PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Tamworth vs Boston Utd Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Tamworth
Tamworth
Vs
38%
27%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Boston Utd
Boston Utd
England: National League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Tamworth and Boston United is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 38% for a Tamworth victory, 27% for a draw, and 35% for a Boston United win. The match is expected to see an average of 3.0 goals, but the most likely total is 2 goals, a 24% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability.

Tamworth, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Boston United, on the road, averages 1.92 goals scored and 1.54 conceded against similar opposition. Recent form shows Tamworth struggling after three straight defeats, while Boston United has just come off a loss.

The model’s selections include: Under 7.5 (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%, edge 6%), Under 6.5 (96.7%, edge 3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6%, edge 6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.4%, edge 5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.2%, edge 4%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.8%, edge 3%), and Home under 3.5 goals (93.0%, edge 3%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tamworth win
38.1%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.10
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Dafabet
2.12
Draw
26.5%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.53
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.65
Betano
3.65
Pinnacle
3.63
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Boston Utd win
35.4%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 2.96
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.08
Dafabet
3.05
Betano
3.05
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TamworthTamworth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W22D01L11D51W33D12L14L23LA·BRA28/03H·SOL03/04A·HAL06/04H·YOR11/04A·EAS18/04H·BRA25/04A·BOR08/08H·FYL15/08A·HAL22/08A·YEO31/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.771.791.071.252.38
vs Stronger (3)2.332.332.002.003.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.411.701.750.921.132.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Boston Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Boston UtdBoston Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W11D30W31W01L20W10W12LH·YOR03/04A·BRA06/04H·TRU11/04A·WEA14/04A·SOL18/04H·HAR25/04H·ALD08/08A·SOL15/08H·ALT22/08A·BOR27/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.331.201.131.871.53
vs Stronger (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
vs Similar (28)1.541.321.201.131.921.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.2%
@ 1.16+1.4%
Under 1.5
18.8%
@ 4.57-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Pinnacle
4.72
1xBet
4.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.59-0.9%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.25+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.3%
@ 2.42-2.9%
Under 3.5
64.7%
@ 1.49+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.47
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
61.5%
@ 1.50+0.0%
No
38.5%
@ 2.38-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.49
No
BetVictor
2.45
1xBet
2.42
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.61+5.7%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.00+3.1%
1-2
8.2%@ 9.62+3.7%
1-0
6.5%@ 9.43+1.9%
2-2
6.3%@ 10.43+2.1%
0-1
6.2%@ 11.23+2.3%
0-0
6.1%@ 13.29+2.8%
2-0
5.8%@ 11.28+2.0%
Tamworth goals ↓
Boston Utd goals →
01234
06.1%6.2%5.4%2.6%1.0%
16.5%12%8.2%4.0%1.5%
25.8%8.6%6.3%3.1%1.1%
33.0%4.4%3.2%1.6%0.6%
41.1%1.7%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tamworth goals (down), columns = Boston Utd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Tamworth is 0.07 points better than Boston Utd in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.28).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Tamworth and Boston Utd are level in goals scored per game (both 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Tamworth is 0.09 goals worse than Boston Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tamworth or Draw
64.6%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.33
Edge
-4.7%
38%
27%
35%
covers Tamworth + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Tamworth or Boston Utd
73.5%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.7%
38%
27%
35%
covers Tamworth + Boston Utd
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Boston Utd
61.9%
Avg Implied 56.5% · @ 1.63
Edge
+5.4%
38%
27%
35%
covers Draw + Boston Utd
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
BetVictor
1.65
William Hil
1.62

