31/03A·BOR03/04H·ALD06/04A·ROC11/04H·BOS14/04H·SCU18/04A·SOU25/04A·FYL08/08H·HAR15/08H·CAR28/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.931.931.570.942.25
vs Stronger (4)0.753.750.004.001.003.67
vs Similar (26)1.501.652.081.380.921.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.5%
@ 1.21+5.2%
Under 1.5
18.5%
@ 3.90-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.71+3.6%
Under 2.5
41.8%
@ 2.05-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
SBO
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.8%
@ 2.75+2.2%
Under 3.5
64.2%
@ 1.39-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.6%
@ 1.62+4.9%
No
38.4%
@ 2.13-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
No
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.12

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.45+5.5%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.38+3.1%
1-2
7.8%@ 10.93+3.8%
1-0
6.8%@ 7.44+1.0%
2-0
6.3%@ 9.01+1.6%
2-2
6.3%@ 11.73+2.6%
0-0
6.0%@ 11.33+2.2%
0-1
5.7%@ 10.98+1.8%
Sutton goals ↓
Wealdstone goals →
01234
06.0%5.7%4.8%2.3%0.8%
16.8%12%7.8%3.7%1.3%
26.3%8.9%6.3%2.9%1.0%
33.4%4.8%3.4%1.6%0.6%
41.4%1.9%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sutton goals (down), columns = Wealdstone goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Sutton is 0.20 points worse than Wealdstone in terms of average points per game (1.02 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Sutton is 0.20 goals worse than Wealdstone in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.48).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Sutton is 0.07 goals worse than Wealdstone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Sutton is 2.5 percentage points worse than Wealdstone in terms of average possession (54% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sutton or Draw✗ Miss
67.7%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.23
Edge
-7.0%
41%
26%
32%
covers Sutton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Sutton or Wealdstone✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.23
Edge
-1.0%
41%
26%
32%
covers Sutton + Wealdstone
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Wealdstone✓ Hit
58.6%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.82
Edge
+8.0%
41%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Wealdstone
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.85
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Betfair
1.83

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sutton over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.1%
@ 1.15-0.3%
Under
19.9%
@ 4.74+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Sutton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.0%
@ 1.81-2.9%
Under
52.0%
@ 1.88+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Sutton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.0%
@ 3.56-4.0%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.25+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Sutton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 7.68-4.1%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.06+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.90
1xBet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Wealdstone over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.5%
@ 1.37+7.9%
Under
24.5%
@ 2.85-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Superbet
2.95
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.80
Wealdstone over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.1%
@ 2.75+7.5%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.39-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.77
Under
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Wealdstone over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 6.81+3.2%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.07-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Wealdstone over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 16.00-0.5%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.01+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Sutton, so a minus line means Sutton give that many goals of a start and Wealdstone receive them. At -1, Sutton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sutton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sutton)Actual: Wealdstone
Sutton -2
8.8%
@ 6.88-4.2%
Draw -2
12.7%
@ 5.42-3.7%
Wealdstone +2
78.4%
@ 1.27+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Superbet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Superbet
5.25
Away
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (Sutton)Actual: Wealdstone
Sutton -1
21.6%
@ 3.26-5.3%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 3.63-4.4%
Wealdstone +1
58.6%
@ 1.79+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (Sutton)Actual: Wealdstone
Sutton +1
67.7%
@ 1.25-2.8%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 5.04-0.3%
Wealdstone -1
15.2%
@ 7.24+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.20
Away
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
6.90
Unibet
5.50
Handicap +2 (Sutton)Actual: Draw
Sutton +2
84.8%
@ 1.07-1.6%
Draw +2
9.7%
@ 10.37+0.8%
Wealdstone -2
5.5%
@ 19.33+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Superbet
9.10
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
16.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SuttonSutton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D03L10W01L10W10W21W00DH·ROC28/03A·ALD03/04H·SOU06/04A·CAR11/04H·ALT18/04A·BOR25/04A·WOK08/08H·ALT15/08H·HAR22/08A·GAT28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.530.670.330.67
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.680.570.710.360.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wealdstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WealdstoneWealdstone

