Tamworth vs Aldershot Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2024

Time: 15:00

Final 3-2

Tamworth

Aldershot

England: National League

Referee: R Eley

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tamworth win

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Aldershot win

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tamworth

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	1.25	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (4)	0.50	1.25	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	0% (-26pp vs league)

This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aldershot

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.63	1.83	1.73	1.47	1.53	2.20
vs Stronger (19)	1.68	2.11	1.90	1.60	1.44	2.67
vs Similar (11)	1.55	1.36	1.40	1.20	1.67	1.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-3pp vs league)

This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

0.0%

Under 3.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Barnet

2.22

York

2.09

Forest Green

1.80

Rochdale

1.61

Oldham

1.59

Halifax

1.52

Southend

1.48

Gateshead

1.46

Tamworth

1.39

Altrincham

1.39

Sutton

1.30

Hartlepool

1.30

Eastleigh

1.28

Solihull

1.26

Woking

1.26

Aldershot

1.24

Braintree Town

1.22

Yeovil

1.22

Boston Utd

1.20

Wealdstone

1.15

Dag and Red

1.13

Maidenhead

1.13

Fylde

0.87

Ebbsfleet

0.48

Tamworth is 0.15 points better than Aldershot in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Barnet

2.11

York

2.07

Gateshead

1.65

Forest Green

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Rochdale

1.50

Altrincham

1.48

Tamworth

1.41

Oldham

1.39

Dag and Red

1.33

Solihull

1.33

Sutton

1.28

Southend

1.28

Hartlepool

1.28

Eastleigh

1.26

Maidenhead

1.24

Wealdstone

1.22

Boston Utd

1.17

Woking

1.13

Braintree Town

1.11

Yeovil

1.11

Halifax

1.09

Fylde

1.09

Ebbsfleet

0.83

Tamworth is 0.09 goals worse than Aldershot in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Barnet

0.83

Forest Green

0.91

York

0.91

Rochdale

0.96

Halifax

1.00

Oldham

1.04

Southend

1.04

Braintree Town

1.28

Woking

1.28

Yeovil

1.30

Eastleigh

1.33

Dag and Red

1.35

Altrincham

1.35

Hartlepool

1.35

Sutton

1.39

Boston Utd

1.46

Solihull

1.46

Gateshead

1.48

Tamworth

1.57

Maidenhead

1.63

Wealdstone

1.65

Aldershot

1.80

Fylde

1.85

Ebbsfleet

2.13

Tamworth is 0.24 goals better than Aldershot in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

York

63%

Barnet

62%

Gateshead

60%

Rochdale

55%

Southend

53%

Altrincham

51%

Oldham

51%

Aldershot

51%

Woking

50%

Forest Green

50%

Solihull

50%

Yeovil

49%

Sutton

49%

Wealdstone

49%

Halifax

49%

Fylde

46%

Eastleigh

46%

Hartlepool

45%

Braintree Town

45%

Ebbsfleet

44%

Maidenhead

41%

Tamworth

40%

Tamworth is 10.9 percentage points worse than Aldershot in terms of average possession (40% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tamworth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.2

Avg scored

0.0

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.00	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (4)	0.00	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	75% (+49pp vs league)

This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aldershot

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.80	0.83	0.80	0.73	0.80	0.93
vs Stronger (19)	0.84	0.95	1.00	0.80	0.67	1.11
vs Similar (11)	0.73	0.64	0.40	0.60	1.00	0.67
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Tamworth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Tamworth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Tamworth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tamworth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (4)	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	25% (-1pp vs league)

This opponent (Aldershot) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aldershot

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	1.00	0.93	0.73	0.73	1.27
vs Stronger (19)	0.84	1.16	0.90	0.80	0.78	1.56
vs Similar (11)	0.82	0.73	1.00	0.60	0.67	0.83
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+14pp vs league)

This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Tamworth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Tamworth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Tamworth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 5.5 cards	88.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards	77.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (15)

€4m

OLD (21)

€3m

ROC (10)

€2m

YOR (8)

€1m

FG (4)

€1m

BU (6)

€1m

EAS (5)

€1m

SOU (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€1m

SOL (3)

€0m

ALT (5)

€0m

ALD (4)

€0m

BT (4)

€0m

WOK (3)

€0m

YEO (3)

€0m

TAM (4)

€0m

WEA (2)

€0m

HAL (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

Tamworth and Aldershot have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OLD (7)

€1m

ROC (3)

€1m

BAR (2)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

YOR (2)

€0m

ALD (3)

€0m

ALT (3)

€0m

SOL (2)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

BT (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

WOK (1)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

Tamworth and Aldershot have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OLD (7)

€1m

BAR (4)

€1m

ROC (3)

€1m

YOR (2)

€0m

SOU (2)

€0m

BU (2)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

FG (0)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

ALD (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

BT (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

WOK (0)

€0m

Tamworth and Aldershot have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (9)

€3m

OLD (7)

€1m

ROC (4)

€1m

YOR (4)

€1m

BU (3)

€0m

EAS (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

BT (3)

€0m

WOK (2)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

ALD (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

TAM (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

Tamworth and Aldershot have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

TAM wins

Draws

ALD wins

Head-to-head

Tamworth vs Aldershot · H/A from TAM

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Tamworth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/24	A	Boston Utd Vs TAM	1-1
20/08/24	H	TAM Vs Hartlepool	0-1
17/08/24	A	York Vs TAM	2-0
10/08/24	H	TAM Vs Sutton	1-1