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tamworth over/under 0.5
Over
78.4%
@ 1.17-1.5%
Under
21.6%
@ 4.64+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.40
Tamworth over/under 1.5
Over
45.2%
@ 1.85-4.7%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.84+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Unibet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Tamworth over/under 2.5
Over
19.9%
@ 3.66-5.3%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.24+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.81
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Tamworth over/under 3.5
Over
7.0%
@ 7.83-5.0%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.06+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Boston Utd over/under 0.5
Over
77.0%
@ 1.25+3.1%
Under
23.0%
@ 3.54-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.59
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.48
Boston Utd over/under 1.5
Over
43.2%
@ 2.27+2.4%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.56-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Boston Utd over/under 2.5
Over
18.4%
@ 5.11+0.2%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.13-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Boston Utd over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
@ 11.50-2.1%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.03+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tamworth, so a minus line means Tamworth give that many goals of a start and Boston Utd receive them. At -1, Tamworth must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tamworth win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tamworth)
Tamworth -2
7.5%
@ 7.75-4.1%
Draw -2
11.6%
@ 6.08-3.2%
Boston Utd +2
80.9%
@ 1.22+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Draw
Marathonbet
6.15
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
Handicap -1 (Tamworth)
Tamworth -1
19.1%
@ 3.63-4.8%
Draw -1
19.0%
@ 3.93-3.1%
Boston Utd +1
61.9%
@ 1.61+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.30
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.00
Unibet
3.20
Away
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Unibet
1.55
Handicap +1 (Tamworth)
Tamworth +1
64.6%
@ 1.32-0.7%
Draw +1
18.2%
@ 4.55-0.8%
Boston Utd -1
17.2%
@ 5.47+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
3.80
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Unibet
4.50
Handicap +2 (Tamworth)
Tamworth +2
82.8%
@ 1.11+3.6%
Draw +2
10.7%
@ 6.95-1.9%
Boston Utd -2
6.5%
@ 10.75-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
6.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TamworthTamworth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W01L11D21W11D12L03L11DA·BRA28/03H·SOL03/04A·HAL06/04H·YOR11/04A·EAS18/04H·BRA25/04A·BOR08/08H·FYL15/08A·HAL22/08A·YEO31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.500.430.751.19
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.810.420.330.731.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Boston Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Boston UtdBoston Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W00D00D00D00D10W00D10WH·YOR03/04A·BRA06/04H·TRU11/04A·WEA14/04A·SOL18/04H·HAR25/04H·ALD08/08A·SOL15/08H·ALT22/08A·BOR27/08
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.530.471.000.40
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (28)0.790.430.530.471.080.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.3%
@ 1.28+1.7%
Under 0.5
25.7%
@ 3.38-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
1xBet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.30-1.7%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.54+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.37
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Betano
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.4%
@ 5.34-3.9%
Under 2.5
86.6%
@ 1.12+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tamworth over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.7%
@ 1.75-3.0%
Under
50.3%
@ 1.95+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Unibet
1.89
Tamworth over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.7%
@ 4.77-2.7%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.15+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
Betano
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
Tamworth over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
@ 10.50-5.6%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Boston Utd over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.2%
@ 2.01-2.7%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.70+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Unibet
1.93
Under
1xBet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Boston Utd over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.6%
@ 6.20-2.3%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.08+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.10
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Boston Utd over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
@ 12.00-5.2%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TamworthTamworth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W12L00D00D30W22D00D11D12LA·BRA28/03H·SOL03/04A·HAL06/04H·YOR11/04A·EAS18/04H·BRA25/04A·BOR08/08H·FYL15/08A·HAL22/08A·YEO31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.931.290.640.501.19
vs Stronger (3)1.331.331.001.002.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.810.891.330.580.401.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Boston Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Boston UtdBoston Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D11D30W31W01L10W10W02LH·YOR03/04A·BRA06/04H·TRU11/04A·WEA14/04A·SOL18/04H·HAR25/04H·ALD08/08A·SOL15/08H·ALT22/08A·BOR27/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.670.670.871.13
vs Stronger (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.750.890.670.670.851.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.15-1.9%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 4.71+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
William Hil
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.9%
@ 1.80-2.5%
Under 1.5
51.1%
@ 1.91+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.83
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Under
Betano
2.00
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 3.43-5.4%
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.26+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tamworth over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.0%
@ 1.51-6.3%
Under
45.0%
@ 2.40+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Tamworth over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.3%
@ 3.41-5.7%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.27+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
Tamworth over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
@ 8.60-5.8%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Boston Utd over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.8%
@ 1.70+0.4%
Under
45.2%
@ 2.03-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Boston Utd over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.4%
@ 4.40-1.5%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.17+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Boston Utd over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
@ 9.75-4.7%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.8%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.4%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+5.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+5.6%
Under 6.596.6%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-+2.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.1%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+4.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.1%1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
---+5.8%
Away under 3.5 goals93.8%1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
--+2.1%
Home under 3.5 goals93.0%1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-+5.0%
Under 5.591.6%1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+3.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.4%1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
--+2.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals86.6%1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
+3.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals83.3%1.15
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
--+2.7%
Home +2 handicap82.8%1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
---+3.6%
Away under 2.5 goals81.6%1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-0.2%
Under 4.581.5%1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
+2.9%
Over 1.581.2%1.16
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
+1.4%
Away +2 handicap80.9%1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
---+7.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals80.6%1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
--+1.5%
Home under 2.5 goals80.1%1.24
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+5.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.7%1.27
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
--+5.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals78.5%1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+5.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals78.4%1.15
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-1.9%
Home over 0.5 goals78.4%1.17
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
--1.5%
Over 2.5 cards77.5%-------
Under 5.5 cards77.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.0%1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
+3.1%
Over 0.5 HT goals74.3%1.28
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
+1.7%
Home or Away73.5%1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-0.7%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Tamworth and Boston Utd have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Tamworth and Boston Utd have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Tamworth and Boston Utd have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Tamworth and Boston Utd have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
TAM wins
2
Draws
1
BU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tamworth vs Boston Utd · H/A from TAM
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26ABoston Utd Vs TAM0-0
25/10/25HTAM Vs Boston Utd1-3
18/01/25HTAM Vs Boston Utd3-0
24/08/24ABoston Utd Vs TAM1-1

TamworthTamworth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AYeovil Vs TAM3-2
22/08/26AHalifax Vs TAM4-1
15/08/26HTAM Vs Fylde1-2
08/08/26ABoreham Wood Vs TAM3-3
25/04/26HTAM Vs Braintree Town5-1
18/04/26AEastleigh Vs TAM1-1
11/04/26HTAM Vs York0-1
06/04/26AHalifax Vs TAM2-2
03/04/26HTAM Vs Solihull1-0
28/03/26ABrackley Town Vs TAM0-1

Boston UtdBoston Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/26ABoreham Wood Vs BU2-1
22/08/26HBU Vs Altrincham1-0
15/08/26ASolihull Vs BU0-2
08/08/26HBU Vs Aldershot0-1
25/04/26HBU Vs Hartlepool3-1
18/04/26ASolihull Vs BU0-3
14/04/26AWealdstone Vs BU1-1
11/04/26HBU Vs Truro1-0
06/04/26ABrackley Town Vs BU1-1
03/04/26HBU Vs York0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tamworth
Tamworth
England: National League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.32
HomeWWLWL1.64
AwayDDDLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals3.002.403.60
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %56%36%76%
Over 3.5 %36%20%52%
Scored1.401.401.40
Conceded1.601.002.20
BTTS68%56%80%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners7.007.00-
Cards3.824.093.55
Boston Utd
Boston Utd
England: National League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.24
HomeLWWLW1.20
AwayDDWWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.782.363.20
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.321.041.60
Conceded1.461.321.60
BTTS58%48%68%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards4.073.614.55

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde		510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster		48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches