TB, coming off a 5-goal win, faces a B71 side on a five-game winning streak. The model favours an away victory, with a 44% chance, a 34% chance of a home win and a 22% chance of a draw. The expected total of 4.1 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely total is 6 + goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 7.8% probability. TB averages 0.71 goals scored and 5.0 conceded at home against stronger opponents, while B71 averages 2.46 goals scored and 1.69 conceded away against weaker opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (94.6%), Over 1.5 (91.9%), Under 6.5 (88.4%), Away over 0.5 goals (88.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (87.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (85.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (82.9%) and Away +2 handicap (81.6%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
TB win
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
B71 win
43.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
3.27
1.40
3.13
1.27
3.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
4.57
0.71
5.00
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (8)
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.40
3.40
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.75
2.60
1.80
2.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.70
1.33
2.94
1.06
2.43
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.75
1.36
3.00
1.07
2.46
1.69
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
91.9%
Under 1.5
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77.0%
Under 2.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
75.9%
No
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
TB goals ↓
B71 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.4%
3.0%
4.0%
2.9%
1.6%
1
2.6%
7.8%
7.6%
5.5%
3.0%
2
3.1%
6.8%
7.3%
5.2%
2.8%
3
2.0%
4.3%
4.6%
3.3%
1.8%
4
0.9%
2.0%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TB goals (down), columns = B71 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
TB is 1.19 points worse than B71 in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 2.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
TB is 1.54 goals worse than B71 in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 3.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
TB is 1.33 goals worse than B71 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
TB or Draw
56.1%
Avg Implied -
34%
22%
44%
covers TB + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB or B71
78.2%
Avg Implied -
34%
22%
44%
covers TB + B71
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or B71
65.7%
Avg Implied -
34%
22%
44%
covers Draw + B71
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
TB over/under 0.5
Over
85.1%
Under
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5
Over
56.7%
Under
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5
Over
29.7%
Under
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5
Over
88.4%
Under
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5
Over
63.4%
Under
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5
Over
36.4%
Under
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 3.5
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to TB, so a minus line means TB give that many goals of a start and B71 receive them. At -1, TB must win by two or more to land; a one-goal TB win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (TB)
TB -2
8.1%
Draw -2
10.3%
B71 +2
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (TB)
TB -1
18.4%
Draw -1
15.9%
B71 +1
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (TB)
TB +1
56.1%
Draw +1
18.1%
B71 -1
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (TB)
TB +2
74.2%
Draw +2
13.2%
B71 -2
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.67
0.47
1.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
2.00
0.29
2.57
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.25
1.80
1.40
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.57
1.38
0.31
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.57
1.40
0.33
1.08
0.85
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.73
0.67
1.47
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
2.57
0.43
2.43
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
0.80
0.40
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.77
1.56
0.75
1.36
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.50
0.79
1.60
0.73
1.38
0.85
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Víkingur II
Suduroy
ÍF II
Hoyvík
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II