Aldershot

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/24	H	ALD Vs Oldham	4-1
20/08/24	A	Braintree Town Vs ALD	2-1
17/08/24	A	Halifax Vs ALD	0-1
10/08/24	H	ALD Vs Forest Green	3-3
20/04/24	A	Dag and Red Vs ALD	3-3
17/04/24	A	Gateshead Vs ALD	0-1
13/04/24	H	ALD Vs Boreham Wood	0-3
06/04/24	A	Hartlepool Vs ALD	2-0
01/04/24	H	ALD Vs Dorking	1-1
29/03/24	A	Maidenhead Vs ALD	4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tamworth

England: National League

Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLD	0.50
Home	DL	0.50
Away	LD	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG goals	1.75	1.50	2.00
Over 1.5 %	75%	50%	100%
Over 2.5 %	0%	0%	0%
Over 3.5 %	0%	0%	0%
Scored	0.50	0.50	0.50
Conceded	1.25	1.00	1.50
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheet	0%	0%	0%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	6.50	5.50	7.50

Aldershot

England: National League

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DDWLW	1.52
Home	DDLDW	1.88
Away	LWDWL	1.16

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	52%	36%
AVG goals	3.44	3.48	3.40
Over 1.5 %	84%	84%	84%
Over 2.5 %	62%	52%	72%
Over 3.5 %	40%	44%	36%
Scored	1.66	2.00	1.32
Conceded	1.78	1.48	2.08
BTTS	66%	68%	64%
Clean Sheet	20%	24%	16%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	4.52	4.60	4.44

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Barnet	46	102	67%	2.2	97	38	+59	2.9	78%	61%	35%	-	0%	4.0	61%	-	0%	4	0	1	3	2.1	0.8	62%
2	York	46	96	63%	2.1	95	42	+53	3.0	87%	57%	30%	-	0%	4.0	57%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	2.1	0.9	63%
3	Forest Green	46	83	48%	1.8	69	42	+27	2.4	76%	43%	20%	-	0%	3.4	41%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.5	0.9	50%
4	Rochdale	46	74	46%	1.6	69	44	+25	2.5	67%	48%	26%	-	0%	2.8	30%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	1.5	1.0	55%
5	Oldham	46	73	41%	1.6	64	48	+16	2.4	74%	43%	26%	-	0%	4.0	59%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.4	1.0	51%
6	Halifax	46	70	41%	1.5	50	46	+4	2.1	59%	35%	17%	-	0%	4.0	54%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.0	49%
7	Southend	46	68	37%	1.5	59	48	+11	2.3	74%	43%	24%	-	0%	3.5	46%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.3	1.0	53%
8	Gateshead	46	67	41%	1.5	76	68	+8	3.1	80%	57%	46%	-	0%	3.9	59%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.7	1.5	60%
9	Altrincham	46	64	37%	1.4	68	62	+6	2.8	78%	63%	26%	-	0%	4.3	70%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.3	51%
10	Tamworth	46	64	37%	1.4	65	72	-7	3.0	87%	54%	30%	-	0%	4.8	65%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.6	40%
11	Hartlepool	46	60	30%	1.3	59	62	-3	2.6	70%	41%	24%	-	0%	4.2	59%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.3	1.3	45%
12	Sutton	46	60	33%	1.3	59	64	-5	2.7	74%	52%	24%	-	0%	4.6	65%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.4	49%
13	Eastleigh	46	59	30%	1.3	58	61	-3	2.6	78%	46%	26%	-	0%	4.5	65%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.3	1.3	46%
14	Solihull	46	58	35%	1.3	61	67	-6	2.8	72%	46%	26%	-	0%	4.4	65%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.5	50%
15	Woking	46	58	28%	1.3	52	59	-7	2.4	74%	46%	24%	-	0%	4.5	70%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.3	50%
16	Aldershot	46	57	30%	1.2	69	83	-14	3.3	85%	63%	43%	-	0%	4.3	63%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.8	51%
17	Braintree Town	46	56	33%	1.2	51	59	-8	2.4	63%	46%	26%	-	0%	4.4	65%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.3	45%
18	Yeovil	46	56	33%	1.2	51	60	-9	2.4	65%	50%	24%	-	0%	4.0	59%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.3	49%
19	Boston Utd	46	55	33%	1.2	54	67	-13	2.6	76%	59%	28%	-	0%	4.1	54%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.2	1.5	-
20	Wealdstone	46	53	28%	1.2	56	76	-20	2.9	80%	52%	33%	-	0%	3.9	61%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.7	49%
21	DA Dag and Red	46	52	26%	1.1	61	62	-1	2.7	76%	43%	24%	-	0%	3.5	48%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.3	-
22	M Maidenhead	46	52	30%	1.1	57	75	-18	2.9	76%	50%	39%	-	0%	3.3	43%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.6	41%
23	F Fylde	46	40	24%	0.9	50	85	-35	2.9	83%	57%	26%	-	0%	4.2	59%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.8	46%
24	E Ebbsfleet	46	22	7%	0.5	38	98	-60	3.0	76%	54%	43%	-	0%	3.8	52%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	2.1	44%

England: National League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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Tamworth vs Aldershot Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tamworth

Aldershot

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tamworth

Aldershot

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tamworth

Aldershot

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Tamworth

Aldershot

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

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