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W02L10W00D00D00D12L00D11D01LH·HAR31/03A·BOR03/04H·ALD06/04A·ROC11/04H·BOS14/04H·SCU18/04A·SOU25/04A·FYL08/08H·HAR15/08H·CAR28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.860.640.311.19
vs Stronger (4)0.001.750.002.000.001.67
vs Similar (26)0.650.810.920.540.381.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.2%
@ 1.32+0.7%
Under 0.5
28.8%
@ 3.14-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.27
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.1%
@ 2.49+1.0%
Under 1.5
61.9%
@ 1.46-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 6.12-0.2%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.09+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.95
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sutton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.8%
@ 1.74-4.3%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.97+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Under
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Sutton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.7%
@ 4.66-0.0%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.15+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
Betano
4.65
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Sutton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 12.12-3.8%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Wealdstone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 2.25+2.5%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.56-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.32
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.54
Wealdstone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 7.50-2.3%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.05+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
7.20
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Wealdstone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 26.00-98.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SuttonSutton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W03L00D02L00D20W00D00D10WH·ROC28/03A·ALD03/04H·SOU06/04A·CAR11/04H·ALT18/04A·BOR25/04A·WOK08/08H·ALT15/08H·HAR22/08A·GAT28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.470.870.930.60
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.710.750.430.861.000.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Wealdstone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WealdstoneWealdstone

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W13L20W12L11D11D00D22D02L10WH·HAR31/03A·BOR03/04H·ALD06/04A·ROC11/04H·BOS14/04H·SCU18/04A·SOU25/04A·FYL08/08H·HAR15/08H·CAR28/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.001.070.930.621.06
vs Stronger (4)0.752.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.850.851.150.850.540.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.19+2.6%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 4.20-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.9%
@ 1.92-0.3%
Under 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.78+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.8%
@ 3.89-3.9%
Under 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.21+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sutton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.5%
@ 1.52-5.6%
Under
44.5%
@ 2.40+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.45
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.37
Sutton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 3.41-7.6%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.26+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Sutton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 8.73-5.2%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.04+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
8.90
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Wealdstone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.7%
@ 1.90+3.0%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.81-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.75
Wealdstone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 5.47+0.8%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.11-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.35
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Wealdstone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 14.00-3.1%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.5%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-+1.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
---+3.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.0%1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.6%1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
--+5.2%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.5%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
--+0.5%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals91.9%1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
+4.1%✓ Hit
Under 5.591.4%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+1.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.9%1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-+2.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals85.1%1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+0.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.8%1.07
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
---1.6%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals83.2%1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
-3.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.3%1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
--0.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.581.5%1.21
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 4.581.2%1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-0.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.6%1.26
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-+7.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.5%1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
+2.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals80.3%1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-+0.0%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.2%--------
Under 2.5 2H goals80.2%1.21
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+3.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals80.1%1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
-0.3%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap78.4%1.27
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.22
-+7.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals78.0%1.25
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
+4.0%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals75.5%1.37
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
+7.9%✓ Hit
Home or Away73.7%1.23
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-1.0%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.7%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals71.2%1.32
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
+0.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Sutton and Wealdstone have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Sutton and Wealdstone have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Sutton and Wealdstone have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
SUT wins
2
Draws
1
WEA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sutton vs Wealdstone · H/A from SUT
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26HSUT Vs Wealdstone3-0
25/10/25AWealdstone Vs SUT4-2
15/01/25HSUT Vs Wealdstone2-2
20/08/24AWealdstone Vs SUT0-1
20/02/21HSUT Vs Wealdstone4-1
21/11/20AWealdstone Vs SUT3-3

SuttonSutton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AGateshead Vs SUT0-1
22/08/26HSUT Vs Hartlepool2-1
15/08/26HSUT Vs Altrincham1-0
08/08/26AWoking Vs SUT0-3
25/04/26ABoreham Wood Vs SUT1-0
18/04/26HSUT Vs Altrincham1-2
11/04/26ACarlisle Vs SUT3-0
06/04/26HSUT Vs Southend0-3
03/04/26AAldershot Vs SUT2-2
28/03/26HSUT Vs Rochdale1-2

WealdstoneWealdstone

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HWEA Vs Carlisle1-1
15/08/26HWEA Vs Harrogate1-3
08/08/26AFylde Vs WEA2-2
25/04/26ASouthend Vs WEA2-1
18/04/26HWEA Vs Scunthorpe1-1
14/04/26HWEA Vs Boston Utd1-1
11/04/26ARochdale Vs WEA2-1
06/04/26HWEA Vs Aldershot3-0
03/04/26ABoreham Wood Vs WEA5-1
31/03/26HWEA Vs Hartlepool7-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sutton
Sutton
England: National League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.26
HomeLLLWW1.35
AwayDLLWW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%29%
AVG goals2.963.152.75
Over 1.5 %80%92%67%
Over 2.5 %60%69%50%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.401.501.29
Conceded1.561.651.46
BTTS62%73%50%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners17.0017.00-
Cards4.795.414.14
Wealdstone
Wealdstone
England: National League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.16
HomeWDDLD1.60
AwayLLLLD0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals3.203.243.16
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.481.841.12
Conceded1.721.402.04
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners---
Cards3.703.713.70

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde		510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster		48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches